237: RUSSIA – UKRAINE CRISIS ESCALATES (24 FEB 22)

 

President Vladimir Putin had earlier recognised the independence of two of the states of Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin has received the authorization to use military force outside his country and the west has responded with sanctions. U.S. and European allies accuse Moscow of crossing a red line, in rolling over Ukraine’s border into separatist regions. Some called it an invasion.

(Strategic coercion at play with step by step climbing up the escalatory ladder)

 

Evacuation

Russia began evacuating its embassy and diplomatic posts in Kyiv. Russian flag is no longer flying over the Kyiv embassy.

(Increasing pressure by Strategic signalling)

 

Ukrainian authorities expressed increasing concern and advised its citizens against travel to Russia and recommended anyone there to leave immediately.

(Precautionary steps)

National state of emergency.

Ukraine’s parliament has voted to approve a national state of emergency in response to the threat of a Russian invasion. The measure was overwhelmingly approved on the same day that Moscow began to evacuate its Kyiv embassy and Washington stepped up its warnings about the chances of an all-out Russian attack.

(Policy  – Hope for the best and prepare for the worst)

 

Indian Stand.

Indian Defence Minister voiced India’s stance as that India wants peace and is always been in favour of world peace. India has called for restraint on all sides stating that the Russia-Ukraine dispute should be resolved through talks.

(Guarded tight rope walk. Non aligned policy or policy of equidistance?)

 

Bottom Line

Russia still trying to achieve its objectives by strategic coercion.

Ukraine banking on Collective Security.

 

Question

How far will Russia go?

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

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References and credits

To all the online news channels.

236: Latest on Ukraine-Russia Conflict (23 Feb 22)

 

  • Over the past few months, Russia has stationed a large number of troops at the border between itself and Ukraine. This has raised concerns about invasion. Events have escalated in the past 24 hours.
  • (Muscle flexing for strategic coercion)

 

  • Reports suggest a witness saw tanks and other military hardware moving through the separatist-controlled city of Donetsk.
  • (Testing the waters and gradual escalation)

 

  • Russia’s President, Vladimir Putin, has said that he plans to sign a decree recognising two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine as an independent.
  • (a move that would provide legitimacy for putting Russian boots in two regions of Ukraine).

 

  • UNSC assembles. In light of Putin’s announcement, the United Nations Security Council convened rapidly at the request of the United States, Britain, and France. Member nations have appealed and pleaded with Russia and asked Putin to step back.
  • (Multilateralism is still alive)

 

  • Sanctions galore. During the UNSC meeting, multiple nations announced plans to sanction Russia, with Britain’s representative saying there would be “far-reaching economic consequences if Russia doesn’t withdraw. 
  • (Have sanctions deterred in the past?) 

 

  • Britain. “Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has already begun, so Britain will impose sanctions on Russia,” a senior British minister said on Tuesday.
  • (Quick on the draw, US announcement on sanctions is still awaited)

 

Bottom Line

Humans can not stay in peace.

Multilateralism is still live.

 

 

Question

Will Russia invade Ukraine?

What will be China’s stand?

 

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235: S-400 Air Defence System

 

 

It was great interacting with Aadi Achint on Def Talks on a very current and valid topic.

(All information is based on open sources and views expressed are personal)

 

For selective viewing please click on the links below:

  1. Introduction (Up to 2:00).
  2. Perspective on AD & S-400 (2:00 – 07:37).
  3. System Description (7:37 – 13:55).
  4. Threats it can Handle (13:55 – 16:00).
  5. US Objections & Threat of Sanctions (16:00 – 26:25).
  6. Capability Enhancement, Employment & Effect on Adversary  (26:25 – 35:00).
  7. Cost Factor and Future Systems (35:00 onwards).

 

Bottom Line

 The system is much needed and is a game changer.

 

Question

Will we ever become self reliant on defence equipment, weapons and systems?

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

 

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