268: Q & A SERIES

Pics Courtesy: Internet

 

Q1. Will Xi Jinping come back for a third term?

 

A1. At the moment his chances are 50:50.

 

  • He is too aggressive in his approach.

 

  • He is a man in a hurry.

 

  • He has made too many enemies internally and externally.

 

  • His performance in the analysis of China’s two drivers:-

 

  • Get lost glory back – has done fairly well (made gains in HK, SCS, disputed territories, etc).

 

  • Avoid century of humiliation – has not faired too well (made too many enemies, has played his cards a bit early, and has encouraged anti-China groupings).

 

  • The internal dynamics of China is a “Game of Thrones”. Fault lines are appearing, and Voices of dissent are rising.

 

  • It is wait and watch for signs in the coming days.

 

Continue reading “268: Q & A SERIES”

265: 7 Security Lessons from War in Ukraine

Pic courtesy BBC

Being prepared for war is one of the most effective means of preserving peace.

      George Washington

Russia – Ukraine war has entered the fourth month, with no end in sight. This war has affected every aspect of warfare and international engagement. The war has brought into focus the issues related to the new emerging world order, multilateralism, collective security, nuclear deterrence, economic sanctions, information warfare, and food & energy security.

 

While the world is eagerly waiting for the end of this conflict, a lot of lessons are emerging from the prevailing situation.

 

Continue reading “265: 7 Security Lessons from War in Ukraine”

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