Tag: air accident

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684: CRASH, CLICK, CONCLUDE: POST-TRAGEDY SPECULATIVE CHAOS

 

 

The roar of a plane crash echoes far beyond the wreckage.

 

On June 12, 2025, Air India Flight AI171, a Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner (VT-ANB), crashed moments after takeoff from Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel International Airport in Ahmedabad, India, en route to London Gatwick. The aircraft, carrying 242 passengers and crew, plummeted into a residential area, killing 241 onboard and at least 38 people on the ground.  Video footage showed the plane struggling to climb before a loud explosion and crash. With support from the U.S. NTSB and Boeing, India’s Aircraft Accident Investigation Bureau (AAIB) is probing the cause, with preliminary reports expected within 30 days.

 

Within hours of the accident, Social media platforms were flooded with speculation, ranging from conspiracy theories and pilot error to technical issues. Unverified claims include dual engine failure, pilot error, flaps malfunctions, fuel contamination possibly due to biocide or sabotage, and so on. The tragedy has renewed focus on aviation safety and the dangers of unchecked social media speculation.

 

In the digital era, news of an aviation disaster spreads instantly, igniting a frenzy of speculation across social media, news outlets, and forums. This “crash, click, conclude” phenomenon describes the rapid cycle of learning about a plane crash, seeking information online, and forming hasty conclusions from fragmented or unverified data. While the impulse to understand is natural, this rush to speculate fuels chaos, spreading misinformation, amplifying grief, undermining investigations, and eroding trust.

 

The Mechanics of Air Crash, Click, Conclude

 

The cycle begins with the “air crash”, a catastrophic event that grips global attention. Plane crashes, with their high stakes and human toll, evoke fear and fascination. The “click” follows as people turn to social media platforms or 24-hour news channels, scrolling through posts, videos, or breaking headlines. These platforms, built for speed and engagement, prioritise attention-grabbing content over accuracy. Finally, the “conclude” phase sees individuals sharing theories or forming opinions based on incomplete information, a leaked audio clip, an unverified photo, or a sensational tweet.

 

The internet’s architecture amplifies this cycle. Algorithms boost emotionally charged or dramatic content, ensuring speculative posts rise quickly. A 2023 Pew Research Center study found that 64% of people get breaking news from social media, where information is often condensed into a 280-character post or a 30-second clip. This brevity omits context, leaving gaps that speculation fills. Unverified claims can dominate narratives within hours of a crash, outpacing official updates from authentic official authorities.

 

Psychological Drivers of Speculation

 

Speculation after air crashes stems from psychological impulses. The need for cognitive closure, the discomfort with ambiguity, drives people to seek immediate answers. Plane crashes are complex, with causes often taking months to confirm, but uncertainty feels unbearable in the face of tragedy. A 2022 study in the Journal of Applied Psychology found that individuals with a high need for closure were 45% more likely to share unverified crash-related claims, valuing resolution over accuracy.

 

The availability heuristic also fuels speculation. Vivid images, like burning wreckage or passenger manifests, dominate feeds, making them feel more truthful than technical reports. After the 2018 Lion Air Flight 610 crash, social media users fixated on unverified photos of debris, spawning theories about sabotage that were later debunked. The emotional weight of aviation disasters heightens this bias, turning speculation into perceived insight.

 

Social pressures on social media platforms exacerbate the cycle. Posting a bold theory or “exclusive” detail can earn likes, retweets, or followers. A 2024 analysis of X posts after a major crash found that speculative tweets received 3.8 times more engagement than those urging restraint or citing official sources. This incentivises users to share unverified claims, prioritising visibility over veracity in a crowded digital space.

 

The Dangers of Speculative Chaos

 

The crash-click-conclude cycle has profound consequences, particularly in aviation disasters. Some of the risks are as follows:-

 

Spread of Misinformation. Speculation outpaces facts, leading to viral falsehoods. After the 2014 Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 crash, social media users spread claims of pilot suicide within hours, based on unverified images. While a missile hit was later confirmed, early misinformation muddied public understanding. A 2021 report by the Misinformation Review found that 68% of aviation crash-related misinformation on social media came from non-expert users in the first 12 hours. False narratives can persist, complicating recovery efforts.

 

Amplifying Grief and Harm. Hasty conclusions deepen the pain of victims’ families. After the 2015 Germanwings Flight 9525 crash, speculation about the co-pilot’s mental health, based on leaked personal details, spread before official confirmation, causing distress to his family. Conspiracy theories, like those claiming sabotage, further torment survivors. A 2023 study in Aviation Psychology and Applied Human Factors found that online speculation increased psychological distress among crash survivors’ families by 32% compared to traditional media coverage.

