710: SHAHEEN-3 MISSILE TEST FAILURE: A WAKE-UP CALL FOR PAKISTAN’S MISSILE PROGRAM

 

My article was published on “The EurasianTimes” website

on 24 Jul 25.

 

On July 22, 2025, Pakistan’s ambitious ballistic missile program experienced a notable setback and its strategic defence landscape was jolted, by the high-profile failure of its Shaheen-3 ballistic missile test. The incident, occurring near civilian settlements and in dangerously proximity to a primary nuclear site, has drawn national and international attention, not only over the technical reliability of Pakistan’s missile program but also concerning the safety of local populations and the geopolitical stability of South Asia.

 

The Missile. The Shaheen-III, developed by Pakistan’s National Development Complex (NDC) in collaboration with the National Engineering and Scientific Commission (NESCOM), constitutes a fundamental component of the nation’s strategic defence capabilities. With an asserted range of 2,750 kilometers, this missile is engineered to carry both conventional and nuclear warheads, thereby ranking among Pakistan’s most sophisticated systems. Its development is regarded as a strategic response to India’s expanding missile capabilities, including the Agni series, and aims to maintain deterrence within the volatile security environment of South Asia. The missile’s capacity to reach targets over an extensive geographical area highlights its strategic importance.

 

The Incident. The Shaheen-3 was launched from the Dera Ghazi Khan region in Punjab. According to multiple credible reports, the missile deviated from its planned trajectory shortly after launch and crashed in the Matt area of Dera Bugti district in Balochistan. The impact site was alarmingly close, approximately 500 meters, to civilian settlements and within the vicinity of a significant nuclear facility. Residents reported a powerful explosion near the Loop Seharani Levies Station, which was heard 20–50 kilometers away. Shockwaves of concern rippled through nearby communities, leading to scenes of panic and evacuation as locals rushed to distance themselves from a potential disaster. Social media platforms circulated videos and messages depicting the chaos.

 

Local Reaction. Pakistan’s Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) issued a brief statement acknowledging the test but maintained that all safety standards were followed. The statement, however, lacked specifics about the cause of the failure or the environmental impact of the crash. This opacity has fuelled speculation and criticism, both domestically and internationally. Analysts point out that the absence of transparent reporting on such incidents undermines public confidence in Pakistan’s missile program and raises questions about the technical reliability of the Shaheen-III.

 

Safety and Security Concerns. The close call between the missile crash and a densely populated area, combined with the proximity to critical nuclear infrastructure, has highlighted serious safety and security vulnerabilities. Given Balochistan’s historical sensitivity due to both its restive population and strategic assets, the event stoked local and national anxieties about the risks associated with missile tests conducted in such areas. While there were no immediate reports of casualties, the potential for significant harm was evident. The magnitude of the blast, the risk of radioactive contamination, and the psychological fear instilled in the local population have all contributed to widespread condemnation and calls for more responsible test protocols.

 

Technical Reliability and Pattern of Failures. What makes this incident particularly concerning is its apparent repeat of past failures. Reports indicate that previous Shaheen-3 tests, including those in 2023, also resulted in accidents near nuclear or sensitive military infrastructure. This pattern of technical shortcomings raises fundamental questions over the actual operational reliability of Pakistan’s most far-reaching missile.

 

Reinforcement of US concerns. The timing of the failure is notably significant, occurring merely months after the United States imposed sanctions in December 2024 on entities associated with Pakistan’s ballistic missile program. The United States expressed concerns regarding proliferation risks and the potential for missile technology to destabilise the region. This unsuccessful test is likely to intensify these concerns, supplying additional argumentation to critics who contend that Pakistan’s missile development suffers from insufficient oversight and technical maturity.

 

Strategic Significance. The Shaheen-3 is considered a central pillar of Pakistan’s deterrence strategy, designed to ensure that all major cities in India and beyond are within striking distance. The reliability of such a strategic asset is therefore crucial, not merely for defence planners in Islamabad but also for regional actors who closely monitor each development as part of a delicate balance of power. Its recent failures have reignited debate over the safety of ongoing missile development and testing in densely inhabited or strategically sensitive regions. The risk of sparking a larger geopolitical crisis, either by accident or escalation, is heightened whenever flaws in command, control, or technical functioning come to light.  The failure of the Shaheen-3 test not only undermines the credibility of this deterrence strategy but also raises questions about the effectiveness of Pakistan’s missile program.

