605: THE DIGITAL SILK ROAD: IMPLICATION OF CHINA’S TECHNO-POLITICAL STRATEGY

 

My article was published on the Life of Soldier website

on 20 Feb 25.

 

The Digital Silk Road (DSR) is a crucial component of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), focusing on expanding digital connectivity, infrastructure, and technological cooperation across the globe. Launched in 2015, the DSR aims to establish China as a global leader in digital innovation, telecommunications, artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and e-commerce. China is reshaping global digital landscapes by investing in undersea cables, data centers, 5G networks, and satellite systems, particularly in developing nations.

 

While the DSR offers economic opportunities, it raises significant concerns about cyber security, digital sovereignty, geopolitical leverage, and the global balance of power. This article explores the implications of China’s techno-political strategy through the Digital Silk Road, highlighting its impact on international relations, digital governance, and technological standards.

 

Objectives and Scope of China’s Digital Silk Road

 

China’s Digital Silk Road (DSR) is an extension of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to build a global digital infrastructure and strengthen China’s role as a technological and cyber power. The DSR focuses on expanding global digital infrastructure, enhancing technological dominance, promoting a state-centric internet governance model, fostering economic and financial integration, and leveraging cyber security for geopolitical influence. These objectives position China as a leader in the digital economy while shaping the global technology landscape.

 

Expanding Global Digital Infrastructure. One of the primary objectives of the DSR is to build and broaden digital infrastructure across Asia, Africa, Latin America, and parts of Europe. China invests heavily in 5G networks, fibre-optic cables, satellite communication, cloud computing, and data centers in partner countries. Companies like Huawei, ZTE, and China Mobile are key in setting up next-generation telecommunications networks. By providing affordable digital solutions, China enhances digital connectivity in developing economies while ensuring long-term dependence on its technology.

 

Enhancing Technological Dominance. China’s DSR is a strategic initiative to establish global leadership in emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), quantum computing, blockchain, and smart cities. Through investments in research and development, China aims to surpass Western competitors in critical technological domains. The DSR facilitates technology transfer to BRI nations, strengthening China’s influence in digital economies worldwide. By setting standards for 5G, digital currencies, and AI governance, China aspires to shape the future technological order in its favour.

 

Promoting a State-Centric Internet Governance Model. A significant aspect of the DSR is to promote China’s vision of cyber sovereignty, where individual nations exert greater control over their internet spaces. Unlike the Western model of an open and decentralised internet, China’s approach advocates for government-regulated digital spaces. By exporting its Great Firewall-inspired surveillance technology, China helps partner countries implement censorship, content control, and cyber monitoring. This model appeals to authoritarian and semi-authoritarian regimes seeking to maintain strict control over digital platforms.

 

Economic and Financial Integration. The DSR aligns with China’s broader goal of deepening economic integration with partner countries. This initiative’s key components are digital payment systems, e-commerce platforms, and fintech solutions. Platforms like WeChat Pay and Alipay are expanding their global reach, offering alternative financial ecosystems independent of Western-controlled networks like Visa and Mastercard. Additionally, China is promoting the digital yuan (e-CNY) as a potential global currency, challenging the dominance of the US dollar in international trade and finance.

 

Cyber security and Geopolitical Leverage. China’s control over global digital infrastructure provides it with significant cyber security and geopolitical leverage. Deploying 5G networks and undersea cables raises concerns about potential espionage and data security risks. Many Western nations have raised alarms about the influence China could exert through its digital infrastructure, particularly in strategic sectors. By establishing cyber security partnerships with DSR nations, China strengthens its digital defence capabilities while expanding its cyber footprint globally.

 

Geopolitical Dimensions.

 

Strengthening China’s Global Influence. The DSR allows China to position itself as a leader in digital infrastructure and emerging technologies. China cultivates long-term dependencies among participating nations by providing affordable, high-quality digital solutions.

