Emerging  Technologies and Their Impact on Doctrines and Concepts

 

This article was published in the Army War College Journal in year 2005.

 

It is an abridged version of my thesis at Army War College. The thesis got me the commandant’s medal.

 

Some of the aspects are still relevant

 

Emerging  Technologies and Their Impact on Doctrines and Concepts

 

Click on the Title above to read the article in pdf format.

 

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SHIQURDU 14

  • Shiqurdu is a collection of thoughts. Although an odd sounding name, but felt appropriate for the collection.

 

  • These are simplified quotes in Hurdu (Hurdu being a mix of Hindi and Urdu akin to Hinglish i.e., hindi and english). Although in some cases the language has been simplified but attempt has been made to retain the thought and the poetic flavor.

 

  • These thoughts have been picked up from various publications. Credit goes to all the original writers who penned down these deep meaning messages.

 

82

जिंदगी के सफर में कई लोग

मिलते और बिछड़ जाते हैं!

रह जाती है दिल में याद सिर्फ उनकी

जो दिल में गहरी छाप छोड़ जाते हैं

 

83

किसी को शोर में नींद नहीं आती

हमको तो खामोशियां सोने नहीं देती

 

84

ज़मीर ज़िंदा रख, कबीर ज़िंदा रख..

सुल्तान भी बन जाए तो, दिल में फ़क़ीर ज़िंदा रख..

 

85

आज एक ख्वाब ने

बडी नज़ाकत से पूछा

पूरा करोगे या टूट जाऊं

 

86

गलतियों से जुदा तु भी नीं, मै भी नहीं,

दोनो इंसान हैं,

ख़ुदा तु भी नहीं, मै भी नहीं!

 

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India’s Grey Zone Threat Scenario.

India is a large and most diverse nation with two inimical neighbours.

 

India’s myriad problems provide innumerable opportunities for the belligerent adversaries to exploit in the grey zone.

 

The increased radicalisation in the neighbourhood has further opened up new grey spaces.

 

Grey zone tactics is being followed both by China and Pakistan using different means.

 

Pakistan.

Pakistan is using the low-cost option of grey zone tactics against India by promoting violent extremist groups.

 

These non-state actor groups get funding and training in Pakistan, to carry out irregular warfare against India.

 

The spectrum of anti-India grey zone warfare emanating from Pakistan is fairly wide ranging from disinformation and incitement to terrorism.

 

The grey zone activities of Pakistan include propaganda, false narratives, cyber warfare, and encouraging internal dissent to terrorism, to undermine the Indian national security.

 

China.

China is the master of grey zone operations.

 

This type of warfare is embedded in her philosophy, strategic thoughts and doctrines.

 

China has further mastered the art of converting and using anything and everything into a weapon for grey zone warfare.

 

China practices its famous three-warfare strategy, encompasses non-kinetic means like psychology, media and law warfare, to achieve political ends.

 

China has been using psychological warfare and coercion against India with the aim to subdue India without fighting.

 

Dealing Strategy.

India a large democratic and bureaucratic state is considered to be a weak spot for grey zone operations.

 

It will lose out if does not adapt to the changing nature of warfare.

 

India must prepare to deter China and Pakistan from extreme forms of grey zone aggression.

 

An important part of any grey zone response strategy is to undertake institutional reform.

 

These organisational and structural reforms, need to be embedded in the current structures, in a phased manner without causing too much of turbulence.

 

A word of caution that a change for the sake of change due to peer pressure needs to be avoided.

 

The change should be based on factors like our threat perception, technological threshold, economic conditions and geo-political environment.

 

India, must develop framework of strategic deterrence to deal with grey zone warfare.

 

More coming up on this subject

 

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