 

The Shaheen-III test failure is likely to have far-reaching consequences. For Pakistan, it represents a setback in its quest for a credible deterrent against regional rivals. For the international community, it underscores the challenges of managing proliferation risks in a region marked by intense strategic competition. It serves as a stark reminder of the serious risks associated with the testing and deployment of advanced ballistic missile technology in volatile environments. It exposes both persistent technical challenges and deep-rooted concerns over transparency and public safety. The incident has reignited discussion on the necessity of responsible stewardship over strategic assets, especially those capable of influencing the delicate balance of peace and security in the region, highlighting the importance of the issue.

 

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“Shockwaves” In Balochistan As Pakistan’s Nuclear-Capable Missile Crashes Near Nuclear Site; Shaheen-III Failure Sparks Concerns

 

References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Pics Courtesy: Internet

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

References:-

1.News Reports & Regional Media Coverage, The Balochistan Post (July 23, 2025), “Missile crash incident near Dera Bugti triggers panic among locals”

2.Associated Press. (2024, December 20). U.S. Imposes Sanctions on Entities Linked to Pakistan’s Ballistic Missile Program.

3.Dawn News. (2025, July 23). Shaheen-III Missile Test Fails, Crashes in Dera Bugti. Dawn.

4.Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR). (2025, July 22). Official Statement on Shaheen-III Test Launch.

5.Khan, A. (2025, July 23). Local Residents Report Tremors, Debris from Missile Crash in Balochistan. The News International.

701: A NEW CHALLENGE: CHINA’S NON-NUCLEAR HYDROGEN BOMB

 

 My Article was published on “The EurasianTimes” website on 12 Jul 25.

 

In April 2025, Chinese researchers made a significant breakthrough in military technology. They successfully tested a non-nuclear hydrogen-based explosive device, a creation of the 705 Research Institute of the China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC). This innovative weapon, which uses magnesium hydride to produce a fireball several times longer than a comparable TNT explosion, is a departure from traditional hydrogen bombs that rely on nuclear fusion. Instead, it employs a chemical reaction to release hydrogen gas, igniting a sustained inferno without radioactive fallout. Initially designed for clean energy applications, this technology’s pivot to military use has sparked global intrigue and concern. Detailed in a paper in the Journal of Projectiles, Rockets, Missiles and Guidance and reported by the South China Morning Post, this development signals a potential shift in modern warfare, raising questions about its strategic, ethical, and geopolitical implications.

 

The Technology Enabling the Device

At the heart of the device is magnesium hydride (MgH₂). This compound has been extensively studied for its potential in hydrogen storage due to its ability to release hydrogen gas upon heating. The explosive exploits this property by using a controlled chemical reaction to generate and ignite hydrogen gas, creating a fireball that exceeds 1,000°C in temperature and lasts over two seconds. This is 15 times longer than the thermal output of a traditional TNT-based explosive of comparable size. What distinguishes this explosive is its non-nuclear composition. Unlike thermonuclear hydrogen bombs that use nuclear fusion to generate devastating power and radiation, this device relies purely on chemical reactions. This enables intense thermal effects without the political and environmental consequences associated with nuclear weapons.

The sustained heat, lasting over two seconds compared to TNT’s fleeting 0.12-second flash, allows for extensive thermal damage across vast areas. According to CSSC scientist Wang Xuefeng, who led the research, “Hydrogen gas explosions ignite with minimal ignition energy, have a broad explosion range, and unleash flames that race outward rapidly while spreading widely.” This combination enables precise control over blast intensity, making the device suitable for both large-area thermal strikes and targeted attacks on high-value assets, such as communication hubs or fuel depots.

A significant barrier to the practical use of magnesium hydride has been its production. The material’s high reactivity poses risks of spontaneous combustion when exposed to air, historically limiting output to mere grams per day in controlled laboratory settings. However, a breakthrough in 2025 has changed this landscape. A new facility in Shaanxi province, operated by the Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics, now produces 150 tonnes of magnesium hydride annually using a “one-pot synthesis” method. This safer, cost-effective process has overcome previous manufacturing challenges, enabling large-scale production and paving the way for both military and civilian applications. The ability to produce magnesium hydride at such volumes underscores China’s commitment to integrating this technology into its defence strategy.

