Tag: geopolitics

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515: KURSK INCURSION: TURNING THE TABLES

 

 

My OPED published on the EurAsian Times website on 30 Sep 24.

 

In an unexpected move, On Aug. 6, Ukraine surprised the world by launching a bold pre-emptive offensive attack into Russian territory. Reportedly, over 1000 Ukrainian troops, along with armour, crossed into Kursk Oblast, a Russian region that borders Ukraine to the southeast. Ukraine’s cross-border attack named “Operation Krepost” on Russia’s Kursk region is the most significant incursion by Ukrainian forces into Russian territory since the start of the war. In this operation, Ukraine claims to have seized over 1,000 square kilometres of territory and captured several settlements and hundreds of Russian soldiers. The Kursk attack is distinct in the scale of resources used by Ukraine and its highly secretive nature. The event represents a turning point in the war and global geopolitics, shifting the initiative temporarily from Moscow to Kyiv. It has sparked widespread debate, highlighting the conflict’s potential for escalation and geographical expansion and raising questions about the underlying objectives behind this move and its possible future repercussions.

 

Surprise, Shock and Awe. Any move into Russia required a surprise. The Ukrainian attack on Kursk was a stunning display of surprise in modern warfare. By employing a mix of operational secrecy, deception, and tactical manoeuvring, Ukraine managed to achieve a surprising advantage. Ukraine had been engaging Russian forces in the eastern regions around Toretsk and Pokrovsk, giving an impression that its primary focus remained there and diverting attention away from the northern border with Kursk. Ukraine also exploited the gaps in stretched-out Russian deployment by attacking an area with lesser defences. In contrast to previous minor ones with irregular forces, the sheer magnitude of the incursion misled Russian military planners, leaving them in shock and awe at the audacity of the Ukrainian troops. The plans were kept tightly under wraps, sharing them only with a tight group of generals and security officials. The attack was executed with remarkable speed and efficiency, limiting Russia’s ability to mobilise reserves and respond effectively in the early stages. This swift strike allowed Ukrainian forces to capture territory and establish control over critical areas before a complete Russian response could be coordinated.

 

Intentions and Objectives. Ukraine aimed to shift the momentum of the war by launching an offensive into Russian territory. Strategically, Ukraine aimed to divert Russian forces from other critical fronts, such as the eastern regions of Toretsk and Pokrovsk, where Russia had been advancing. While the complete success of this diversion is debated, Ukraine’s offensive has forced Russia to reassess its deployments and react to the threat. Ukraine’s objectives could also be to weaken Russia’s military capability, capture territory, and disrupt Russian supply lines. Some analysts also speculate that holding Russian territory might give Ukraine better leverage in peace negotiations in future. Besides, Ukraine needed to boost its morale after months of defensive operations. A successful offensive into Russia would showcase Ukrainian capabilities and counter Russian propaganda about an inevitable victory. These factors combined to encourage Ukraine to take the risk of crossing into Russia and launching the most significant cross-border attack of the war.

 

 

Effect on Russia. The Ukrainian attack on Kursk has had a significant effect on Russia, both militarily and politically. It has forced Russia to divert resources, exposed its military vulnerabilities, and increased internal political and psychological pressure. The Kursk Offensive has further stretched the already heavily engaged Russian military on multiple fronts, further complicating ongoing Russian offensive operations. Ukraine’s capture of territory in Kursk, including several settlements, is a blow to Russian morale and undermines the Russian invincibility. However, it has also significantly boosted Ukrainian morale, providing a much-needed psychological advantage. This also posed logistical challenges, as Ukrainian forces targeted vital supply lines and infrastructure. The Kursk attack is a psychological blow to the Russians, raising fears of further incursions and challenging the Kremlin’s portrayal of the war as distant from Russian territory. The shock of the incursion could also erode public support for the ongoing conflict as casualties rise and domestic security is threatened. The attack puts internal pressure on the Russian government.

 

Russian Response. Russian President Vladimir Putin called the incursion “a large-scale provocation” and responded by declaring an emergency, imposing heightened security measures in these areas and launching retaliatory counterattacks. Russia mobilised additional troops, mainly from regions close to Kursk, such as Belgorod and Bryansk, to stabilise the situation and prevent further Ukrainian advances. Russia escalated its aerial bombardments across Ukraine, focusing on critical infrastructure, military installations, and supply lines. These colossal airstrikes aimed to disrupt Ukraine’s operations and cripple its logistics. Several missiles (including Kinzhal, Kh-101 and Iskander missiles) and drones attacked 15 of Ukraine’s 24 regions.  Russia also deployed more drones and missile systems to target Ukrainian cities far from the front lines. Russia organised ground counteroffensives to reclaim the territory lost to Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region. These counterattacks aimed to regain control of settlements captured by Ukraine and reinforce border defences. Alongside traditional military responses, Russia reportedly increased cyber-attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure and government systems, aiming to weaken Ukraine’s command and control capabilities. Diplomatically, Russia described the Ukrainian attack as a significant provocation, with President Putin labelling it as part of Ukraine’s broader strategy to destabilise Russia. The Russian government used the Kursk attack to rally domestic support for the war effort and called on international partners to limit support for Ukraine.

 

Ukraine’s Supporters.  Several nations and organisations provided critical assistance to Ukraine. The U.S. is Ukraine’s most prominent supporter, providing billions in military aid, including advanced weaponry, intelligence, and training. The U.S. has supplied systems like HIMARS and air defence platforms, which are essential to Ukraine’s defence against Russian advances. Most NATO members, particularly those in Eastern Europe, like Poland, the Baltic States, and Romania, have provided substantial military aid, logistical support, and training. The European Union has also contributed financially, providing billions in aid packages. The U.K. has been a critical supporter, delivering advanced weapons systems and training Ukrainian forces. It has also played a significant diplomatic role, pushing for continued Western support for Ukraine. Canada has offered military and financial assistance to Ukraine, providing artillery systems, armoured vehicles, and drones. It has also imposed significant sanctions on Russia and supported diplomatic initiatives against the invasion. Western defence contractors, particularly from the U.S., have supplied Ukraine with essential technology and equipment. Civil society movements and non-governmental organisations in countries supporting Ukraine have also raised funds and provided humanitarian assistance. These state and non-state supporters have enabled Ukraine to continue resisting the Russian invasion, providing a vital backbone of military, economic, and diplomatic support.

