126: Understanding China Better

 

PLA’s Strategy Textbook: Science of Military Strategy (SMS)

China has two premier institutes – the Academy of Military Sciences (AMS) and National Defence University (NDU). Over the last three decades, they have produced several editions of the publication titled Science of Military Strategy (SMS). SMS is the core textbook for senior PLA officers on how wars should be planned and conducted at the strategic level. The publication is considered to be a doctrinal teaching material and it provides a glimpse into the Chinese military thinking.

 

In August 2020, the latest version of SMS, influenced by structural military reforms adopted under Xi was published. The 2020 version as compared to the previous one of 2017 has some new additions. These include wartime political work, “intelligentisation” concepts, China’s military strategic guidelines, major war operations, joint logistics and the People’s Armed Police. The changes have been justified as necessity in order to “better adapt to the major trend in the form of warfare shifting from informationisation to intelligentisation.

 

The SMS is a 450 page document, divided into three parts with 24 chapters. The first part consists of general abstractions on strategic theory, planning, evaluation, and related topics. The second part covers special topics on strategic warfare, including crisis management and prevention, deterrence, war control, and operational guidance; it also includes chapters on military operations other than war and overseas operations. The third focuses on force development for each of the traditional services (army, navy, air force and rocket force), as well as space and cyber forces, the People’s Armed Police (PAP) and reserve forces.

Key Changes in the 2020 Version

 

Continue reading “126: Understanding China Better”

120: South China Sea: Solving the Dispute

 

Reading this article along with the previous two on the same subject provide a more comprehensive picture.

  1. SCS: Importance and Disputes.
  2. SCS: Aspects related to SCS Dispute.

 

 

Solving the Disputes

 

Considering the complicated nature of the SCS dispute, finding a solution is easier said than done.

 

Even the leaders from the claimant states and subject experts have differing opinions about its resolution. Some of these opinions are as follows:

 

  • Manage the dispute and keep the claimants engaged in negotiations. Keep on talking and engaging each other at different levels through bilateral and multilateral forums.

 

  • Follow the law of the sea and honour the International laws. Take legal recourse or a third party intervention.

 

  • Follow collective effort through ASEAN to manage the dispute and to prevent major conflicts.

 

  • Show restraint in order not to provoke one another, either through statements or actions, stop reclamation activities and militarization of the features in the SCS.

 

  • Maintain the status quo and wait for a good time to deal with the issue.

 

  • Cooperate on the non-contentious soft areas in order to build confidence and trust, such as marine environment protection, search and rescue, safety of navigation, and combating transnational crimes. Later on, other contentious issues could be dealt with.

 

  • Resort to joint explorations and sharing of resources like oil and gas.

 

Suggested Approach

 

The answer lies in the claimants abandoning their confrontational attitude and agreeing to find some common ground, even at the cost of sacrificing certain portions of their claims.

 

One possible approach to the peaceful solution could be for all claimants to limit their claim to the areas of 200 nautical miles of the EEZ and continental shelf in accordance with the UNCLOS, leaving international waters for free navigation and overt flight.

 

Another approach could be the parties concerned to establish a common ownership of the disputed areas, whereby all the revenues from the SCS are equitably or proportionately shared among the littoral states.

 

In SCS dispute, China is the key player and future of the dispute depends on the China’s attitude and actions in future.

 

India and the SCS

India is a vital player and has interests in the SCS as a major portion of its trade passes through the region. India’s interests also include the energy contracts that its public sector giant Oil and Natural Gas Commission’s Videshi Limited (OVL) had acquired through legal and global norms in the South China Sea.

India has, on several occasions, called upon all parties to avoid unilateral action that leads to tensions in the region and called for peaceful resolution of disputes without the threat of use of force.

India must continue to actively pursue its defense diplomacy outreach in the Indo-Pacific region including military training and  exercises and exchanges, extend Humanitarian Assistance & Disaster Relief activities and share patrolling of the Malacca Strait with the littoral countries, etc.

 

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References:

  1. https://scroll.in/article/968918/how-did-the-south-china-sea-dispute-begin-and-where-is-it-headed
  2. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53397673
  3. https://www.lowyinstitute.org/issues/south-china-sea
  4. https://www.peacepalacelibrary.nl/library-special/south-china-sea-territorial-disputes/
  5. https://www.drishtiias.com/daily-updates/daily-news-analysis/south-china-sea-dispute
  6. https://www.straight.com/news/khalid-zaka-a-summary-of-south-china-sea-conflict
  7. The Politics of South China Sea Disputes, book by Nehginpao Kipgen