 

Strategic Implications of the Device

The CSSC’s 705 Research Institute, renowned for its expertise in underwater weapons such as torpedoes and unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs), has positioned this device as a versatile tool for modern warfare. Its compact size and lightweight nature make it ideal for integration into various platforms, including drones, precision-guided munitions, and naval systems. Potential applications include the following:-

 

    • Precision Thermal Strikes. The device’s prolonged fireball can incinerate logistics hubs, radar installations, or infantry formations, offering tactical flexibility in asymmetric conflicts. Its heat, capable of melting metals, could disable critical infrastructure without the widespread destruction of nuclear weapons.
    • Area Denial. The sustained thermal effects could create temporary “no-go zones,” denying the enemy access to key routes, disrupting supply lines and communication. It may also serve as a deterrent due to its psychological impact.
    • Naval Warfare. Integrated into torpedoes or UUVs, the device could deliver devastating heat-based damage to enemy vessels, potentially melting hulls or igniting fuel stores without nuclear fallout. This makes it a strategic asset for maritime dominance.

The device’s non-nuclear nature is a key advantage, as it avoids violating international nuclear treaties while delivering effects comparable to thermobaric weapons, which disperse fuel-air mixtures to create prolonged explosions. Compared to Russia’s TOS-1A “Buratino” rocket launcher, which relies on bulky delivery systems, the Chinese device’s compact design allows deployment via smaller platforms, enhancing its versatility.

 

Analytical Perspective.

Geopolitical Context. The timing of this test, amid escalating tensions with Taiwan, has amplified global concerns. China’s military modernisation and increased military spending reflect its focus on advanced technologies to assert regional dominance. The South China Morning Post suggests the device could be used in a Taiwan conflict to target underground defences or urban strongholds, drawing parallels to the U.S. Massive Ordnance Air Blast (MOAB) weapon’s psychological and tactical impact. By delivering sustained heat to fortified positions, the device could disrupt command centers or incapacitate personnel, potentially shifting the balance in urban warfare scenarios.

Dual Use Approach. The development of the device also aligns with China’s broader strategy of integrating clean energy technologies into its military framework. Magnesium hydride’s potential as a fuel source for submarines or long-endurance drones suggests a dual-use approach, blending civilian innovation with defence applications.

Legal Aspects. The emergence of this technology also presents new challenges for international arms control and humanitarian law. Because the explosive is not nuclear, it may fall outside existing treaties, such as the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) or the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT). This legal grey area could allow countries to develop and deploy such weapons without violating current international norms.

Ethical and Humanitarian Concerns. While the device avoids nuclear fallout, its similarity to thermobaric weapons raises ethical and legal questions. Thermobaric weapons, known for their devastating effects in urban environments, have faced criticism for causing indiscriminate harm, including severe internal injuries and oxygen depletion. The magnesium hydride device’s ability to produce prolonged, high-temperature fireballs could exacerbate these concerns, particularly if deployed in densely populated areas. Analysts warn that its use in conflicts could spark debates over battlefield ethics, especially given its potential to “fry electronics, melt armour, or torch an area for denial purposes.”

Global Reactions. The international community has reacted with apprehension. The U.S., already bolstering Taiwan’s defences, may view this as a challenge to its regional influence, potentially accelerating the arms race in the Indo-Pacific. Meanwhile, China’s ability to scale up magnesium hydride production suggests that this technology could soon transition from experimental to operational, potentially reshaping military strategies worldwide.

 

Conclusion

China’s April 2025 test of a magnesium hydride-based explosive marks a critical juncture in military technology. Offering intense, sustained thermal effects without the liabilities of nuclear fallout, this new class of weaponry could redefine how nations conduct precision strikes and deter adversaries. While developed from clean energy research, its adaptation for warfare reveals the dual-use nature of modern scientific advancement. As this technology matures and potentially spreads, it may usher in a new era of warfare, one where energy science meets battlefield strategy, and where the line between conventional and unconventional weapons becomes increasingly blurred.

 

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Not Nuclear Or TNT, China’s H-Bomb May Spark Global Firestorm; Here’s Why It’s Much More Destructive

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Pics Courtesy: Internet

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

References:-

Wang, Xuefeng, et al. “Development and Testing of a Non-Nuclear Hydrogen-Based Explosive Device Using Magnesium Hydride.” Journal of Projectiles, Rockets, Missiles and Guidance, vol. 45, no. 2, April 2025, pp. 123-130.