 

Behind-the-scenes Support. In this instance, a debate has arisen about the direct or indirect involvement of the behind-the-scenes supporters. Washington says it was not informed about Ukraine’s plans ahead of its Aug. 6 incursion into Kursk. The United States has also said it did not take any part in the operation. Russia claims that the United States’ involvement in Ukraine’s incursion into Russia’s western Kursk region was “an obvious fact.” Russia also asserts that Western weaponry, including British tanks and U.S. rocket systems, have been used by Ukraine in Kursk. Media sources have reported that the United States and Britain have provided Ukraine with satellite imagery and other information about the Kursk region in the days after the Ukrainian attack. The intelligence was aimed at helping Ukraine keep better track of Russian reinforcements that might attack them or cut off their eventual withdrawal back to Ukraine.

 

 

Crystal Gazing. Ukraine’s advance into Kursk would culminate due to a combination of the Russian response, the number of casualties, and extended lines of communication. The Ukrainian army will probably be unable to hold all of the Russian territory it has advanced on. Kyiv is contemplating a longer-term occupation to use the land as a bargaining chip.  This will take a lot of Ukrainian resources, and enforcing a long-term occupation would depend on factors like Ukraine’s priorities, the availability and spare ability of resources, and the severity of the Russian response. The choices include consolidation on the captured terrain and partial or complete withdrawal. Partial withdrawal and consolidation seem to be the logical possibility.

 

The initial successes achieved by Kyiv in The Kursk attack have further intensified the war and raised questions about the future of the conflict. The Ukrainian offensive into Russian territory has had a profound impact on the course of the war. On one hand, it has boosted the morale of the Ukrainian army and sent a strong message to the West about Ukraine’s ability to take the offensive initiative. On the other hand, the offensive has elicited mixed reactions in Russia. The event has far-reaching repercussions on the entire war, further complicating the situation in the coming period. The war in Ukraine is a complex game, with many intertwined factors influencing the course of events. Both sides are undertaking concurrent campaigns that consume enormous resources (manpower, munitions, and supporting systems). Surge operations for short durations are possible, but sustaining them for long durations is doubtful. The future of this war mainly depends on the extent of continued Western military and political support to Ukraine.

 

Link to the Website:

https://www.eurasiantimes.com/operation-krepost-ukraines-awe-inspiring/

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome.

 

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References

  1. Basel Haj Jasem, “Kursk: A new chapter in the Ukraine war”, Daily Sabah, 27 Aug 2024.
  1. Anastasiia Lapatina, “Six Observations—and Open Questions—on

Ukraine’s Kursk Operation”, 15 Aug 2024.

  1. Deutsche Welle, “What is behind Ukraine’s Kursk operation in Russia?” The Indian Express, New Delhi, 11 Aug 24.
  1. “Moscow says US involvement in Ukrainian incursion into Russia’s Kursk is ‘an obvious fact’”, By Reuters, 27 Aug 24
  1. Mick Ryan, “The Kursk Offensive Dilemma”, Futura Doctrina, 19 Aug 24.

Credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

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512: PEACE AND SECURITY IN SOUTH ASIA: BANGLADESH AND MYANMAR

 

 

My Article published on IIRF (Indus International Research Foundation) site

 

South Asia is one of the world’s most populous and geopolitically significant regions. A complex web of ethnic, religious, political, and territorial disputes makes maintaining peace and security in the region a big challenge. Bangladesh and Myanmar, two key countries in this region, face specific regional stability challenges. These include ethnic conflicts, refugee crises, political instability, and militant threats. Both nations’ security dynamics also have wider implications for neighbouring countries, especially India, China, and Southeast Asia.

 

Critical Issues

 

Ethnic Conflicts and the Rohingya Crisis. Myanmar’s Rohingya Crisis has been one of the most significant security challenges in recent years. The Rohingya Muslim minority in Myanmar’s Rakhine State has faced decades of persecution, which culminated in a military crackdown in 2017 that was widely condemned as ethnic cleansing. Over 700,000 Rohingya fled to neighbouring Bangladesh, creating one of the largest refugee crises in recent history. Bangladesh provided temporary refuge in the Cox’s Bazar area. The strain on its resources, coupled with fears of radicalisation and the Rohingya population’s vulnerability, raised concerns over the long-term security and stability of the region. The inability to repatriate the Rohingya to Myanmar due to Myanmar’s refusal to guarantee safety, citizenship, or basic rights continues to fuel tensions.

 

Myanmar’s Political Instability and Civil War. Myanmar’s political situation worsened after the military coup in February 2021, which ousted the civilian government led by Aung San Suu Kyi and re-imposed military rule. The coup triggered widespread civil disobedience movements, violent military crackdowns, and growing armed resistance by ethnic militias and the newly formed People’s Defense Forces (PDF). The country is now in the grips of a low-intensity civil war, where several ethnic armed groups (Kachin, Karen, Shan, etc.) have intensified their fight for autonomy. The instability in Myanmar has made it a hotspot for human rights violations, arms smuggling, and cross-border tensions. The situation has created refugee flows into neighbouring countries, particularly Thailand and India, and has raised fears that Myanmar could become a haven for terrorist networks and drug trafficking.

