853: Putin’s Visit and BRICS Summit

 

The 18th BRICS Summit is being held on September 12–13, 2026, at the Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi, under India’s BRICS chairship.

    • Key Leaders: President Vladimir Putin (Russia), President Xi Jinping (China), and President Cyril Ramaphosa (South Africa)
    • Expanded Members: Represented by top officials and leaders, including Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, and Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto. Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira represents Brazil as President Lula da Silva attends local elections.
    • Core Agenda. Discussions on multilateral cooperation, economics, and reforming international institutions.
    • Bilateral Meetings: High-profile sideline talks focusing on energy, commerce, and regional diplomacy.

Negotiators are working to finalise a consensus text covering regional security, trade, and financial frameworks. The media is already reading between the lines to extrapolate the summit outcome and the messages emerging out of bilateral talks.

 

Talked to Navbharat News

We talked about the following: –

The Modi-Putin bilateral (held 11 September 2026 on the sidelines of the BRICS Summit in New Delhi) treats defence, energy/trade, and the broader strategic partnership as interconnected priorities rather than ranking one as clearly dominant.

Technology-transfer expectations (especially around Su-57 production tech).

Expanding trade in national currencies and working to reduce dependence on the dollar.

On Trump-related tariffs and BRICS de-dollarisation challenging the dollar.

Sectors of greatest potential benefit for India.

India’s balancing policy.

BRICS de-dollarisation and Chinese-currency risk.

Biggest change in India-Russia relations over the next 2–3 years.

Link to the talk:-

 

Inputs provided to a journalist on the likely SU-57 deal

Q1: Is Russia backtracking from the earlier offer?

I wouldn’t call it backing away, backtracking, or a reversal. Instead, I’d call it Russia negotiating.

The original Russian pitch was unusually ambitious. In 2025, Russia reportedly offered India the Su-57E with local production and technology transfer, including production and long-term upgrade cooperation.

But there are several layers in the phrase technology transfer:

    • transfer of assembly technology
    • transfer of manufacturing processes
    • transfer of maintenance/overhaul capability
    • transfer of component manufacturing
    • access to design documentation
    • access to mission-system/software interfaces
    • and, at the highest level, transfer of genuinely sensitive technologies such as stealth treatments, AESA technology, EW systems, propulsion and materials/process know-how

Peskov’s remarks do not indicate that Russia is retracting its Su-57 technology-transfer offer. They do, however, confirm that the phrase “technology transfer” is not a settled, unlimited commitment. Moscow appears to be distinguishing between a political offer of cooperation and the specific production technologies, source code, design data, and intellectual property India wants.

It depends on how much Russia is willing to share and at what cost.

 

  1. Should India buy the Su-57 off the shelf if production-tech transfer isn’t agreed?

The answer is no, as it does not serve the purpose. India’s interest is to become self-reliant while maintaining minimum deterrence. To achieve this aim, India doesn’t merely need another fighter aircraft. It needs quality platforms along with access to associated technology to advance its indigenous program.

India is simultaneously trying to develop AMCA as its indigenous fifth-generation fighter. The government has been moving the programme forward, with private-sector contenders now involved in the development/production process. Therefore, India shouldn’t allow the Su-57 to become a substitute for AMCA.

Bottom line: India should buy the Su-57 only if it comes with an industrial capability (at a reasonable cost), not merely an aircraft.

  

Video Bytes for Vistaar News

The video bytes cover the meaning and message of President Putin’s second visit to India in 9 months and his meeting with PM Modi before the BRICS summit.

Link to the Video Bytes:-

https://youtu.be/6mm-KSTsS-8?si=wFwU2pQ4FY03VQYN

 

New Delhi Declaration

 Reportedly, the BRICS nations have unanimously adopted the New Delhi Declaration 2026 on the opening day of the summit at Bharat Mandapam. Achieving a full consensus was hailed as a major diplomatic success, especially given deep geopolitical divisions and sharp initial disagreements between member states like Iran and the UAE.

Key declarations and takeaways from the joint document include:

  1. Geopolitical Conflicts & Middle East Restraint
    • Call for Calm: The declaration urges restraint regarding escalating conflicts in West Asia and the Middle East, specifically highlighting a firm opposition to the forced displacement of Palestinians.
    • Peaceful Resolution: Member nations underlined the importance of preventing conflict, addressing root causes, and resolving international disputes through dialogue, consultation, and diplomacy.
    • Sovereignty Protection: Leaders, including Chinese President Xi Jinping, emphasised the need to oppose sovereignty violations and interference in other nations’ internal affairs.
  1. Global Trade & Trade Protectionism
    • Rejection of Unilateral Barriers: The document strongly condemns arbitrary trade restrictions and unilateral tariffs.
    • Supply Chain Security: Members pledged to work collectively to maintain the smooth, unhindered flow of global trade, energy, and vulnerable supply chains.
    • De-Dollarisation: The grouping reiterated its push for local-currency settlements in cross-border trade to reduce dependence on Western-dominated financial networks.
  1. Global Governance & WTO Reform
    • UNSC Restructuring: The declaration calls for a “structural update” and reform of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to give the Global South a louder voice and better representation.
    • WTO Dispute Mechanism: The bloc explicitly demanded the immediate restoration of a fully functioning, two-tier dispute settlement mechanism at the World Trade Organisation (WTO) and the swift appointment of new Appellate Body members.
  1. Public Health & Technical Cooperation
    • Global Health Focus: In a significant healthcare push, the declaration formally recognises obesity and Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) as major public health threats.
    • Mental Health Initiatives: The text established a new mechanism to govern a network of Centers of Excellence (CoEs) aimed at integrating mental well-being and psychosocial interventions directly into primary healthcare systems.