 

Challenging Western Technological Hegemony. Western nations, led by the U.S. and the European Union, dominate global technology standards and infrastructure. The DSR challenges this dominance by offering alternative systems for 5G networks, cloud computing, and AI governance. Chinese companies like Huawei, ZTE, and Alibaba Cloud are expanding their presence, often undercutting Western competition in price and accessibility.

 

Digital Authoritarianism and Cyber Sovereignty. China’s model of digital governance favours state control over the Internet. Through DSR partnerships, China exports its Great Firewall approach, influencing governments to adopt stricter cyber regulations, internet censorship, and surveillance technologies. Countries with integrated Chinese digital infrastructure are more likely to follow Beijing’s lead in cyber regulations, shifting global norms toward a state-centric internet rather than a decentralised, open model.

 

Strategic Control over Critical Digital Infrastructure. Control over global digital infrastructure grants China significant geopolitical leverage. Fibre-optic cables, satellite navigation systems (BeiDou), and cloud computing networks enable China to influence data flows, monitor foreign governments, and potentially disrupt communication channels in conflict.

 

Economic and Technological Implications

 

Digital Yuan and Financial Influence. China’s introduction of the Digital Yuan (e-CNY) under the DSR strategy represents a direct challenge to the U.S. dollar’s dominance in international trade. By promoting digital currency adoption in Belt and Road Initiative nations, China reduces reliance on SWIFT transactions, mitigating the impact of Western financial sanctions.

 

E-Commerce and Digital Payments Expansion. Alibaba, Tencent, and other Chinese tech giants are expanding e-commerce and fintech ecosystems across Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America. This expansion integrates developing economies into China’s digital sphere, creating economic dependencies favouring Beijing’s trade policies.

 

AI, Big Data, and Surveillance Technologies. China’s leadership in artificial intelligence and big data analytics has implications for both governance and security. Many countries that embrace Chinese-built smart cities, AI-driven surveillance, and facial recognition systems risk becoming more aligned with China’s authoritarian digital model.

 

5G and Telecommunications Control. Huawei and ZTE dominate global 5G infrastructure projects, particularly in developing nations. The reliance on Chinese telecom networks raises concerns over data privacy, potential backdoor access, and espionage risks. This leads to Western pushback and bans on Huawei equipment in the U.S., UK, and Australia.

 

Cyber Security Threats and Espionage Concerns

 

China’s involvement in building and managing digital infrastructure raises fears of hidden backdoors, allowing for cyber espionage and data exfiltration. Many Chinese technology firms, such as Huawei and ZTE, have been accused of having close ties with the Chinese government, which could potentially use these networks for intelligence gathering. Nations relying on Chinese-built digital infrastructure risk compromising their communications, governmental data, and critical security operations.

 

Espionage and Data Harvesting. One of the DSR’s primary concerns is the large-scale data collection from participating countries. Chinese firms involved in cloud computing, smart city technologies, and undersea cables could gain access to vast amounts of sensitive information, including personal data, financial transactions, and military communications. This data could be exploited for economic advantage, intelligence gathering, or coercion, enhancing China’s strategic leverage over nations.

 

Cyber Attacks and Infrastructure Disruption. Nations’ dependence on Chinese-built digital infrastructure increases their vulnerability to cyber-attacks. There is a risk that in times of geopolitical tensions, Beijing could leverage access to these systems to disrupt critical services such as power grids, financial networks, and telecommunications. Concerns persist regarding Chinese-manufactured hardware containing software vulnerabilities that could be exploited for state-sponsored cyber operations.

 

AI and Disinformation Campaigns. China’s advancements in AI and big data analytics enable sophisticated disinformation campaigns. By influencing narratives through social media manipulation, AI-generated content, and state-backed media, China could shape public opinion and political outcomes in target countries. Such interference could destabilise democratic institutions, promote pro-China sentiment, and undermine opposition to Beijing’s global ambitions.

 

Digital Sovereignty and Dependency Risks. Many developing nations, enticed by China’s affordable technology and financial assistance, risk becoming overly reliant on Beijing for digital infrastructure. This dependency undermines their digital sovereignty, limiting their ability to control data, cyber security policies, and technological standards. Once deeply integrated into China’s digital ecosystem, countries may struggle to transition to alternative suppliers without significant economic and operational disruptions.