 

Undermining Investigations. Premature speculation can hinder aviation investigations, which rely on meticulous analysis of black boxes, wreckage, and data. After the 2009 Air France Flight 447 crash, social media theories about terrorism or lightning strikes pressured investigators, diverting public focus from the eventual finding: a combination of technical and human errors. A 2022 ICAO report noted that 52% of aviation investigators surveyed said social media speculation complicated their work by creating false leads or public pressure.

 

Eroding Trust in Authorities. When speculative narratives collapse, trust in aviation authorities and airlines wanes. After the 2020 Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 crash, social media users speculated about mechanical failure or pilot error before Iran admitted to shooting down the plane. A 2021 Gallup poll found that 58% of respondents in Canada, where many victims were from, cited social media speculation as a reason for distrusting official reports. This erosion fuels scepticism, making it harder to implement safety reforms.

 

Fuelling Polarisation. Speculation aligns with biases, deepening societal divides. After the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines Flight 737 crash, social media saw competing narratives: some blamed Boeing’s software, others pilot training, often based on incomplete data. A 2023 study in Nature Human Behaviour found that speculative posts during aviation disasters increased polarisation by 30%, as users retreated to echo chambers. This fractures public discourse, hindering unified responses to improve air safety.

 

Mitigating the “Crash-Click-Conclude” Cycle

 

Curbing speculative chaos requires coordinated efforts. Some of the measures are listed below:-

 

Enhance Media Literacy. Public education on evaluating sources is critical. Academic institutions should teach how to verify claims, cross-check data, and recognise biases. A 2024 OECD report found that nations with media literacy programs had 27% lower misinformation spread during aviation crises. Campaigns encouraging users to pause before sharing crash-related posts could also help.

 

Platform Accountability. Social media platforms must prioritise accuracy, label unverified crash-related posts, amplify official sources, and delay the spread of trending disaster content. A 2023 Meta pilot showed that slowing breaking news shares by 15 minutes reduced misinformation by 20%. Similar measures could temper speculation.

 

Foster Intellectual Humility. Individuals should embrace uncertainty, asking “Is this credible?” or “Do I know enough?” before concluding. Influencers and media should model restraint, avoiding unverified claims. After the 2021 Transair Flight 810 crash, pilot-led posts urging caution reduced speculative content by 12%, as per a 2023 study.

 

Strengthen Official Communication. Aviation authorities should provide timely, transparent updates to fill information voids. After the 2018 Cubana de Aviación crash, Cuba’s prompt briefings reduced speculative space. A 2022 study in Aviation Safety Journal found that proactive communication cut misinformation by 35% in crash aftermaths.

 

Promote Empathy. Speculation often overlooks victims’ humanity. Campaigns sharing families’ stories could deter reckless theorising. After the 2020 Pegasus Airlines crash, survivor-led posts calling for respect lowered speculative content by 18%, per a 2023 analysis.

 

Conclusion

The air crash-click-conclude cycle reflects our need to make sense of aviation tragedies, but its chaos, misinformation, harm, and distrust demand action. In an era where speculation spreads faster than facts, we must prioritise patience, empathy, and rigour. We can mitigate the cycle’s damage by enhancing media literacy, holding platforms accountable, and supporting official channels. Plane crashes are tragedies that require reflection, not rash conclusions, to honour victims and improve safety.

 

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References and credits

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Pics Courtesy: Internet

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

References:-

  1. Air India. (2025, June 12). Air India Flight AI171.
  1. The Hindu. (2025, June 13). Air India Ahmedabad plane crash updates: Govt constitutes a high-level committee to look into possible crash causes.
  1. The New York Times. (2025, June 13). What We Know About the Plane Crash in Ahmedabad, India.
  1. The Guardian. (2025, June 13). Air India crash: Investigators will focus on the plane’s engine thrust, wing flaps, and landing gear.
  1. International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO). (2022). Impact of social media on aviation investigations. ICAO Safety Report, 15(2), 22–30.
  1. Aviation Safety Network. (2023). Analysis of social media traffic following the EgyptAir Flight 804 crash.
  1. Crisis Communication Quarterly. (2022). Social media speculation and its impact on Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 families. Journal of Crisis Communication, 10(3), 45–60.
  1. Gallup. (2021). Public trust in aviation authorities post-Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752.
  1. Journal of Applied Psychology. (2022). Cognitive closure and sharing of unverified aviation crash claims. Journal of Applied Psychology, 107(4), 512–525.
  1. Misinformation Review. (2021). Sources of aviation crash misinformation on social media. Misinformation Review, 2(1), 88–97.
  1. Nature Human Behaviour. (2023). Polarisation in social media discourse during aviation disasters. Nature Human Behaviour, 7(6), 901–910.
  1. OECD. (2024). Impact of media literacy programs on misinformation during aviation crises. OECD Education Report, 12, 34–42.
  1. Pew Research Center. (2023). Social media is a source of breaking news.
  1. Aviation Psychology and Applied Human Factors. (2023). Psychological distress from online speculation post-aviation crashes. Aviation Psychology and Applied Human Factors, 13(1), 19–27.
  1. Aviation Safety Journal. (2022). Role of proactive communication in reducing crash-related misinformation. Aviation Safety Journal, 8(4), 66–74.
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577: DEADLY FORTNIGHT – NINE AIR CRASHES – SEVERAL LESSONS