 

Islamic Extremism and Terrorist Threats. Bangladesh has faced sporadic issues with Islamic extremism, with groups like Jamaat-ul-Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB) and other more minor factions trying to radicalise youths. These groups have been responsible for attacks on secularists, bloggers, and foreigners, raising concerns about the growth of extremism in a relatively moderate Muslim-majority country. Although the Bangladeshi government had taken steps to curb militancy, the risk of radicalisation within specific sectors of society, particularly in refugee camps (housing the Rohingya), poses a long-term threat to regional security.

 

Border Management and Illegal Activities. Bangladesh-Myanmar border areas have been hotspots for illegal activities, including arms trafficking, human trafficking, and drug smuggling. The porous borders and the lack of effective governance in these areas complicate efforts to maintain peace and security. The spread of narcotics such as methamphetamines from Myanmar into Bangladesh and other neighbouring countries has become a severe issue, contributing to organised crime and funding insurgent groups.

 

Geopolitical Competition and Influence. South Asia is an arena for geopolitical competition between major powers like China, India, and the United States. All of these powers have interests in maintaining stability in the region but also pursue policies driven by strategic competition. China’s growing influence in Bangladesh and Myanmar complicates regional dynamics. Myanmar’s military regime has long had close ties with China, which provides diplomatic support and economic investments. Meanwhile, Bangladesh has also seen increased Chinese investment, primarily through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). India, which has historical and strategic ties with Bangladesh and shares a long border with both countries, seeks to counterbalance Chinese influence. India supports the return of democracy in Myanmar, but its ability to directly influence the political outcomes in either country remains limited. The United States has also increased its attention on South Asia as part of its Indo-Pacific strategy, which aims to contain China and promote democratic governance. Washington has imposed sanctions on Myanmar’s military leaders post-coup, but it is also seeking to strengthen ties with Bangladesh, particularly in areas of security cooperation and economic development.

 

Enhancing Peace and Security

 

 

Regional Cooperation and Multilateral Engagement. Addressing the interconnected security challenges in Bangladesh and Myanmar requires robust regional cooperation. Organisations like SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) and ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) can play a role in conflict resolution, refugee management, and addressing cross-border threats such as terrorism and trafficking. ASEAN, of which Myanmar is a member, has struggled to mediate the crisis post-coup. However, ASEAN’s efforts to establish dialogue with Myanmar’s military and other stakeholders must be enhanced to prevent the country’s further isolation and encourage a peaceful resolution. Bangladesh can benefit from broader multilateral forums like BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation), which includes Myanmar, to promote economic cooperation and discuss transnational security threats.

 

Resolving the Rohingya Crisis. The Rohingya refugee crisis is central to the peace and security dynamics between Bangladesh and Myanmar. Bangladesh’s diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis should focus on resolving the issue through the United Nations, ASEAN, and bilateral talks with Myanmar. More significant international pressure on Myanmar is needed to ensure a safe and dignified repatriation process for the Rohingya. However, this will require Myanmar’s willingness to provide citizenship rights and security guarantees.

 

Combating Extremism and Transnational Terrorism. Bangladesh must continue its successful counter-terrorism initiatives, such as intelligence sharing, policing reform, and de-radicalisation programs, to mitigate the threat of extremism. Regional cooperation on counter-terrorism between Bangladesh, Myanmar, India, and other neighbouring states is crucial, especially in curbing cross-border terrorist movements and dismantling terrorist financing networks.

 

Political Stability and Democratic Transitions. Supporting democratic transitions in Myanmar is critical to long-term stability. Diplomatic efforts should bring various ethnic groups and political stakeholders, including the military and opposition groups, to the negotiating table for a political settlement. Bangladesh’s democratic institutions must be supported in maintaining the rule of law, good governance, and political inclusivity, as these are critical factors in preventing the growth of extremism and unrest.

 

Peace and security in Bangladesh and Myanmar remain precarious, influenced by internal political strife, ethnic conflicts, and cross-border security threats. The Rohingya crisis stands as a pivotal issue that affects both countries and needs a coordinated international response. Moreover, Myanmar’s internal conflict following the military coup has destabilised the region, raising fears of spillover effects, including refugee flows, terrorism, and illegal trafficking. Enhanced regional cooperation, international engagement, and sustained humanitarian support are essential in promoting stability in this part of South Asia. Bangladesh’s efforts in combating terrorism and maintaining political stability should be supported, while Myanmar requires a long-term strategy to achieve peace and move towards democratic governance. Without sustained international pressure and multilateral diplomacy, these challenges may continue to undermine the security of the entire region.

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome.

 

Link to the article:-

https://indusresearch.in/peace-and-security-in-south-asia-bangladesh-and-myanmar/

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

References:

  1. “Khandakar Tahmid Rejwan”, Myanmar’s Civil War: Security Implications for Bangladesh, Stimson, 26 jun 24.

 

  1. Sreeparna Banerjee, “The Rohingya Crisis and its Impact on Bangladesh-Myanmar Relations, Issue Brief, Observer Research Foundation, 10 May 23.

 

  1. Sagarika Dutt, “Peace and Development in South Asia: Problems and Prospects”, Sage Journals. 02 Jan 24.

 

  1. Jubaida Auhana Faruque, “A Civil War in Myanmar, a Regional Threat to South Asia”, BIPSS, Jul 21.

 

  1. Prothom Alo, “Myanmar’s conflict and implications for Bangladesh and the region”, BIPSS Policy Circle, 22 Feb 24.

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

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509: Celebrating Fourth BLOGAVERSARY with 500+ Posts

 

Air Marshal’s Perspective

(Candid and to the point – काम की बात)

SELF MANAGED BLOG

 

 

Ranked 14th in the list of Top 25 Indian Defence Blogs and Websites

 

 

 

Hello Readers,

 

It has been four years since the blog “Air Marshal’s Perspective” was launched. The idea of the blog is to share the gained knowledge and new learnings.