 

Global Responses and Countermeasures

 

In response to the security risks posed by China’s Digital Silk Route (DSR), many nations and alliances have implemented countermeasures to safeguard their digital infrastructure and reduce reliance on Chinese technology. The United States, European Union, and key Indo-Pacific allies have tightened regulations on Chinese firms like Huawei and ZTE, citing concerns over espionage and cyber security threats. The U.S. has led initiatives such as the Clean Network Program, restricting the use of Chinese telecommunications equipment in critical infrastructure. Similarly, the EU’s 5G Toolbox provides guidelines to mitigate high-risk vendors’ influence on European digital networks. Additionally, alternative global initiatives such as the Blue Dot Network and the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII), spearheaded by the G7, aim to provide transparent and secure alternatives to Chinese digital infrastructure projects. Nations also invest in cyber security frameworks, supply chain diversification, and AI-driven disinformation countermeasures to reduce Beijing’s digital influence. While China’s DSR continues to expand, international efforts are increasingly focused on promoting secure, resilient, and independent digital ecosystems to counter the strategic risks associated with Chinese technological dominance.

 

India’s Strategic Response. India has adopted a multi-faceted approach to counter China’s Digital Silk Route (DSR) by enhancing cyber security, restricting Chinese tech investments, and promoting domestic digital initiatives. New Delhi has banned numerous Chinese apps over data security concerns and imposed stricter scrutiny on Chinese telecom firms like Huawei and ZTE in its 5G rollout. India is also expanding its digital partnerships with the U.S., Japan, and the EU to develop secure alternatives. Initiatives like Digital India and Made in India aim to boost indigenous tech capabilities, reducing dependence on Chinese infrastructure while strengthening national cybersecurity and data sovereignty.

 

Emerging Digital Alliances

 

In response to China’s Digital Silk Route (DSR), global powers are forming strategic digital alliances to promote secure and transparent alternatives. The Quad (U.S., India, Japan, Australia) is enhancing collaboration on 5G, AI, and cyber security. The EU-U.S. Trade and Technology Council (TTC) focuses on setting global tech standards. The Blue Dot Network and Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII), led by G7 nations, offer financing for secure digital infrastructure in developing countries. These alliances aim to counter China’s technological dominance by fostering worldwide resilient, open, and trustworthy digital ecosystems.

 

Conclusion

 

The Digital Silk Road is more than just an economic initiative. It is a strategic instrument of techno-political influence that enhances China’s global standing. While it offers significant opportunities for digital development, it raises concerns about cyber security, digital authoritarianism, and geopolitical dependence. As nations seek to balance economic engagement with China against strategic vulnerabilities, the future of the DSR will shape the global digital order, cyber security norms, and geopolitical alignments in the coming decades. The world is at a crossroads where the battle for digital supremacy will define 21st-century geopolitics.

 

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The Digital Silk Road: Implication Of China’s Techno-Political Strategy

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Pic Courtesy Internet.