  1. “China Tests New Hydrogen-Based Explosive with Prolonged Thermal Effects.” South China Morning Post, 15 April 2025,
  1. China State Shipbuilding Corporation. “Annual Report on Research and Development: 705 Research Institute.” CSSC, 2025.
  1. Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics. “Breakthrough in Magnesium Hydride Production for Energy and Defence Applications.” Chinese Academy of Sciences, 10 March 2025,
  1. “China’s Defence Budget Rises to USD 249 Billion in 2025.” Global Times, 5 March 2025, www.globaltimes.cn/page/202503/1304567.shtml.
  1. Journal of Projectiles, Rockets, Missiles and Guidance. (2025). Performance analysis of a hydrogen-based thermal explosive using magnesium hydride.
  2. Li, H., & Zhao, Q. (2024). Dual-use technologies and military innovation in China. Journal of Strategic Studies, 38(2), 98–117.
  1. International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). (2021). Incendiary weapons and international humanitarian law.
  1. United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA). (2020). Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and implications for non-nuclear weapon innovations.

700: INDIA EYES AIR-LAUNCHED LORA MISSILE: TO ENHANCE LONG-RANGE PRECISION CAPABILITY

 

My article published on “The EurasianTimes” website on 10 Jul 25

 

Recent news reports suggest that the Indian Air Force (IAF) is considering the acquisition of the Israeli Air-Launched Long-Range Artillery (LORA) missile. The interest in AIR LORA, reported in early July 2025, follows the IAF’s successful deployment of the Rampage missile during Operation Sindoor in May 2025, which underscored the need for advanced stand-off weapons capable of penetrating sophisticated enemy air defences.

Designed by Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI), Air LORA, which can strike targets up to 400–430 kilometers away, would enable Indian combat aircraft to launch high-impact strikes from well beyond the range of most enemy air defence systems. This capability is crucial for maintaining safety while degrading enemy targets within hostile territory.

 

The AIR LORA Missile: Capabilities and Specifications

Air LORA is not just a rehashed missile placed under a jet’s wing. It represents a marriage of ballistic missile technology and air-launched precision warfare. It is a quasi-ballistic missile that follows a depressed trajectory compared to traditional ballistic missiles. This makes it harder to intercept and allows for greater flexibility in targeting. One of its most attractive features is its fire-and-forget capability, which enables a pilot to disengage immediately after launch. Additionally, the missile can receive mid-course updates, allowing operators to redirect it mid-flight, a significant advantage in dynamic combat situations.

The AIR LORA, a derivative of the ground-launched Long-Range Artillery (LORA) missile, is a supersonic air-launched ballistic missile designed to deliver precision strikes against high-value targets at extended ranges. Its Key features include:-

      • Range: 400–430 kilometers.
      • Speed: Supersonic, travelling at approximately Mach 5.
      • Accuracy: Circular Error Probable (CEP) of less than 10 meters.
      • Warheads: Both blast-fragmentation and deep-penetration types, with a total weight of up to 570 kilograms.
      • Weight and Dimensions: 1,600 kg total missile weight; 5.2 meters in length.

The missile’s navigation system relies on a combination of GPS and Inertial Navigation System (INS), augmented by anti-jamming technology to ensure accuracy even in contested environments. Unlike some precision-guided munitions that require active seekers, AIR LORA’s seeker-less design reduces complexity and cost while maintaining a high degree of accuracy. It can be equipped with either blast fragmentation or deep-penetration warheads, making it versatile for targeting a range of assets, from airbases and command centers to naval vessels and hardened bunkers.

 

Analytical Perspective

Deep-Strike Capability. With the LORA missile integrated into its air combat platforms, India could reach deep into enemy territory without entering contested airspace. Targets that would traditionally require multi-aircraft sorties or high-risk approaches could be neutralised with a single long-range missile fired from safe standoff distances. This capability is particularly significant given India’s border challenges. Being able to strike enemy military infrastructure from Indian airspace would drastically reduce operational risks and improve the tempo of offensive operations.

Flexibility. The missile is compatible with several IAF platforms. This cross-platform flexibility means the IAF could potentially integrate the system into multiple platforms, ensuring distributed lethality and redundancy across its fleet. A single Su-30 MKI can carry up to four AIR LORA missiles, enabling a single sortie to deliver devastating strikes against multiple targets.