 

 

The tagline of the blog “Candid and to the point / काम की बात”, explains the style adopted. In the times of quick fix (Twenty 20 cricket), everyone wants to know the gist of the issue (as one of my gurus used to say “Just tell me the निचोड़”). The written posts cover the topic in bullet form (two to three pages), with a reading time of 5-7 minutes. The lengthier video bytes have a selective viewing option.

 

First and foremost thanks to all the readers who read the blog and provide the necessary encouragement to continue blogging.

 

 

Topics Covered

 

 Leadership, Management, Motivation, and  Growth Mindset
Decision making
Mental toughness
Earning respect
Good  leadership qualities and values
Science of Karma
Good working culture and environment
Listening Skills
Be good, feel good
Healthy working environment
importance of Tolerance
Lessons from Buddha
Difference between strength and courage
Lessons from rich and famous
Leadership lessons from Hollywood movies.
Shark in the tank theory of management
Car wheel theory of management
Aya Ram Gaya Ram syndrome – yes, men.
Calculated Risks
Practical Leadership and Management
Communication skills and body language
Lessons from Nanak
Being Responsible and Tolerant
Growth Mindset
Transferable Skills
Advice to the young generation
Motivational Talks
Importance of self-discipline
Learn from Ganesha
Listen to Krishna
Words of Wisdom
Life in IAF
Convocation Address – lessons from life in IAF
Courage is an essential trait of leadership.
Leadership: A Privilege
Embrace your Journey of Life
Trust and Integrity:  The Cornerstones of Authentic Leadership
Five by Five rule: Assured happiness.
 

China
China’s Brain is differently wired.
China’s strategic thought
China’s military modernisation
China’s Defence industry
China – Pakistan Collusion
China – Art of deception
China: Kill Pigs List
China: Social Score System
China: Active Defence Policy
China’s Joint Strategic Support Force (JSSF)
China – Joint Strategic Support Force.
Dealing with the Dragon
China’s grey zone operations
China: Flavours of military Reform
China: Pillars of Military Reform
China’s new diplomacy – drawing red lines in the sand.
China – demographic analysis.
China through US Prism
China in the South China Sea
China’s Military – Civil Fusion
PLAAF Analysis Strengths and weaknesses
Book review on China Airpower
Dealing with Dragon
Knowing China Better: lie flat and let it rot.
Knowing China, Better social life and customs
Something is not right in Dragon land.
Q&A India China stand-off
China in IOR
What is cooking in the Chinese military cauldron
Dragon at Shigatse
China aircraft carrier development
China’s military reorganisation: a story of evolution and reversion.
 

Geopolitics 
China
Pakistan – National Security Policy, Turmoil
Afghanistan
India’s foreign policy
India’s neighbourhood
Quad
Indo – Russian relations
State of Airpower Assets in Afghanistan
Indo – US relations
Afghanistan: Taliban run over
World in Transition
US-China Shadowboxing over Taiwan
China spoiling Bhutan’s GNH.
Thucydides  Trap, – Dragon challenging Eagle
South China sea
Gini Index and implications.
Multilateralism: Flexible Security Cooperation.
India-Pakistan border issue – tunnels and drones
India-China border talks
China Pak Collusivity
SCO Shanghai Cooperation Organisation: Relevance  and future trajectory
Sri Lanka Economic crisis: lessons and opportunity
Ukraine Conflict
Bangladeshi tango with China
Economic Sanctions
Djibouti: Tug of war between USA and China
The Future of Conflict in the Asian Context
Israel Palestine standoff
India, Pakistan, China Asian triangle
Indo-US Collaboration in Defence
World in Transit
Indo-Russia relations
Indo-Vietnam Cooperation
Many suitors for strategically located Djibouti
Renewed Impetus to Indo-Russia Relations
 

Air Power

 
Airpower in Grey zone operations
Airpower in no war, no peace situation
Air Power & Non-Kinetic Warfare
Air Power in Multi-Domain Warfare
Airpower in HADR ops and aid to civil authorities
Drone Threat: The Big Picture
Fighter aircraft classifications by generations
Emerging Technologies and Air Defence
Air Power in Modern-Day Warfare
S-400 SAM AD System
Combat Aviation most desired – least understood.
Changing nature of warfare
Air Defence operations
Air power strategies: multiple threats and limited resources
Airpower in the maritime domain
Air Power and effect-based operations
Air power concepts: Command / control the air, air supremacy, Air superiority and favourable air situation.
Contemporary airpower thought
How does an aeroplane fly
Air power basics revisited.
Air power and war endurance
Global Wars and lessons for Indian airpower
Classification of fighter jets into generations
Centralised planning decentralised execution
Global Airpower Ranking 2024
Giulio  Douhet: Relevance Today
All About Airpower
Airpower in Indian Context
Airpower Theorists and Their Core Thoughts and Beliefs
Relevance of John Warden’s thoughts on Air Power Application and Air Campaign Planning.
Future trends of fighter aircraft.
Air Campaign Planning
 

Technology

 
Hypersonics and hypersonic weapons
Technology and airpower
Future Trajectory of AI
Artificial intelligence
Future of conflict in new domains (Space, Cyber and deep sea)
Unmanned Platforms and Swarms, Loyal Wingman concept
AI and Fake News
AI: Digital twins and Surrogate models
Military application of quantum technology.
What next after 6th gen aircraft
Technology in the defence forces.
Mission Divyastra MIRV Technology
Technology and the future of aircraft maintenance
Speed Race: Hypersonic weapons
Countering Hypersonic Threat: Difficult but Manageable Problem
 

Security
Collective Security
National Security / Military Strategy
Urgent need for National Security Policy
Collective dealing with non-traditional challenges
 

Cyber Safety and Security

 
Cyber warfare
Digital addiction
Economic Cyber Frauds
Future of conflict in new domains (Space, Cyber and deep sea)
 