References:-

  1. Eurasia Group. “The Geopolitical Consequences of the Digital Silk Road: China’s Emerging Technology Influence.” Strategic Studies Quarterly, vol. 15, no. 3, 2021, pp. 12–34.
  1. Feldstein, Steven. “The Rise of Digital Authoritarianism: China, AI, and Repressive Governance.” Foreign Affairs, vol. 99, no. 3, 2020, pp. 56–72.
  1. Chen, Dingding, and Wang, Xiaojun. “AI, Big Data, and China’s Quest for Global Digital Supremacy.” Asian Security, vol. 16, no. 4, 2022, pp. 431–452.
  1. Segal, Adam. “China’s Vision for Cyber Sovereignty and Implications for Global Internet Governance.” International Security, vol. 45, no. 2, 2021, pp. 65–91.
  1. Creemers, Rogier. “China’s Cyber Governance Model: Between Control and Connectivity.” Journal of Cyber Policy, vol. 3, no. 1, 2018, pp. 40–57.
  1. Brookings Institution. Beijing’s Digital Strategy: The Global Expansion of the Digital Silk Road. Brookings, 2022.
  1. Mozur, Paul. “How China is Exporting Digital Authoritarianism.” The New York Times, October 15, 2022.
  1. McLaughlin, Timothy. “The Digital Silk Road and the New Internet Order.” The Atlantic, March 22, 2023.
  1. Strumpf, Dan. “Beijing’s Big Tech Play: The Digital Silk Road and the Fight for Global Networks.” The Wall Street Journal, May 3, 2023.
  1. Denyer, Simon. “China’s Surveillance Tech Goes Global.” The Washington Post, August 27, 2022.
  1. The Economist. “China’s Digital Silk Road: Exporting the Future or a Dystopian Vision?” The Economist, September 12, 2023.
  1. U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. China’s Digital Silk Road and Its Implications for U.S. Interests. Washington, D.C., 2023.
  1. Center for a New American Security (CNAS). China’s Tech Expansion and the Global Competition for Digital Supremacy. CNAS Report, 2023.
  1. European Parliament. The EU Response to China’s Digital Silk Road: Strategic Risks and Opportunities. Brussels, 2022.
  1. Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). “How China’s Digital Silk Road is Reshaping Global Technology Governance.” www.cfr.org
  1. Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). “The Digital Silk Road: Expanding Chinese Influence in Global Tech.” www.csis.org
  1. Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS). “China’s Tech Diplomacy and the Digital Silk Road.” www.merics.org
  1. RAND Corporation. “The Digital Silk Road: Security and Economic Implications for the West.” www.rand.org

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

604:TECHNOLOGY HARVESTING BY INDIAN AEROSPACE INDUSTRY: A STRATEGIC IMPERATIVE

 

My article published on the Indus International Research Foundation website on 19 Feb 25.

 

The Indian aerospace industry has made significant strides in technology harvesting, particularly in defence, satellite technology, and aircraft development. Key successes include the development of indigenous fighter jets like the HAL Tejas and the successful launch of ISRO satellite missions, such as the Mars Orbiter Mission. These achievements demonstrate the growing capability of India’s aerospace sector in adopting advanced technologies and adapting them to local needs. However, there are notable misses, primarily in producing high-performance engines and strategic aerospace systems, where India still relies heavily on imports. Despite efforts to indigenous technology, challenges like bureaucratic inefficiencies, limited R&D funding, and a lack of skilled workforce hinder complete technological independence. The industry must address these gaps through improved collaboration, investment in cutting-edge research, and focused policy support to achieve self-reliance and compete globally in the aerospace sector.

 

Technology Harvesting: The Process.

 

Technology harvesting refers to acquiring, utilising, and leveraging existing or newly developed technologies to achieve strategic goals, enhance innovation, or create value. This practice can involve various methods, such as sourcing new technologies, adapting existing ones, commercialising them, or repurposing them for different industries or applications. Technology harvesting often aims to advance an organisation’s capabilities, improve productivity, maintain a competitive edge, or create new products and services. It can involve the following:-

 

    • Identifying valuable technologies. Finding technologies that can benefit a company’s growth or strategic advantage.
    • Acquiring technologies. Through means like acquisitions, licensing, or partnerships.
    • Commercialising or adapting technologies. Transforming acquired technologies into profitable products, services, or processes.
    • Maximising the utility of available technologies. Making the most of existing technological assets by integrating them into new contexts or markets.