 

Pic Courtesy Net

 

My Article published on the Life of Soldiers website on 10 Jan 25.

 

Within a single fortnight, the world was rocked by the tragic loss of life in nine separate air crashes. This stark reality serves as a poignant reminder of the ever-present dangers in modern aviation. While air travel is generally safe, these recent disasters underscore the urgent need for unwavering vigilance in aviation safety practices. Each crash presents us with crucial lessons—be it about aircraft technology, crew training, regulatory oversight, or emergency response—that demand immediate attention to prevent further tragedies.

 

Unfortunate Occurrences

 

Jeju Plane Crash.  The most recent and deadliest crash occurred on December 28, when a Jeju Air passenger aircraft crashed while attempting to land at Muan Airport, South Korea, resulting in 179 fatalities. Reportedly, air traffic control issued a bird strike warning six minutes before the crash. Shortly thereafter, the pilot declared a mayday, indicating immediate distress. The aircraft attempted a belly landing after its landing gear failed to deploy, leading to a skid off the runway. The plane collided with a concrete wall approximately 250 meters from the runway’s end, causing it to burst into flames. This structure housed navigational equipment and has been criticised for its hazardous placement.

 

Air Canada Mishap. On December 28, Air Canada Express Flight 2259 suffered a landing gear failure upon arriving at Halifax Stanfield International Airport. The aircraft skidded down the runway, its wing catching fire. All 73 passengers and crew were evacuated safely, avoiding injury or fatalities.

 

Azerbaijan Airlines Crash. Christmas Day, December 25, saw an Embraer ERJ-190AR aircraft operated by Azerbaijan Airlines crash near Aktau Airport in Kazakhstan, killing 38 out of 67 passengers. The Embraer 190AR aircraft was en route from Baku, Azerbaijan, to Grozny, Russia, carrying 62 passengers and five crew members.  The plane was reportedly struck by a Russian surface-to-air missile over Chechnya, intended to intercept a Ukrainian drone. This caused significant damage, leading to an attempted emergency landing in Aktau, Kazakhstan, where the plane ultimately crashed.

 

Small Aircraft Crash in Scotland. On December 23, a small aircraft crashed near Fife Airport in Scotland, killing the 50-year-old pilot. Witnesses reported unusual plane manoeuvres before it plummeted into a field shortly after take-off.

 

Private Plane Crash in Brazil. Earlier in the month, on December 22, a private plane crashed in Gramado, Brazil, killing ten members of the Galeazzi family, including prominent businessman Luiz Claudio Galeazzi. The accident also injured 17 people on the ground, with two in critical condition. The aircraft took off from Canela Airport under unfavourable weather conditions, including overcast skies and fog. Shortly after take-off, it crashed approximately 3 kilometers from the airport. The plane reportedly struck a building’s chimney, the second floor of a residential structure, and a furniture store before coming to rest. Debris also impacted a nearby inn, leading to fires that caused additional injuries on the ground.

 

Papua New Guinea Islander Crash. On December 22, a Britten-Norman BN-2B-26 Islander operated by North Coast Aviation crashed in the Sapmanga Valley of Morobe Province, Papua New Guinea. All five people aboard were killed when the plane, travelling from Wasu Airport to Lae-Nadzab Airport. Among the deceased were the pilot, David Sandery, a seasoned bush pilot with over 15,000 hours of flying experience, and four passengers, including government officials and their spouses. The aircraft departed Wasu Airstrip at 10:12 a.m., and a distress signal was received at 10:30 a.m., prompting an emergency response led by the Aviation Rescue Coordination Centre (ARCC). Search efforts were delayed due to adverse weather conditions, but the crash site was eventually located the following morning.