Nuclear

 
Nuclear trends, threats and challenges 27 Jun 24
Nuclear aspects revisited
 

Space

 
Space operations
Space warfare and organisation in India
Space-based ISR
Space warfare in the Korean Peninsula
Launch of 50 surveillance satellites by ISRO in 5 years.
Future of conflict in new domains (Space, Cyber and deep sea)
 

Indian Air Force

 
Capability development
Tejas and AMCA project
IAF role in HADR and aid to civil and other agencies
Network-centric operations
PLAAF and IAF comparative analysis
IAF Modernisation
Balakot Operations
Maritime air operations in future
Rafale induction and capability enhancement
S-400 Induction
Fire Power Demo: Ex Vayu Shakti
IAF fighter strength drawdown and mitigation plan
IAF Strategies: past, present and future.
Life in IAF
IAF multi-national exercises
Exercise Bright Star 2023
Strategic evolution of IAF
C-295 ac induction IAF capability enhancement and benefits
Astra AAR BVR Missile
Journey through IAF
Prachand the Himalayan griffin.
Women air warriors in the IAF
IAF challenges and future trajectory.
Discussion on the book by Jasjit Sinh: Defence from the Skies.
 

War and Warfare

 
Types of war
Decoys and deception
Afghanistan Air Assets
Future Wars
Warfare
Grey Zone Warfare
Classification of warfare into generations (Russian Thoughts)
Domains of warfare
C4ISR
Military Balance in the region
Ukraine War: Air Power aspects, a case of dog and bone, Air Superiority aspects, decoding Ukraine war. Lessons.
Operational Logistics
Lesser known facts about 1971the  War
Review of book on 1962 war
Review of the book on the 1965 war
India’s two-front challenge
Douhet theories
Duration of Conflict
Jasjit Singh on Airpower
Galwan standoff
Asymmetric Threat
Accelerating the Paradigm Shift
Multilateralism: Relevance and changes
Aspect – Long-drawn wars
National Security Strategy
HAMAS attack on Israel
Cognitive warfare
India’s readiness for drone warfare
Integrated deterrence
Orchestrating Air Campaigns: Thumb Rules
Russia-Ukraine War: Phase of Engagement with long Range Vectors
Kargil War
 

Military
Military diplomacy
Military spending: trends and analysis.
Collusive Threat and Deterrence: Air and Space Aspects
Integrated Capability Development.
Joint war game training systems
Fighter Pilot: Traits
Agni veer and Agnipath / Tour of duty / making best of the scheme
Andaman and Nicobar Command and Islands
Defining Military Diplomacy
Women in the Indian Defence Services
Joint Operations and Jointmanship
Trends in International Arms Transfer
Global Military Spending – Trends and Analysis (2023)
Women in defence forces: prospects and challenges.
 

Higher Defence Organisation

 
Department of military affairs
Theaterisation
Air defence command
Civil-military fusion
Theatre Command in Indian Context
Reorganisation of HDO in India
 

Flight Safety
Golden rules of safety
Importance of SOPs
A proactive approach to safety
Damage due to Bird Hits and Foreign Objects
Safety and aviation
Good safety Culture
Tool management for safe maintenance
Aircraft Drift – Causes and Concerns
Sathe safety aspects of short landings.
Inculcating safety culture
 

Defence Industry

 
Indigenous defence industry
HAL and DPSUs
Role of the private sector in defence production
Arms Transfer to Afghanistan
Defence Budget issues
Atmanirbharta
Exportability of LCA and Brahmos combined package
IAF and indigenisation
Indian Initiatives to promote self-reliance
Tejas export options
Russia – India Defence contracts past, present and future.
EU’s defence spending
Aero India 2021 & 2023
Arms trade: Trends and Concerns
Arms trade: flow vis-a-vis hot spots
Expanding the footprint of Boeing in India
Decoding US presence at Aero India 2023
Global Military Spending: Trends and Catalysts
 

India
Understanding Manipur Dynamics
Indian foreign policy and defence diplomacy
Meghalaya Dynamics
Transparency, Accountability and Threats to Independent Institutions of Democracy
 

Book Reviews and Endorsements

 
1946: Last War of Independence: Royal Indian Navy Mutiny by Pramod Kapur
1962 Border War: Territorial Dispute and Beyond by Ismail Vergasseri
The Politics of South China Sea Disputes By Nehginpao Kipgen
1965 A Western Sunrise: India’s War With Pakistan By Shiv Kunal Verma
The Game Behind Saffron Terror by Kanwar Khatana
Peer  Review –  “China-The Rising Aerospace Power: Implications for India”
Peer Review –  “MRO as a strategic asset”
Book Endorsement – “Greatest Air Aces of All Time” by Air Marshal Anil Chopra
Book Endorsement – The 1971 Indo-Pak Air War: Reflections and Projections
Peer review of a paper on Global challenges of soft power.
 

Stories

 
My tryst with HT-2 aircraft: The day god flew with me
The day I flew my dad’s car.
Malse Lake: Tale of two-course mates
Flying Tales
Tribute to Air Mshl PK Dey “Remembering Dadu: Self-Made Legend
SHIQURDU: 50 + posts of simplified Deep-meaning thoughts in Hurdu (a mix of Hindi and Urdu)
Remembering Dadu: Self Made Legend

 

Collaborated, Coordinated, Partnered, Assisted, Liaised, Cooperated, and Interacted with:-

 

Distinguished fellow at United Services Institute (USI).

Distinguished Fellow at the Center of Air Power Studies (CAPS).

On the editorial board of the College of Air Warfare Journal.

On the editorial board of CAPS Journal (Blue Yonder).

On the editorial board of News Analytics.

Strategic Advisor – Aerospace and Defence division of the Synergia Foundation.

Advisor – Indus International Research Foundation.

Advisor – Bharat TV Now

Life member: White Canvas Education Council.