 

Ways and Means. Numerous methods help businesses and organisations stay competitive by quickly accessing and implementing new technologies. Some of these are:-

 

    • Internal Research and Development (R&D). Companies and organisations invest in R&D to develop new technologies that can give them a competitive edge. This can be through in-house teams or dedicated innovation labs.
    • Collaborative Research and Development (R&D). Partnerships between universities, research institutes, and businesses allow for technology sharing and joint development, which can expedite innovation.
    • Buying Start-ups: Larger companies often acquire smaller tech start-ups that have developed innovative technologies. This enables quick access to cutting-edge tech and talent.
    • Technology Transfer. Institutions like universities often transfer their research outputs to private companies that can commercialise the technology. This is facilitated through licensing agreements.
    • Technology Licensing. Companies or individuals who hold patents on specific technologies can license them to other firms for a fee or a royalty agreement.
    • Patent Pools. Multiple organisations might collaborate and share patents or licenses to reduce barriers and avoid litigation, accelerating technology adoption.
    • Open-source software. Companies or individuals contribute to open-source projects, allowing others to use, modify, and build upon the technology freely. This can lead to rapid advancement and broader adoption.
    • Open Innovation. Engaging external parties in solving technological challenges, including crowdsourcing solutions and using external ideas and inventions to advance a product or service.
    • Tech Incubators. These programs support early-stage start-ups by providing resources like mentorship, capital, and networking opportunities to help turn nascent technologies into viable businesses.
    • Accelerators. Accelerators are similar to incubators but focus on scaling and rapidly bringing technologies to market. These programs often have a more structured approach.
    • Joint Ventures. Companies often form joint ventures to combine resources and technologies, enabling both parties to leverage each other’s expertise.
    • Industry Collaborations. Corporations in the same industry may collaborate to develop shared technologies that benefit all parties involved.
    • Product Disassembly. Some organisations or individuals harvest technology by disassembling a competitor’s product to understand its design and function. While legally risky, this can provide insights into innovation.
    • Crowdfunding Platforms. Companies and inventors can raise funds to bring their technologies to market by directly engaging with the public. Popular platforms like Kickstarter or Indiegogo can help gauge market interest.
    • Crowdsourcing Ideas. Platforms like InnoCentive allow companies to post problems and offer rewards for solutions, enabling the harvesting of global ideas and innovations.
    • Scanning for Emerging Tech. Firms often employ technology scouts to search for new technologies that could be adopted, licensed, or acquired. This involves monitoring patent filings, academic publications, and industry trends.
    • Subsidies and Funding. Governments often provide grants and funding to develop or commercialise new technologies, particularly in fields like green energy, biotechnology, or defence.
    • Public-Private Partnerships. Governments may partner with the private sector to develop key technologies and infrastructure projects.

 

Indian Aerospace Industry and Technology Harvesting

 

The Indian aerospace industry has undergone a significant transformation in recent decades, shifting from a sector heavily reliant on imports to one that is making substantial progress in indigenous development. This evolution has been primarily driven by government initiatives, defence collaborations, foreign investments, and, most notably, technology harvesting.

 

Evolution of the Indian Aerospace Industry. The foundation of India’s aerospace industry was laid in the early 1940s with the establishment of Hindustan Aircraft Limited (now Hindustan Aeronautics Limited, HAL). Over the years, the Indian government, through organisations such as DRDO (Defence Research and Development Organisation), ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation), and private-sector initiatives, has fostered aerospace capabilities. Despite significant progress, India still relies heavily on imported technology, particularly in critical areas such as jet engines, avionics, and stealth technology.

 

Technology Harvesting in the Indian Aerospace Industry. Technology harvesting has played a crucial role in advancing India’s aerospace capabilities. The country employs multiple strategies to acquire and integrate advanced technology, including technology transfer agreements, joint ventures, back engineering, and indigenous R&D.