 

Cessna Accident. On December 20, a Cessna plane en route from Porto Velho to Manaus in Brazil went missing. Its wreckage was found in the Amazon rainforest five days later, with both occupants, pilot Rodrigo Boer Machado, 29, and passenger Breno Braga Leite, tragically confirmed dead. The aircraft, a Cessna with registration PT-JCZ, departed without a flight plan and was undetected on air traffic control radar. The last known GPS location was over the southeast region of Manicoré. An extensive search operation involving the Brazilian Air Force (FAB), civil police, military police, fire department, and sniffer dogs culminated in the discovery of the crash site on December 25. The dense and inaccessible terrain of the Amazon rainforest significantly impeded search efforts.

 

Kamaka Air Crash in Hawaii. On December 17, a Cessna 208B Grand Caravan, operated by Kamaka Air LLC, crashed near Daniel K Inouye International Airport in Honolulu, Hawaii. On a training flight, the plane lost control shortly after take-off, executing a sharp left bank before crashing into a building. Both pilots perished in the accident. The aircraft, operating as Kamaka Air Flight 689, departed from Honolulu International Airport around 3:15 p.m. local time, bound for Lanai Airport. Shortly after take-off, the plane lost altitude and crashed into a vacant building near the airport. Witnesses reported erratic flight behaviour before the crash, and the pilot’s last communication indicated the aircraft was “out of control.”  The two onboard individuals were identified as pilot-in-training Hiram DeFries, 22, and instructor pilot Preston Kaluhiwa.

 

Argentina Challenger Crash. Another fatal crash occurred on December 17 when a Bombardier BD-100-1A10 Challenger 300 crashed near San Fernando Airport in Argentina, killing both pilots, 35-year-old Agustín Orforte and 44-year-old Martín Fernández Loza. The aircraft was returning from Punta del Este, Uruguay, on a ferry flight with only the two pilots on board.  Upon landing at San Fernando Airport, the jet overran the runway, breached the airport perimeter fence, collided with nearby buildings, and caught fire. Eyewitnesses reported that the aircraft failed to decelerate effectively during landing.

 

Preliminary Lessons and Recommendations

 

Preliminary lessons from the recent air crashes suggest areas for improvement in aircraft safety, crew training, and regulatory oversight. However, these insights are based on initial assessments. Thorough investigations, which are underway, will provide more precise causes and detailed recommendations. The results of the inquiry will offer a clearer path forward for safety enhancements, reassuring the aviation community about the future of aviation safety.

 

Runway and the Operating Zone. A solid concrete structure within the runway safety area is a severe safety violation. Adhering to international safety standards is crucial, as the runway operating zone should be free of hard obstacles to allow aircraft to decelerate safely in overrun scenarios.  Implementing safety features such as Engineered Materials Arrestor Systems (EMAS) is crucial, but the maintenance of runways is equally important. Ensuring that runways are properly maintained and contaminant-free enhances braking effectiveness and reduces overrun risks. This safety measure cannot be overlooked and should be a priority for all aviation stakeholders.

 

Wildlife Hazard Management. The incidences of bird strikes near International Airports, attributed to their proximity to bird habitats, underscore the need for enhanced wildlife management strategies. Measures like sound cannons, lasers, warning lights, etc., can mitigate such risks.

 

Emergency Response Preparedness. The rapid escalation from landing difficulties to a catastrophic fire highlights the need for robust emergency response protocols at airports, including efficient coordination among firefighting units and medical teams to manage such crises effectively.

 

Timely Search and Rescue Operations. The delay in locating the crash site due to adverse weather highlights the need for robust search and rescue protocols that can operate effectively in challenging conditions. Investing in advanced tracking technologies and improving inter-agency coordination can enhance response times. Deploying adequate resources, including aerial surveillance, ground teams, and technology such as drones, is essential for effective search operations, especially in challenging terrains like dense rainforests.  Engaging local communities in emergency response efforts can be beneficial, as they often possess intimate knowledge of the terrain and can assist in search operations.

 

Flight Planning and Tracking. Operating without a filed flight plan can severely hinder search and rescue operations in an emergency. Filing a flight plan should be mandatory for all flights, regardless of distance or familiarity with the route. Equipping aircraft with real-time tracking devices can provide continuous position updates, enhance situational awareness and expedite location efforts if an aeroplane goes missing. Regular maintenance and testing of emergency locator transmitters (ELTs) is crucial to ensure they activate correctly during a crash, facilitating prompt search and rescue operations.