Instructed at Peninsula Foundation & CSDR.

Conferred a title by Gems B School: Distinguished Son of India.

Member – Asia Centre Bangalore.

 

Organisation Type of Organisation Type of work
Centre of Air Power Studies (CAPS)

Distinguished Fellow

 Think Tank Talks (China, Leadership, Joint Strategic support force & Maritime air ops), Article on Air Defence & Airpower strategies. Seminar on Ukraine war. Conduct of discussions during WASP prog.
United Services Institute (USI)

Distinguished Fellow

 Think Tank Talks, panellists in Seminars/Webinars, Articles for journals, Strategic exercises at IFS, NDC, CAW and 27 Mtn Div, mentoring, strategic game on capability building. Peer review of paper
Synergia Foundation

Strategic Advisor – Aerospace and Defence division of the Synergia Foundation.

 Think Tank Articles, Talk during Aero India, Talk during Def Expo.

Talk at Bangalore International Centre.
Shyama Prakash Mukherji Research Foundation (SPMRF) Think Tank Suraksha Samvad – Study & Discussion
Delhi Policy Group (DPG) Think Tank Panellist in Seminars / Webinars
Vivekanand International Foundation Think Tank Panellist in Webinars and Podcasts.

Wargame.
CENJOWS Think Tank Panellist in Seminars / Webinars (Integrated Capability Development – Sep 21)
CSDR (The Council for Strategic and Defence Research) Think Tank Talk / Lecture on Air Power & IAF
CKS – Center for Knowledge Sovereignty Think Tank Talk on China – How Does Dragon’s Brain Work

Talk – Strategic evolution of IAF
Manohar Parikar Institute of Defence Studies and Analysis(MPIDSA) Think Tank Participated in Seminars/ webinars
Fair Observer (USA) Think Tank    Panellist in Seminar/ webinar

Making sense of India’s stand on Ukraine
CASA (The Current & Strategic Affairs Forum) Think Tank Participated in Seminars/ webinars
National Maritime Foundation Think Tank Participated in Seminars/ webinars

Indo-pacific strategic dialogue
CLAWS Think Tank Participated in Seminars/ webinars

Article on war Endurance
SAMDES Think Tank Participated in Seminars/ webinars
The Takshashila Institution Think Tank Participated in Seminars/ webinars

Panellist  for discussion on Agniveer scheme
The Peninsula Foundation Think Tank Lecture on Air power and IAF

Participated in Seminars/ webinars
Chennai Center for China Studies Think Tank Panellist in Seminar/ webinar (PLAAF)
Indic Research Forum Think Tank Panellist in Seminar/ webinar (PLAAF)

Keynote address: IAF and Counterterrorism ops

Panelist: Ukraine war.
Chanakya Forum Website Think Tank Articles

Decoding US presence at Aero India 2023.

Ukraine war.

IAF strength drawdown.

Understanding Manipur dynamics

C295 ac induction in IAF

India’s readiness for drone warfare

Chinese Gryfalcon in Pak skies.

Russia entices India with SU-75 aircraft.

Hypersonic Air Defence.

Prachand: the Himalayan griffin.
Chanakya Diaries Journal Article on Genesis of air power theories and their relevance today.
Gyan Chakra (WC of IA) Think Tank Article on IAF Strategies past, present and future.
Strive Dialogue (CC of IA) Think Tank Discussion on IAF multi-national exercises
Observers Research Foundation (ORF) Think Tank Global wars and lessons for Indian airpower
Indus International Research Foundation (IIRF) Think Tank Panellist – Theatre command in the Indian context

Article for the yearbook – combat aviation most essential least understood.

Panellist – Seminar on Indo-US Collaboration

Articles- Air power basics revisited

Fighter ac classification

Article-Renewed Impetus to Indo-Russia Relations

Article – Inculcating Safety Culture

Article – John Warden’s Air Power Thoughts
Asia Centre Bangalore Think Tank Member – talk on China
National Defence College (NDC) Military Institute Talks on China, Pakistan, and Afghanistan

Panellist – Future Application of Force – joint way ahead.
College of Air Warfare (CAW)

Editorial Board of CAW Journal

 Military Institute Talks (China, IAF, Airpower, leadership etc.),

Paper reviews (China, grey zone and Airpower, Hypersonic weapons, China military-civil fusion, etc.) and strategic exercise
 Flying Training Institute – Air Force Academy Military Institute Talks on leadership and motivation, Technology and air power
 Flying Training Institute – Bidar Military Institute Changing nature of warfare
 Flying Training Institute – Hakimpet Military Institute Dealing with two inimical neighbours.
 College of Defence Management Military Institute Talks on China, IAF, airpower, leadership etc.)
 Army War College Military Institute Talks on (China, Airpower, IAF etc.)
 College of Naval Warfare (CNW) Military Institute Talks on (Maritime air operations, Airpower and IAF)
 Defence Services Staff College (DSSC) Military Institute Talks on (Airpower, China, IAF, maritime air

Operations, etc.)

Non-Kinetic Warfare – Seminar and mentoring during exercise
 Western Air Command, IAF IAF Talk on China and Doklam
 Eastern Air Command, IAF IAF Webinar on China with CAPS – Joint Strategic Support Force, Article for Coffee Table Book
Southern Air Command IAF China in IOR, Maritime air ops
Training Command, IAF IAF Seminar on the 1971 War. Talk on Multilateralism.
HQ Maritime air ops IAF Future maritime air operations
Air Force Association IAF Article for Journal on HT-2 Aircraft, and Women Air Warriors
 HQ IDS HQ IDS Panellist – ICADS, AP vis-à-vis NKW
Talks at IAF Units, SDI, ASTE, BRDs (Pune & Delhi), Six squadron IAF Practical Leadership and Management, Ukraine conflict, IAF, Air power subjects
 ARTRAC, IA Army Panellist – Air power and MDW
 Union Public Service Commission (UPSC) Government Advisor.
 Def Talks Video channel Video Interviews(Drone threat, IAF roles and tasks,