 

    • Technology Transfer. India has effectively utilised offsets and technology transfer agreements in defence procurement deals as a key strategy for technology harvesting. These agreements, which mandate foreign firms to invest a portion of the contract value in India’s defence sector, have fostered local expertise and infrastructure development. For instance, the Rafale Deal with Dassault Aviation, France, involves the transfer of advanced radar, avionics, and composite material manufacturing techniques to Indian firms. Similarly, India’s partnerships with Boeing and Lockheed Martin have led to the domestic manufacturing of C-130J Super Hercules airframes and Apache attack helicopter components.
    • Joint Ventures. The Indian government has encouraged joint ventures between domestic and foreign companies to accelerate technology harvesting. These partnerships allow Indian firms to access cutting-edge aerospace technology while contributing to global supply chains. Notable joint ventures include Tata Advanced Systems and Lockheed Martin for manufacturing C-130J Super Hercules airframes in India, Adani and Elbit Systems (Israel) for UAV production under the “Make in India” initiative, and L&T and ISRO Collaboration for developing reusable launch vehicles and space technologies.
    • Indigenous Aerospace Programs and Achievements. Technology harvesting has significantly influenced India’s ability to develop indigenous aerospace programs. The success of these programs is a testament to India’s growing self-reliance in the sector.

 

Successes

 

India’s aerospace industry has made significant strides in technology development over the past few decades, particularly in indigenous aircraft production, space exploration, and defence technology. Here’s a look at its notable successes and challenges.

 

Indigenous Aircraft Development. One of the achievements is the development of the HAL Tejas, a fourth-generation multi-role light combat aircraft.  The Tejas has proven successful in designing, engineering, and integrating advanced systems, though it still faces some challenges related to production timelines and numbers.

 

Space Technology. ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation) has shown significant technological advances, especially in satellite technology and space exploration. India’s Mars Orbiter Mission (Mangalyaan) and Chandrayaan missions to the Moon were notable successes, signalling India’s growing expertise in space missions.

 

GSLV & PSLV Rockets. India has developed reliable launch vehicles, particularly the Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV), making India one of the leading providers of commercial satellite launches globally. The Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle (GSLV) has been crucial for launching heavier payloads, demonstrating a significant leap in India’s rocket development.

 

Missile Technology. India’s missile technology, mainly through the Agni and Prithvi series, has significantly succeeded in strategic and tactical weapons. The BrahMos, a joint venture with Russia, is among the world’s fastest cruise missiles and showcases India’s ability to partner internationally while developing cutting-edge technology.

 

Hypersonic and Space Technologies. India is making strides in hypersonic technology, a critical frontier in aerospace innovation. The Hypersonic Technology Demonstrator Vehicle (HSTDV), developed by DRDO, is a significant step toward mastering scramjet propulsion for future hypersonic missiles and aircraft.

 

Challenges.

 

Delays in Aircraft Production. While successful, the HAL Tejas program has faced significant delays. Initially expected to enter service in the late 1990s, the Tejas project has been plagued by issues related to engine integration, production delays, and insufficient numbers for the Indian Air Force (IAF).

 

Missed Opportunities in Commercial Aircraft Manufacturing. India has failed to develop a competitive indigenous commercial aircraft. The RTA-70 was initially conceived as a regional aircraft but has not progressed beyond the conceptual stages. HAL’s failure to enter the commercial aircraft market has kept India from tapping into a potentially lucrative market, especially with rising demand for air travel in Asia.

 

Reliance on Foreign Technology. While India has made strides in many defence technologies, it remains heavily dependent on foreign technology for critical components, such as aircraft engines, avionics, and radar systems. The Kaveri engine, developed for the Tejas, faced performance issues, leading to continued reliance on foreign suppliers like GE Aviation for the Tejas’ engine. Similarly, radar and electronic warfare systems are often imported.

 

Slower Transition to 5th Generation Aircraft. India’s pursuit of a fifth-generation aircraft, specifically the AMCA (Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft), has been slow. While it is an ambitious project, it faces development timelines and funding challenges. Additionally, India’s slow progress in stealth technology has led to delays compared to countries like China and Russia, which are already advancing.

 

Challenges in Commercial Space. While ISRO has achieved remarkable success in government and scientific space exploration, it has not yet fully capitalised on the commercial space sector. Although India has been a competitive player in satellite launches, it faces stiff competition from U.S. and European private companies. The growth of private space players like SpaceX has overshadowed ISRO’s commercial potential in the global space race.