Complementing India’s Missile Arsenal. India already possesses an array of precision-guided long-range strike systems, such as BrahMos (Supersonic cruise missile with 300–500 km range), SCALP-EG (Used with Rafale, range of ~500 km), Pralay (Short-range ballistic missile (~500 km), and Rampage (Air-to-ground missile used successfully in recent operations). Air LORA would not replace these systems but augment them, filling a critical capability gap, specifically in air-launched ballistic precision strikes.

Industrial Impact. One of the defining features of this potential procurement is the Make in India element. IAI and Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) in 2023 for joint production and technology transfer related to LORA and other defence systems. This partnership not only facilitates technology transfer but also positions India as a potential exporter of advanced missile systems in the future. If the Air LORA deal moves forward, it could be manufactured in India under license, aligning with the country’s goals of defence indigenisation and strategic autonomy. Local production of AIR LORA could reduce costs, enhance supply chain resilience, and create jobs, further boosting India’s defence manufacturing ecosystem.

Cost Effectiveness. The estimated unit cost of Air LORA ranges from $1 1million to $5 million, depending on the configuration and payload. While not inexpensive, it is competitively priced compared to similar long-range missile systems, particularly when factoring in its precision and survivability.

Challenges and Concerns. Air LORA marks a significant advancement in capability, but it faces certain operational and logistical hurdles. Integrating and testing it on Indian platforms will demand extensive flight trials. Its resistance to electronic warfare and survivability in contested environments still need thorough evaluation. Additionally, its cost-effectiveness compared to other indigenous systems, such as BrahMos or the developing Long-Range Land-Attack Cruise Missile (LRLACM), warrants careful consideration. Despite these challenges, Air LORA’s operational advantages appear to outweigh the potential risks.

 

Conclusion

With its range, speed, and accuracy, Air LORA is not just another missile; it is a tool for deterrence, rapid escalation dominance, and strategic messaging. India is exploring the LORA (Long-Range Artillery) missile to complement its BrahMos missile, thereby enhancing its strategic and tactical capabilities. Unlike BrahMos, a supersonic cruise missile with a low-altitude, high-speed trajectory, LORA is a quasi-ballistic missile with a lofted trajectory, offering greater flexibility in targeting and evading defences. LORA’s lower cost makes it an economical option for mass deployment. It has potential for export under India’s “Make in India” initiative, thereby fostering domestic production and enhancing global market competitiveness. Additionally, LORA’s larger payload capacity enables it to deliver heavier warheads, increasing its destructive power. Integrating LORA into Indian Air Force jets diversifies the missile arsenal, providing a versatile, high-impact option for various combat scenarios. This strategic addition would strengthen India’s defence capabilities, ensuring a balanced mix of speed, cost-efficiency, and firepower alongside BrahMos. The potential induction of the air-launched LORA missile into India’s arsenal could significantly enhance its strategic depth and offensive precision.

 

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Despite BrahMos, India Explores LORA Missile For Its Fighters Like Su-30 MKI; Why LORA When IAF Has BrahMos?

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Pics Courtesy: Internet

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

References:-

  1. “Indian Air Force Eyes Israeli Air LORA Ballistic Missile for Enhanced Strike Capabilities: Report.” Moneycontrol, 4 July 2025.
  1. “India Eyes Israeli Air LORA Missile After Rampage Strikes: Deep-Strike Capability Gets Boost.” Defence Security Asia, 4 July 2025.
  1. “IAF Plans Supersonic Firepower Upgrade: Eyes Israeli Air LORA Missile after Rampage Success.” The Times of India, 3 July 2025.
  1. “IAF Eyes Supersonic LORA Missiles from Israel to Hit High-Value Targets Deep Inside Enemy Territory.” The Economic Times, 5 July 2025.
  1. “What Are Game-Changer Air LORA Missiles? Report Claims Indian Air Force Planning to Procure These from Israel.” The Week, 3 July 2025.
  1. Indian Defence Review. (2025). Regional Security Dynamics and India’s Missile Capabilities.
  1. Israel Aerospace Industries. (2025). LORA missile system: Technical specifications.
  1. Swarajya Magazine. (2025, July). IAF wants Israel’s AIR LORA missile after the Rampage missile’s success in Operation Sindoor against Pakistan.
  1. The Print (2025, July). Indo-Israeli defence ties bolstered by talks on the AIR LORA missile deal.
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