346: Evolution of IAF : Historic Perspective

 

Like the role of air power in the last century, the air strategy of the Indian Air Force (IAF) has evolved, reflecting changes in technology, doctrine, and strategic priorities. Some key milestones in the evolution of the air strategy of the IAF are:

Genesis & Early Years. The Indian Air Force was established in British India as an auxiliary air force of the Royal Air Force on 8 Oct 1932, with four Westland Wapiti biplanes and five Indian pilots. The then Royal IAF (RIAF) grew in size during World War II to eventually ten squadrons. In the early years of the IAF, the primary focus was on providing air support to British and Commonwealth ground forces. During World War II, the IAF played a significant role in the Burma campaign by halting the advance of the Japanese army, by providing air cover and support for ground troops. IAF evolved initially in a tactical role primarily to support surface and maritime wars.

              

Partition in 1947. Indian Air Force (IAF) of independent India came into being with seven squadrons (six fighter squadrons and one transport squadron). By then the IAF had a well-established professional ethos and a reputation to live up to.

 

The Indo-Pakistani War of 1947. Almost immediately after Independence, India, and Pakistan clashed over the future of Kashmir. On the first day itself on 27 October 1947, an infantry battalion was airlifted from Delhi to Srinagar. IAF thereafter carried out air operations (airlift of troops and supplies, photo-reconnaissance, bombing, strafing, and interdiction), in support of surface forces. The air power usage was tactical and reactionary to emerging situations.

 

Initial Growth. The decade of the 1950s saw the induction of aircraft and support systems, both in quantity and quality, into the IAF.  During this period, the IAF acquired its first jet fighters and transport aircraft and India began to develop its own indigenous aircraft and weapons systems. IAF began to shift its focus to defending India’s borders and air space, and its capabilities started developing beyond the limited scope of the support role.

 

1962 war. The ground reality in 1962 was that IAF had relatively potent air power with Western aircraft vis-a-vis old Russian aircraft with China. Despite a clear combat edge, the fighter component of the air force was not used during the Sino-Indian conflict of 1962. There has been a general reluctance to use air power due to the perceived fear of escalation of conflict, which was evident even up to the 1999 Kargil conflict and has changed since the Balakot strike in 2019. However, post-war it was decided to build up the IAF strength to 45 squadrons.

 

The Indo-Pakistani War of 1965. In 1965, the IAF gave a good account in the skies and in support of ground operations. Air superiority in specific terms was not contested by either side. IAF provided close air support to help the Army stem Pak armoured thrusts. Eventually, the Pakistan offensive was stopped, and the war ceased. After the war, the IAF continued to acquire modern combat aircraft and had 39 combat aircraft squadrons by 1971. It also improved tactics and techniques based on the lessons of the 1965 war. IAF decided the war priorities in sequence to be air defence, support to surface forces, and offensive action to counter or neutralise or counter the enemy air.

 

The Indo-Pakistani War of 1971. In 1971 the IAF was in much better shape in qualitative and quantitative terms than the PAF. This was the first time the IAF actively engaged the enemy air force. IAF achieved complete air superiority over the eastern wing of Pakistan within a few days. Air operations included close air support and air cover to the Indian Army, independent raid missions against Pakistani Air Force bases, assistance to Indian Navy in maritime operations, offensive attacks on enemy armour, and strategic bombing. IAF played a pivotal role in the victory, leading to the liberation of Bangladesh, and it was probably the high point for the IAF. In this war, IAF carried out all air campaigns in parallel.

 

Modernization and Expansion (1980-2000): To retain relevance in the evolving operational environment with the induction of modern aircraft and systems in the immediate neighbourhood, in the 1980s and 1990s, the IAF modernised itself with advanced aircraft, weapons, and sensors, and expanded its capabilities to include strategic airlift.

 

Power Projection Abroad. During 1987-90 IAF was involved with operations in Sri Lanka and Maldives. IAF established an “air bridge” between mainland India and Sri Lanka for the Indian Peace Keeping Force (IPKF). Although combat aircraft were not used, IAF helicopters provided fire support for the army. In 1988, IAF undertook Operation Cactus, wherein, it flew at least a battalion of paratroopers, more than 1000 Miles away to Maldives when rebels attempted to overthrow the government. In these operations, the IAF demonstrated its ability to project forces on short notice.