AP in GZ, Indigenisation, Theatre commands, collective security, S – 400, Ukraine War, air superiority, Space warfare, Life of a Fighter Pilot
 Lt Gen Gurmeet Singh Video channel Video Interview (China, IAF and leadership)
 Hum Hindustani Video channel Video Interview (China, Drone Threat)
Jaideep Saikia Journalist Panellist in Webinar on China
The Book Review & Literary Trust Literary Trust 5 Book Reviews
FPRC (Foreign Policy Research Centre) Research Institute Articles India’s relations with Russia, USA and China
ABP News Channel Commentaries (Republic Day and Air Force Day)
BBC (Jugal Purohit) News Channel Interview on Balakot
CNN News Channel Video bytes – UFO sighting at Imphal airport
India TV News Channel Interview on Balakot, IAF Capability building
NDTV (Vishnu Som) News Channel Interview (Rafale)
Sansad TV News Channel Interview
India Today News Channel Interview on Balakot

Interview on China Threat & Indian Military Preparedness.

RD Commentary

Panel discussion on Tejas Mk IA
TV9 Bharatvarsh News Channel Video bytes on the TEJAS program, the Israel-Hamas war, the Astra Missile, a New airfield in Pakistan, Nyoma airfield, and the Launch of 50 satellites. Video bytes on SU-30 aircraft.
DD News News Channel Aero India 2023

Interview on Tejas aircraft
Eurasian Times News Channel Inputs on fighter aircraft procurement

Chinese J-31 for Pakistan

Dragon at Shigatse

Kargil War
Sputnik News Russia News Channel Interview on Defence contracts, inputs on Air Defence, S-400 and BMD.
Bharat TV Now News Channel Advisor

Discussion on Israel-Hamas war
News Analytics Online Forum Article on Russia-Ukraine War, China’s military reorganisation, IAF challenges & future trajectory.
Dept of East Asian Studies, DU University Panel Discussion: Modernisation of the Chinese Military
Rashtriya Raksha University University Talk: PLAAF and its modernisation.
UPES – University of Petroleum and Energy Studies (Dehradun) University Talk on Practical leadership and management during

FDP – Faculty Development Program
JNU University Talk on China
Fletcher South Asia society University India’s defence preparedness in a new environment.
Vels University, Chennai University Chief guest, talk on airpower, technology and motivation, Podcast
Hindustan University, Chennai University Keynote address – “International Conference on Autonomous Airborne Systems(ICAAS-2023)”
Christ University, Bangalore University Motivational Talk
Reva University University Track two Dialogue, Panellist – Indo – Russia Relations
IIT Hyderabad University Panellist – Technology in Defence Services.
Alliance University University Technology in the Defence Sector
VJTI (Mumbai) College Motivational talk during the tech festival
Stanley College (Hyderabad) College Motivational talk during college festival
BITS Pilani (Goa) College Motivational talk during college festival
IIT (Delhi) College Study on bullet-resistant Material
Punjab Engineering College Chandigarh College Life in IAF, leadership and motivation
GEMS B School College Convocation motivational Address
ICFAI – Indian Chartered Financial Analysts Institute Institute India, Pakistan and China
Empowerment Talks Motivational group Motivational Talk
White Canvas India Education company Chief Guest at India’s top 20 under 20. (2021 and 2022)

Chief Guest for Book launch – Yes, we did

Chief Guest for Young CEO workshop at Gurukul & Ryan International.
BCG – Boston Consulting Company Consultation Firm Consultation on C4ISR
The Brand Called You Media Tech global platform Interview
Cognet Integrated Business Solutions Corporate Talk on Good working Environment.
YPO – Young President’s Organisation Corporate Interaction – India, Pakistan, China.
Embryonic Foundation NGO Defence dialogue interview and interaction
MH Cockpits Aviation courses Chief guest, talk on airpower, technology and motivation, Podcast
Blue sky podcasts Podcasts Journey through IAF
Between US (Santosh Kumar) Podcast Leadership, geopolitics, airpower and security
Locomotive welfare association Welfare Association Chief guest and motivational talk.
Youth Parliament / Chatra Sansad Youth Organisation Motivational talk on discipline and tolerance.
Byjus Education Company Live Project on how does an aeroplane fly.
Bangalore International Centre Social Organisation Talk on “The Future of Conflict in an Asian Context”
SpkWthGrv Talk Show Life in IAF
BIAG India (International Aviation Games Board) Board Talk on Drones
Gurukul

Ryan International

The Scindia School, Gwalior

 Schools Chief guest during young CEO workshop – Motivational talk
New Horizon, Bangalore

TAFS, Delhi

 School Motivational Talk
Destination India National Journal Article: “Airpower in Indian Context” in the special issue – Defence matters.
Peace Prints South Asian Journal Women in Armed Forces: Prospects and Challenges.
SP Aviation Journal Article on Future trends of fighter aircraft.

 

Enjoyed researching topics related to defence, security, geo-politics, technology, leadership and management etc. The posts were interspersed with some humour and quotes.

 

Looking forward to your continued

Support, Readership and Encouragement.

 

 

CREDITS:-

The credit for starting the blog goes to my course mate and friend Col Murali. He provided me the space, encouraged me and held my hand initially.

Very encouraging message from Murli:-

Air Marshal Anil Khosla has had an amazing career in the Indian Air Force. He is one of those rare warriors blessed with the right mix of a soldier and a scholar; a true Scholar-Warrior.

His blog (“Air Marshal’s Perspective”) posts are brimming with strategic insights and are a goldmine for any student of Air Warfare. Yet, they are also refreshingly straightforward, making them equally appealing to a simple soldier, empowering them with practical knowledge. I am truly in awe of Anil’s unwavering dedication, consistently posting for the past four years, culminating in an astounding 500-plus posts today. His commitment is truly inspiring and commands respect.

