Q&A Series: India and China

 

A  Questionnaire was submitted by a journalist researcher to seek views on issues related to Indo-China relations.

 

The views expressed in the replies to the questions are own perceptions and have nothing to do with the Government of India or the Indian Air Force.

 

 1) How do you view the current situation between India and China, both militarily and diplomatically, especially after the recent stand-off on the border?

 

  • The situation can be summed up in one word “DISTRUST”.

 

2) What do you think China is trying to achieve with these hand-to-hand combats with Indian troops, such as the one in Galwan and more recently in Tawang? What purpose do these gun-less fights achieve?

 

  • To keep the pot boiling.
  • Use the incidents to her own (China’s) advantage.
  • Use these incidents to: –
  • Divert international attention (e.g. during the Pandemic time).
  • Generate domestic nationalistic feelings (timed at important domestic events).
  • Try and gain territory and tactical advantage by way of Salami Slicing, keeping the situation under a certain threshold.

 

3) A meeting between Indian officials and NATO is due to be held sometime next month, and it is being said that China’s growing aggression will be the focus of this meet. What is the significance of this? What can India and NATO achieve with such a meeting?

 

  • Meeting NATO?
  • India has never joined any Military alliance ever (not even during the 1971 war with Pakistan)
  • Now also all the bilateral/multilateral engagements are not part of any military alliance.
  • However, engaging like-minded and friendly countries is for mutual benefit.

 

4) Do you think most of the world is slowly trying to diplomatically isolate China due to its aggressive stance in the Indo-Pacific or the South China Sea?

 

  • “Diplomatically isolate” would be too strong a word.
  • China is a growing power (economically and militarily) and cannot be wished away but has to be dealt with appropriately.
  • It has been too aggressive in recent times, presenting a trailer to its likely behaviour on reaching superpower status.
  • In addition, all of China’s engagements with other countries have been for personal gain.
  • The world has seen through China’s scheme of things has started the process of DECOUPLING.

 

5) In your opinion, what is the best way to resolve the India-China conflict?

 

  • The first step would be for China to create an atmosphere of trust.
  • China needs to do and mean what it says and not say something and do something else on the ground.
  • Then resolve the border issue with the spirit of mutual agreement and with sincerity.
  • Work together rather than work against. (Cooperation rather than competition).

 

6) A recent govt dossier claims that more skirmishes are likely between troops on the India-China border. Your take on this?

 

  • I am not privy to or aware of any dossier.
  • The question should be directed toward China.
  • All the incidents have been initiated and triggered by China.
  • Having burnt our fingers a few times, it is advisable to be ready for any such incidents in future.
  • Such incidents are not good for peace, tranquillity, and growth (for both countries).

 

7) How would you compare the Air Forces of India and China?

 

  • Please refer to Global Air Powers Ranking (2023) by WDMMA (it provides the current ranking of the various air forces of the world).

 

8) In the current scheme of things, do you think a full-blown war is a possibility between India and China? 

 

  • Full-blown war is not good for both countries.
  • In my opinion, both countries do not want a war.
  • However, regular border incidents have chances of going out of control due to miscalculations.

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

 

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from sources deemed reliable and accurate. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for purposes of wider dissemination.

 

Subroto Mukerjee Seminar

 

 

19th Subroto Mukerjee Seminar was organised by Centre of Air Power Studies, on 22 Dec 22 (22 12 2022).

 

THEME

India’s  Eminence in the Emerging World Order.

 

 

Session II

The World in a Flux: India’s Challenges

 

For the Talk: Please Click on the link (Pic) below:

 

For Selective viewing Click on the following links:

  1. Talk (03:50 – 27:00)
  2. Q1- Future Trajectory of the Ukraine War (58:40 – 1:00:10)
  3. Q2 – Future of Drone Warfare (1:00:10 – 1:02:00)
  4. Q3 – Info War & Intelligence: Effect on LR vectors & Air Defence (1:10:25- 1:13:00)
  5. Q4 – Indian Defence Industry’s foray into the International Market ( 1:17:12 – 1:19:06)

 

Three Anils in one frame

Air Mshl Anil Chopra, AVM Anil Golani & Air Mshl Anil Khosla

 

Bottom Line

 There is an urgent need to reorientate  and gear up (not only by military) to deal with future challenges.