 

Kargil Operations 1999. Kargil operations demonstrated once again the impact of air power in the achievement of objectives. The IAF flew hundreds of strike missions supported by combat patrols and escorts. Air power was employed in a very innovative way in high altitudes. The Kargil War forced the IAF to rethink aerial strategies as it attempted to orchestrate an aerial campaign at altitudes of 14,000 to 18,000 feet against well-camouflaged targets.

 

Balakot Strike. A game-changer shift took place on 26 February 2019, when India decided to use offensive air power by carrying out deep strikes against targets in Pakistan even beyond the Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK). The myth about the use of air power being escalatory in nature was broken.

 

Strategic Transformation. Originally the IAF had formed purely for the requirements of the British interests of its Empire, its roles and responsibilities were limited to tactical applications of air power. Post-independence also the application of air power continued to remain tactical in nature. It was only in 1971 that the IAF carried out strategic effect-based operations with air campaigns in parallel. In the first decade of this century, IAF inducted airborne early warning, and aerial refuelling capability leading to an increase in strategic reach along with conventional deterrence. The transformation of the Indian Air Force from a tactical air power to a strategic one had begun, and subsequently, the pace picked up for it to become a broad-spectrum air force in future.

 

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343: News and Views: China (Salami & Cabbage Strategy)

News:

China is employing the strategy of salami-slicing in the South China Sea, and it limits the options of the peripheral countries by baffling their plans, making it problematic for them to develop a response.

 

Views:

  • Salami slicing, rather than overt aggression, is China’s preferred strategy in a well-planned and methodical manner to gain strategic advantage through a steady progression of small actions.
  • The term ‘salami slicing’ was coined by Nobel laureate Thomas Schelling.
  • It describes a strategy in the military that oversteps boundaries and offers an attractive option for expansionist powers.
  • The basic notion is to gain ground slice by slice rather than all at once.  These slices over a period of time lead cumulatively to a strategic transformation in China’s favour.

 

News:

There has been an incremental expansion of China’s footprint and control in the South China Sea.

 

Views:

  • China has been following the “cabbage strategy”, to take over control over contested islands.
  • This strategy entailed surrounding a contested island with concentric layers of Chinese fishing boats, fishing administration ships, maritime enforcement ships, and warships such that the island is wrapped layer by layer like a cabbage.

 

News:

On March 10, 2023, the 14th National People’s Congress (NPC) unanimously elected ‘Xi Jinping’ as the President of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) for an unprecedented third term. President Xi appointed ‘Li Qiang’ as China’s new Premier.

 

Views:

  • The development is as expected.
  • Will Xi be more aggressive or cool down temporarily?
  • My take is that temporary cooling down would be followed by aggressive behaviour towards the end of the third term i.e. 2027-28.

 

News:

President Xi, in his address to the NPC, stressed upon coordinating development and security for building China into a great modern socialist country in all respects. Xi also called for adhering to the one-China principle by resolutely opposing Taiwan’s independence separatist forces.

 

Views:

  • The focus continues to be the pursuit of achieving number one status in the world.
  • Expansionist “One China policy” continues to be followed.
  • Taiwan is the next agenda.
  • Frequency and intensity of “military muscle flexing and strategic coercion exercises”  is increasing.
  • When and how will China achieve it?
  • After Taiwan what next?

 

News:

President Xi proposed “Global Civilization Initiative” calling for respecting the diversity of civilizations, advocating common values of humanity, valuing civilizational inheritance and innovations, and jointly advocating robust international people-to-people exchanges.

 

Views:

  • Announcing China’s big role in world affairs.
  • Big words (respect, common values, humanity, values, and jointly, etc) which China doesn’t care about.

 

News:

On March 5, 2023, Li Keqiang delivered a “Report on The Work of the Government” to the NPC. China targeted GDP growth of around 5 percent for 2023, and announced a defence budget of CNY 1.55 trillion (USD 224.79 billion) for 2023, an increase of 7.2 percent over 2022.