 

Way Ahead

The way ahead for technology harvesting by the Indian aerospace industry lies in a multi-pronged approach, focusing on leveraging global innovations, fostering indigenous capabilities, and enhancing collaboration between government, private sector, and academia. India has historically depended on technology imports to meet the demands of its aerospace sector. Still, with growing aspirations for self-reliance, the industry is actively working on increasing its technological base. A significant step in this direction is the Indian government’s push for the “Atmanirbhar Bharat” (Self-reliant India) initiative, which encourages domestic manufacturing and innovation.

 

Key areas for technology harvesting include advanced materials, propulsion systems, avionics, and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). Collaboration with global aerospace leaders and partnerships with foreign entities through joint ventures and knowledge exchange programs will enable the Indian aerospace sector to integrate cutting-edge technologies. The private sector’s growing role, exemplified by companies like Tata Advanced Systems and Reliance Aerospace, is crucial in driving innovation and attracting foreign direct investment. These companies are now working to develop advanced systems and technologies that could be exported globally. Additionally, academia and research institutions like the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) and the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) play a pivotal role in fostering research and development in key areas such as avionics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning, which are rapidly transforming the aerospace sector.

 

Conclusion.

The Indian aerospace industry is on a transformative path, leveraging technology harvesting to bridge the gap between domestic capabilities and global standards. Through strategic partnerships, reverse engineering and indigenous R&D, India is steadily reducing its reliance on foreign suppliers. The success of projects like Tejas, AMCA, and hypersonic weapons development showcases India’s ability to absorb and innovate upon harvested technology. Further investments in jet engine technology, stealth aircraft, and AI-driven aerospace solutions will be key to solidifying India’s global power position. By strengthening its ecosystem through private sector participation and continued technology absorption, India is poised to achieve genuine self-reliance in aerospace and defence.

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

Pic: Courtesy Net.

References:-

  1. “India’s Aerospace Industry: The Path Forward” (2021), by Aerospace and Defence Manufacturing Association of India (ADMA).
  1. “Atmanirbhar Bharat and the Indian Aerospace Industry” (2020), Ministry of Defence, Government of India.
  1. “The Indian Space Programme: An Overview” (2018), Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO).
  1. Subramanian, K., & Iyer, R. (2022). “Technological Developments in India’s Aerospace and Defence Sector: Opportunities and Challenges.” International Journal of Aerospace Engineering, 35(4), 567-589.
  1. Sharma, S., & Dinesh, P. (2021). “The Role of Private Sector in Advancing Aerospace Technologies in India.” Asian Journal of Aerospace Technology, 27(2), 123-139.
  1. Aggarwal, M., & Kumar, A. (2020). “Defence Technology Development in India: The Next Frontier in Aerospace.” Journal of Defence Technology, 8(3), 220-233.
  1. “National Aerospace and Defence Policy Framework” (2019), Government of India.
  1. “Make in India: Aerospace and Defence” (2017), Department of Defence Production, Ministry of Defence, Government of India.
  1. “Aerospace & Defence Industry in India: An Overview” (2021), KPMG India.
  2. “Global Aerospace Outlook 2020” (2020), PwC India.
  1. “Indian Aerospace Industry: Key Trends and Future Potential” (2022), Ernst & Young India.
  1. “India’s Aerospace and Defence Sector is Taking Off” (2022), Economic Times.
  1. “How India’s Aircraft Manufacturers are Making Their Mark” (2021), The Hindustan Times.
  1. “Private Players Taking the Lead in India’s Aerospace Growth” (2020), Business Standard.

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

600: RISE OF COMBAT DRONES: IMPLICATIONS FOR TRADITIONAL AIRPOWER

 

The rapid advancement of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), known as drones, has revolutionised modern warfare. Once primarily used for reconnaissance and surveillance, drones have evolved into sophisticated combat platforms capable of executing precision strikes, electronic warfare, and logistics support. The proliferation of combat drones challenges the dominance of traditional airpower by altering strategic doctrines, operational tactics, and force structures. This article explores the rise of combat drones and their profound implications for conventional airpower.