 

Question

Are we drawing the correct lessons and working towards  facing the future security challenges?

 

Your suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

 

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from sources deemed reliable and accurate. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for purposes of wider dissemination.

 

TIDBITS

1.

CHINA’S WAY OF THINKING

 

Communist Chinese politics are a lugubrious merry-go-round … and in order to appreciate fully the déjà-vu quality of its latest convolutions, you would need to have watched it revolve for half a century. The main problem with many of our politicians and pundits is that their memories are too short, thus forever preventing them from putting events and personalities in a true historical perspective.

— Simon Leys quoted in Watching China Watching
China Heritage, 2018

 

Comments:

China thinks and plans long-term.

One needs to decipher her grand design.

The response should be appropriate, keeping the big picture in mind, and not a knee-jerk reaction.

 

2.

INDIA DEPLOYS PLATOON OF WOMEN PEACEKEEPERS IN UN MISSION IN ABYEI

 

This will be so far, India’s largest single unit of women Peacekeepers in a UN Mission. The Indian contingent, comprising two officers and 25 other ranks, will form part of an engagement platoon and specialise in community outreach and will be performing extensive security-related tasks as well

 

Comments:

In 2007, India became the first country to deploy an all-women contingent to a UN peacekeeping mission in Liberia.

India is one of the largest troop-contributing countries to UN peacekeeping.

As of October 31, 2022, India is the second largest contributor to UN peacekeeping missions with 5887 troops and personnel deployed across 12 missions, after Bangladesh (7,017).

 

3.

AIRCRAFT CARRIERS (USA Vis-à-vis China)

 

USA. There are only 47 active aircraft carriers in the world and the US Navy has 11 of them, with displacement tonnage nearly as many as all other countries combined. The US Navy’s large nuclear-powered fleet carriers carry around 80 fighters each and are the largest carriers in the world. The total combined deck space is more than double of all other nations combined.

 

China. As of 2022, the PLAN has two combat-ready aircraft carriers, the Liaoning and Shandong, with the third, Fujian, China’s third and most advanced aircraft carrier, being fitted out. The Fujian is equipped with advanced electromagnetic catapults, similar to those on the US supercarrier USS Gerald R Ford, while China’s first two carriers featured ski-jump designs. China’s only ship-borne fighter jet, the twin-engine single-seat J-15 Flying Shark, is the world’s heaviest carrier-borne fighter.

 

Comments:

Numerically, the Chinese navy has overtaken the US navy.

China is building its expeditionary capability.

On achieving expeditionary capability, China will redefine its theatres.

 

4.

US TO SEND UKRAINE NEARLY $3 BILLION IN MILITARY AID

(Including dozens of Bradley vehicles)

 

A new U.S. weapons package for Ukraine will include about 50 Bradley Fighting Vehicles.

The armoured vehicle manufactured by BAE Systems has a powerful gun. The vehicle has been used by the U.S. Army to carry troops around battlefields since the mid-1980s.

 

Comments:

The United States has sent about $21.3 billion in assistance to Ukraine.

The US Army is to retire its Bradley fleet and is working with industry to build a replacement as it seeks to modernize.

The USA is dumping military equipment, it doesn’t need anymore.

USA continues to add fuel to the fire.

 

5.

SANCTIONS ARE NOT MISSILES

 

The misapprehension of what sanctions against Russia would accomplish can be explained in part by unrealistic expectations of what economic measures can do. Simply put, they are not the equivalent of a missile strike.

 

Comments:

Sanctions do not deter aggression.

The effect of sanctions take longer to work their way through the economy.

In the long run, sanctions can weaken the economy and lower GDP.

 

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

 

For regular updates, please register here

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from sources deemed reliable and accurate. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for purposes of wider dissemination.