 

Views:

  • China’s figures have to be taken with a pinch of salt.
  • Will decoupling slow down China’s growth?
  • Military spending is much more than projected.
  • Military modernisation is progressing according to timelines.

 

News:

On March 7, 2023, in his first major foreign policy statement, Foreign Minister Qin Gang highlighted China’s firm opposition to hegemonism and power politics including the US Indo-Pacific Strategy seeking to create an Asia-Pacific version of NATO.

 

Views:

  • Two axes are emerging.
  • Cold War 2.0 coming up.
  • China is crying wolf about QUAD calling it an Asian NATO.

 

News:

President Xi Jinping visited Moscow from March 20-22, 2023. In a joint statement, the two sides stressed “deepening the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two countries for a new era”.

 

Views:

  • China-Russia relations are a marriage of convenience.
  • China is happy to be the stronger partner in the relationship with Russia.

 

News:

H.H. The Dalai Lama has named a US-born Mongolian boy the ‘10th Khalkha Jetsun Dhampa Rinpoche’ – the third highest rank in Tibetan Buddhism, reigniting the larger question of the 14th Dalai Lama’s own reincarnation. China maintains that it will only recognise Buddhist leaders of its own choosing.

 

Views

  • The entire world is waiting for how things will pan out post-Dalai lama.
  • Tibetan activities would continue from exile.
  • China is carrying out the systemic demographic change in Tibet.

 

News:

Six years after the Doklam standoff, Bhutanese Prime Minister Lotay Tshering’s statement that Beijing has an equal say in finding a resolution to the dispute is troubling for New Delhi. India is opposed to China extending its footprint in Doklam as the plateau lies close to the sensitive Siliguri corridor.

 

Views:

  • China has resolved border issues with all except India and Bhutan.
  • It is offering Bhutan a comprehensive package to resolve issues.
  • The package gives them a back door entry into Bhutan.
  • The older generation in Bhutan is very sceptical about China’s intentions, however, the younger generation is willing to experiment, ignoring the plight of other countries that have engaged with China.

 

Your opinion matters

Please share your views and opinion about the following questions:

  • Will Xi be more aggressive or cool down temporarily?
  • When and how will China take control of Taiwan?
  • After Taiwan what next?
  • Will decoupling slow down China’s growth?
  • Future of Tibet post Dalai Lama?

 

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335: UNDERSTANDING DRAGON’S PSYCHE

 

Factors  Affecting  China’s Psyche

 

Some of the factors that influence China’s thinking are:-

 

    • History and Culture: China has a long history and rich culture that shapes its worldview and values.

 

    • Political System: The Chinese government is a one-party socialist state with strong central control over the country’s political, economic, and social systems.

 

    • Economic Interests: China’s rapid economic growth and development have made it a major player in global trade and investment. The government’s policies and decisions are often influenced by economic considerations.

 

    • Domestic Concerns: Maintaining social stability, promoting national unity, and addressing social and economic inequalities are significant priorities for the Chinese government.

 

    • International Environment: China’s relations with other countries, especially with the United States and other major powers, have a significant impact on its strategic thinking.

 

    • Military Capabilities: As China continues to modernize its military, its defence strategy and posture are likely to be influenced by its evolving military capabilities.

 

    • Ideological Factors: China’s ideology, including its commitment to socialism with Chinese characteristics, nationalism, and Confucianism, also plays a role in shaping its thinking.

 

Chinese Value System

 

China’s value system has profound impact on their thought process. Chinese values are shaped by a combination of traditional cultural values, Confucianism, socialism, and nationalism. These values play an important role in shaping Chinese society and are reflected in everything from personal relationships to government policies.

 

    • Family: Family is considered to be the most important unit in Chinese society, and family relationships are highly valued. Respect for elders, filial piety, and the concept of collectivism are important aspects of Chinese family values.

 

    • Education: Education is highly valued in Chinese culture, and academic achievement is often seen as a pathway to success and social mobility.