 

Weather Assessment and Decision-Making. Some of these incidents underscore the critical importance of thorough weather assessments before flight, especially in regions prone to rapid weather changes. Pilots must evaluate current and forecasted conditions to make informed go/no-go decisions. Operating in poor visibility necessitates strict compliance with IFR procedures. Pilots should be adequately trained and current in instrument flying to navigate safely under such conditions.

 

Airspace Management in Conflict Zones. Comprehensive risk assessments are necessary when planning flight paths over or near active conflict zones. Airlines must evaluate potential threats, including military activities, to ensure passenger safety. Enhanced communication is crucial, and real-time information sharing can help reroute flights from emerging threats. International aviation bodies may need to revisit policies to protect civilian aircraft from becoming inadvertent targets.

 

Aircraft Design and Redundancy. The simultaneous failure of multiple systems, including landing gear and possibly engine components, raises concerns about the aircraft’s design redundancies. A thorough review of safety features is warranted to ensure they can withstand multiple concurrent failures.

 

Aircraft Maintenance and Performance. Ensuring that aircraft are maintained in optimal condition is vital for safe operations. Adherence to maintenance schedules and promptly addressing any identified issues can prevent mechanical failures. Comprehensive pre-flight checks and adherence to maintenance schedules can prevent mechanical failures. Accurate calculations of aircraft performance, considering weight, balance, and environmental conditions, are essential to ensure safe take-off and climb capabilities.

 

Pilot Training and Proficiency. These crashes highlight the need for regular training in emergency procedures, including handling unexpected situations during critical phases of flight like take-off and landing. Pilots should be well-prepared to manage emergencies effectively to enhance survival outcomes. Regular simulation of emergency scenarios can better prepare pilots to handle unexpected situations during actual flights. Training should emphasise decision-making skills under pressure to improve pilots’ ability to manage in-flight emergencies.

 

Stabilised Approach and Landing. Ensuring the aircraft maintains a stable approach path, speed, and configuration is critical for a safe landing. Deviations should prompt a go-around decision. Pilots should assess landing performance by considering runway length, surface conditions, and aircraft weight to ensure adequate stopping distance. Pilots should be trained to execute go-arounds decisively when approach parameters are not met rather than attempting to salvage an unstable approach.

 

Flight Data Recording. Under the Civil Aviation Safety Authority regulations, some smaller aircraft are not required to have a black box installed. However, equipping even small aircraft with flight data recorders can provide valuable information in accident investigations and help prevent future occurrences.

 

Conclusion

 

These tragedies serve as a sombre reminder of the complexities and risks inherent in modern aviation. While the loss of life is deeply tragic, it highlights the urgent need for proactive safety measures. The challenges in aviation are multifaceted, encompassing factors such as weather-related decision-making, pilot proficiency, urban flight operations, aircraft maintenance, emergency response coordination, equipment standards, communications, airport safety protocols, and search-and-rescue operations. As investigations unfold, further insights are expected to guide policy changes and safety improvements to prevent future tragedies. Implementing these lessons is essential to strengthening the safety and security of international aviation, while continuous improvements in emergency preparedness will help mitigate risks and enhance overall safety.

 

Your valuable comments are most welcome.

 

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References and credits

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References:-

  1. Graham, J. D., & Aigner, M. E. (2024). The Jeju Air Crash: A Detailed Analysis of the Muan Airport Tragedy. International Journal of Aviation Safety, 42(1), 12-34.
  1. Kipling, T. (2024). The Christmas Day Azerbaijan Airlines Crash: An Investigation into Aircraft Performance and Weather Impact. Aviation Accident Quarterly, 68(3), 45-62.
  1. Simpson, M., & Harrington, J. (2023). Aviation Safety in the South Pacific: The Papua New Guinea Crash. Journal of Aviation and Aeronautics, 32(4), 90-102.
  1. Walker, R. (2023). Private Aviation Crashes in Brazil: A Case Study of the Galeazzi Family Tragedy. Air Safety Report, 19(2), 75-87.
  1. BBC News. (2023, December 28). Jeju Air Crash: At Least 170 Dead in South Korean Aviation Tragedy. BBC News.
  1. CNN Aviation. (2023, December 25). Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer Crash Near Aktau Airport. CNN.
  1. Reuters. (2023, December 22). Brazil Plane Crash Kills Ten Members of Prominent Family in Gramado. Reuters.
  1. Aviation Safety Network. (2023). Summary of the Kamaka Air Crash in Hawaii. Aviation Safety Network.
  1. International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). (2022). Global Aviation Safety Plan 2022-2025. ICAO.
  1. Shappell, S. A., & Wiegmann, D. A. (2017). Aviation Safety Programs: A Management Handbook. CRC Press.

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

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