Here, I would like to mention how it all started. It was the year 2016, and Dec 16th was the much-awaited reunion day for the 55th course NDA. To compile the phone numbers and addresses of our coursemates, I created a simple page on a free website platform. It was a kind of fun activity; nothing very serious. One thing led to the other, and today, we have our portal 55nda.com, which hosts Anil Khosla’s blog. As a self-styled, self-taught infantry soldier, I didn’t expect the site to get much traction. Today, I must say it is Anil Khosla’s blog hosting 55nda.com. That’s where all the hits come.

The poet-philosopher in Anil is seen in the posts classified as “Shiqurdu”, a thought-provoking verse in a mix of Hindi and Urdu. All posts are neatly classified into different categories, which is a treasure trove for any student of Air Power. My best wishes to Anil to reach higher and higher; the sky has no limit.

 

Credit also goes to another course mate Vicky Sheorey for getting me all the equipment needed for video conference and recordings.

 

 

 

AIR MARSHAL ANIL KHOSLA (RETD) 

PVSM AVSM VM

 

  • Indian Air Force Veteran: Former Vice Chief of Air Staff (VCAS) Indian Air Force.

 

  • Born on 09 Apr 1959, commissioned on 14 Dec 1979 and retired on 30 Apr 2019.

 

  • Air Marshal Anil Khosla, a distinguished alumnus of the National Defence Academy, was commissioned in the fighter stream of the Indian Air Force. His career, marked by over 4,000 hours of accident-free flying, is a testament to his exceptional skills and dedication. His expertise on various aircraft, including the Jaguar, Mig-21, and Kiran, and his proficiency in both Ground attack and Air Defence roles, particularly in the maritime role, set him apart in the Indian Air Force.

 

  • Awards. Air Marshal Anil Khosla’s distinguished service has been recognized with three presidential awards: the Param Vishisht Seva Medal, the Ati Vishisht Seva Medal, and the Vayu Sena Medal. His commendation by the CAS and the AOC-in-C during the flying training period as a cadet further underscores his exceptional service and dedication to the Indian Air Force.

 

  • Air Marshal Anil Khosla is a post-graduate from the Defence Services Staff College. He is an A2 category flying instructor and a fighter strike leader. His academic prowess is evident from his standing first in the order of merit in all the attended courses, including the Flying Instructor Course, Fighter Strike Leaders Course, Junior Command Course, and Staff Course. He was awarded the commandant’s medal during the Higher Command Course at Army War College and has attended the Senior Defence Management course at the College of Defence Management and the course at National Defence College, further solidifying his academic and professional achievements.

 

While in Service:

  • During his service, Air Marshal Anil Khosla played a pivotal role in the DOKLAM operations against China and the BALAKOT strike against Pakistan. His leadership and strategic acumen were instrumental in these operations, further solidifying his reputation in the Indian Air Force.

 

  • At higher ranks, Air Marshal Anil Khosla held pivotal appointments that underscored his leadership and strategic acumen. These include serving as the VCAS (Vice Chief of Air Staff), AOC-in-C (Air officer Commanding – in – Chief) Eastern Air Command, Director General Air Operations (DGAO), Senior Air Staff Officer (SASO) Central Air Command, Air Officer Commanding J&K (along with NC of Army), and AOC Maritime air operations (Along with Navy). His contributions in these roles have been instrumental in shaping the Indian Air Force’s operations and strategies.

 

  • Throughout his career, Air Marshal Anil Khosla has served in all the operational commands of the IAF in all sectors. He has commanded two important operational Bases, Ambala and Jaisalmer, which provided him with a comprehensive understanding of the operational aspects of the Indian Air Force.

 

  • He has worked extensively with the Army and Navy and has been associated with several Government Ministries and agencies, including NTRO, DRDO, ISRO, NDMA and defence PSUs.

 

  • He was Involved with formulating Air Force War Plans, Force structure planning and capability building.

 

  • He has handled (planned, monitored and executed) several internal and international Exercises and Disaster Relief situations, both within the country and abroad.

 

Academic: He Holds Two MPhil degrees in defence and strategic studies and is pursuing research on China (how does Dragon’s brain work).

  • He has delivered talks on military subjects like Leadership, China, Pakistan, Air Power, maritime air operations, and IAF in military academic institutions, including the National Defence College (NDC), College of Air Warfare (CAW), Army War College (AWC), College of Naval Warfare (CNW), College of Defence Management (CDM), and Defence Services Staff College (DSSC).

 

  • He has been a distinguished fellow at the United Services Institute (USI) and the Centre of Air Power Studies (CAPS). On the College of Air Warfare Journal and CAPS Journal (Blue Yonder) editorial board. Strategic Advisor – Aerospace and Defence division of the Synergia Foundation, Advisor Indus International Research Foundation. Instructor at Peninsula Foundation and worked with several think tanks and organisations.

 

  • Academic work includes written papers (on air power, geopolitics, and security issues), the Conduct of Strategic Exercises, book reviews, mentoring, and motivational talks.

 

Hobbies and Interests:-

  • A Keen Golfer, Billiards, Snooker and Pool player.
  • His favourite pastime is puzzle solving, which he has pursued up to the National level (13 times Sudoku nationals and 04 times Puzzle-solving nationals).

Email: khuski@gmail.com

Blog:  http://55nda.com/blogs/anil-khosla/

https://55nda.com/blogs/anil-khosla/subscribe/

YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@anilkhosla15871

Social Media Handles

Linkedin:    https://www.linkedin.com/in/anil-khosla-6848a5179/

Twitter:      https://twitter.com/AnilKhosla16

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/anil.khosla.733076

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/anil.khosla.733076/

Discord:     Anil#7748

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome.

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

 

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

 

 

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