 

    • Harmony: The concept of a “harmonious society” is emphasized in Chinese culture, and is also promoted by the Chinese government, emphasizing the importance of social stability, economic development, and environmental protection. This concept is based on the idea that a harmonious society can only be achieved through social, economic, and political reforms that benefit all members of society.

 

    • Hard work: Hard work and perseverance are seen as important virtues in Chinese culture, and individuals are encouraged to work diligently to achieve their goals.

 

    • Saving face: Saving face is an important concept in Chinese culture, with a focus on preserving one’s reputation and avoiding embarrassment.

 

    • Respect for authority: Respect for authority, including government officials and teachers, is an important value in Chinese culture.

 

    • Patriotism: Chinese people are taught to love their country and take pride in its accomplishments and history. Chinese nationalism is an important ideology in China, reflecting a strong sense of pride and identity among the Chinese people.

 

China’s Ideology

 

China’s ideology is a complex, multifaceted and evolving concept that is shaped by a combination of various factors, including history, culture, political system, and economic interests.

 

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which has been in power since 1949, has historically been guided by Marxist-Leninist ideology and Maoism, which emphasized the importance of revolutionary mass movements and the role of peasants in the socialist revolution.

 

In recent years, the CCP has adopted a new term, “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics,” to describe its political and economic system. This ideology combines socialist ideology with market-oriented reforms and emphasises the importance of maintaining social stability, promoting economic development, and advancing the interests of the Chinese people.

 

Confucianism

 

Confucianism, a traditional Chinese philosophy that emphasizes the importance of family, social order, and morality, has also played a significant role in shaping Chinese culture and values.

 

Confucianism is a philosophy that originated in China during the 5th century BCE and has played a significant role in shaping Chinese culture and values. The philosophy is based on the teachings of Confucius, a Chinese philosopher and politician who emphasized the importance of morality, family values, and social order.

 

Confucianism emphasizes the importance of five key relationships: ruler and subject, father and son, elder brother and younger brother, husband and wife, and friend and friend. Confucianism also emphasizes the importance of education and self-cultivation, and holds that individuals should strive to be virtuous and compassionate in their interactions with others.

 

Confucianism has had a profound influence on Chinese society, shaping everything from family relationships to government policies. The philosophy has been incorporated into the legal and educational systems in China, and has influenced other East Asian cultures such as Japan and Korea. Confucianism continues to play an important role in contemporary Chinese society, with many Chinese people continuing to follow Confucian principles in their personal and professional lives.

 

Century of Humiliation

 

The “Century of Humiliation” refers to the period of time between the mid-19th century and the mid-20th century, during which China was repeatedly invaded, exploited, and humiliated by foreign powers.

 

The Century of Humiliation left deep scars on the Chinese psyche, with many Chinese people feeling a sense of shame and resentment towards foreign powers. The period also contributed to the rise of Chinese nationalism, as Chinese people sought to restore their country’s dignity and status on the global stage.

 

This period had a profound impact on China’s national identity, its political and economic systems, and its relations with the rest of the world. The Chinese Communist Party, which came to power in 1949, sought to create a strong, centralized state that could defend China’s sovereignty and protect its people from foreign aggression. The Party also implemented policies aimed at promoting economic development and modernization, with the goal of making China a strong and prosperous nation that could stand up to foreign powers.

 

Overall, the Century of Humiliation has had a profound impact on China’s national identity, its political and economic systems, and its relations with the rest of the world. It continues to shape China’s approach to foreign policy and international relations.

 

National Rejuvenation

 

China seeks to reclaim its position as a great power and defend its interests in an increasingly complex global environment. In recent years, the Chinese government has increasingly emphasized the importance of national rejuvenation, reflecting a desire to restore China to its historical position of power and influence. This has been accompanied by a more assertive foreign policy, as China seeks to assert its interests and defend its sovereignty in the face of perceived external threats.

 

To Be Continued……….

 

 

Bottom Line

 You have to know the Dragon,

to engage the Dragon.

(More Coming Up)

 

Question

Is India’s China policy flawed?

 

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Disclaimer:

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