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Pics Courtesy: Internet

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to the respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

699: WEST ASIAN TENSIONS IMPACTING EURASIA

 

Article for the “Center of Excellence for Geopolitics and International Studies” website of  Reva University on 08 Jul 25.

 

The West Asia has long been a crucible of geopolitical strife, with its conflicts reverberating far beyond its borders. In 2025, escalating tensions in the region, driven by a volatile mix of sectarian rivalries, resource competition, and great power interventions, continue to reshape the political, economic, and security landscape of Eurasia. From energy markets to migration flows, and trade routes to diplomatic alignments, the ripple effects of West Asian instability are profoundly felt across the vast Eurasian supercontinent, influencing both regional powers and global dynamics.

 

Energy Market Disruptions. The West Asia remains a linchpin of the global energy supply, with countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Iraq holding significant portions of the world’s oil and gas reserves. Tensions, particularly between Iran and its Gulf neighbours, have repeatedly threatened key chokepoints, such as the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil passes. Recent escalations have driven oil prices higher, with Brent crude currently hovering around $95-100 per barrel as of mid-2025. This volatility directly impacts the economies of Eurasia, particularly energy-hungry nations like China and India, which rely heavily on West Asian oil.

 

Trade Routes and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities. The West Asia’s strategic geography makes it a crucial node in Eurasian trade networks, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Conflicts in the region, such as the ongoing Israel-Palestinian/Iran crisis and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, threaten maritime routes like the Suez Canal, through which 12% of global trade flows. Houthi drone and missile strikes on shipping in 2024-2025 have forced rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, increasing costs and delays for goods moving between Asia and Europe. This has prompted China to bolster overland BRI routes through Central Asia.

 

Migration and Humanitarian Crises. West Asian conflicts have driven waves of migration, with profound implications for the Eurasian region. The Syrian civil war continues to push refugees into Turkey. In 2025, renewed violence in Iraq and Yemen has triggered fresh displacement, with refugees and asylum seekers moving not only westward but also eastward into Central Asia and South Asia. Pakistan and Iran, already hosting millions of Afghan refugees, face additional pressures, exacerbating resource scarcity and ethnic tensions. The humanitarian toll also diverts resources from development projects.

 

Security and Geopolitical Realignments. West Asian tensions are reshaping Eurasian security dynamics, prompting major powers to recalibrate their strategies in response. Russia, a key player in both regions, leverages its military presence in Syria to project power while deepening ties with Iran. This alignment, however, alienates Turkey and complicates Moscow’s relations with Sunni-majority states like Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, China’s non-interventionist stance is tested as it seeks to protect its investments in the Middle East and Central Asia, leading to cautious military cooperation with regional powers. The U.S., while reducing its West Asian footprint, remains a pivotal actor through alliances with Israel and the GCC.

 

The Broader Eurasian Impact. The interplay of these factors creates a feedback loop that destabilises Eurasia. Regional powers, such as Turkey, Iran, and India, are often forced to adapt, often at the expense of their domestic priorities. Smaller Eurasian states, particularly in Central Asia, face heightened risks of being drawn into great power rivalries or extremist networks. Meanwhile, global initiatives like the BRI and climate transition efforts are slowed by the need to address immediate crises emanating from the West Asia.

 

Conclusion. In 2025, the West Asia’s tensions are not merely a regional issue but a Eurasian one, with consequences that ripple across continents. Addressing these challenges requires coordinated diplomacy, robust economic diversification, and a commitment to humanitarian principles. Without such efforts, the fault lines of the West Asia will continue to fracture the Eurasian landscape, undermining stability and prosperity for years to come.

 

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Link to the article on the web site:-

https://www.geopolitics.reva.edu.in/Middle%20East%20Tensions%20Impacting%20Eurasia.html

 

References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Pics Courtesy: Internet

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

 

References:-

  1. CSIS: Experts React: Energy Implications of Escalating Middle East Conflict, Published: October 8, 2024
  2. TRENDS Research & Advisory: Energy Geopolitics in a Fragmented World, Published: November 12, 2024
  3. Al Jazeera Centre for Studies: The Geopolitics of Global Trade: Why the Middle East Matters Now More Than Ever, Published: June 3, 2025
  4. Carnegie Endowment: The Geopolitics of Economic Development in the Middle East, Published: February 15, 2024
  5. Foreign Policy Research Institute: Turkey’s Evolving Geopolitical Strategy in the Black Sea, Published: December 4, 2024
  6. World Economic Forum: Global Risks Report 2025, Published: January 15, 2025
  7. IMF: Press Briefing Transcript: Middle East and Central Asia Department, Spring Meetings 2025, Published: April 24, 2025
  8. International Institute for Iranian Studies: The Middle East Conflict and Indications of Change in the Strategic Environment, Published: February 10, 2025
  9. Carnegie Endowment: Ending the New Wars of Attrition: Opportunities for Collective Regional Security in the Middle East, Published: March 5, 2025
  10. Brookings: Forecasting China’s Strategy in the Middle East over the Next Four Years, Published: December 19, 2024
  11. Asian Review of Political Economy: China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Southeast Asia and its Implications for ASEAN-China Strategic Partnership, Published: December 3, 2024
  12. Science Direct: The Belt and Road Initiative and Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment: Comparison and Current Status, Published: June 1, 2025

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