 

Armed variants of the Predator, such as the MQ-1 and MQ-9 Reaper, demonstrated the feasibility of unmanned precision strikes, ushering in a new era of aerial warfare. Since then, countries such as China, Russia, Turkey, and Iran have rapidly developed their combat drone capabilities. Technological advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), sensor miniaturisation, and autonomous navigation have expanded combat drones’ capabilities. Modern drones can operate autonomously, engage in complex swarm tactics (where multiple drones coordinate their actions in real-time), and integrate with network-centric warfare systems. A list of major combat drones is appended.

 

Key Advantages of Combat Drones

 

Combat drones, or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), have rapidly transformed modern military operations. They offer a range of significant advantages that enhance strategic effectiveness and operational efficiency. These advantages are critical for established military powers and smaller nations looking to improve their defence capabilities.

 

Cost-Effectiveness. One of the most prominent advantages of combat drones is their cost-effectiveness. Traditional manned aircraft, such as fighter jets and bombers, involve substantial financial investments in production, maintenance, fuel, and the continuous training of pilots. These high operational and training costs make them financially burdensome, especially for nations with smaller defence budgets. Combat drones, in contrast, are much more affordable to produce, operate, and maintain. This makes drones an attractive option for military forces seeking advanced technology without the prohibitive expenses of traditional aviation.

 

Reduced Risk to Human Life. The ability to operate drones remotely means that military personnel are not physically present in the combat environment, which significantly reduces the risk to human life. Manned aircraft often place pilots in high-risk situations, such as hostile airspace, where the threat of anti-aircraft weapons, enemy fighters, or surface-to-air missiles is constant. This feature makes drones especially valuable for missions in high-risk zones, such as counterterrorism operations, surveillance of enemy positions, or strikes against heavily fortified targets. By minimising human casualties, drones ensure mission sustainability and allow forces to continue operations with fewer limitations.

 

Persistent Surveillance and Endurance. Unlike manned aircraft with limited flight durations due to fuel constraints, combat drones can remain airborne for extended periods, often hours or even days. This endurance allows drones to conduct continuous intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) operations over extended periods without returning to the base for fuel or rest. Drones can loiter over targets for extended periods, tracking enemy movements, gathering intelligence, and relaying data to commanders. This constant flow of information improves situational awareness and allows military forces to remain proactive rather than reactive in their operations.

 

Precision Strike Capabilities. Modern combat drones are equipped with advanced targeting systems, enabling them to conduct precise strikes with high accuracy. This precision is made possible through advanced sensors, cameras, and laser-guided munitions, which enable drones to accurately identify and engage enemy targets such as vehicles, facilities, or personnel, even in complex environments. Precision is critical in counterinsurgency operations, where avoiding collateral damage is crucial for maintaining local support and reducing the risk of civilian backlash.

 

Operational Flexibility. Another significant advantage of combat drones is their operational flexibility. Drones are highly versatile and can be deployed in various roles, from surveillance and reconnaissance to electronic warfare and decoy operations. They can serve as support platforms for ground troops, relaying intelligence, providing airstrikes, or conducting search and rescue missions. Drones can also be used in electronic warfare, disrupting enemy communication systems or jamming radar signals. Additionally, drones can serve as decoys, drawing enemy fire or confusing adversaries about the location of critical assets. This adaptability makes drones valuable assets in numerous military operations, enhancing their utility in diverse combat scenarios.

 

Drone Usage in Recent Conflicts

 

Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict. This conflict saw extensive use of drones by Azerbaijan, which utilised both tactical drones for surveillance and loitering munitions for precision strikes. Azerbaijan’s use of Turkish-made Bayraktar TB2 drones (a medium-altitude, long-endurance tactical unmanned aerial vehicle), alongside Israeli-made drones, played a crucial role in undermining Armenian defensive positions and disrupting supply lines. Drones provided real-time intelligence and executed targeted airstrikes, significantly impacting the battlefield dynamics. The success of drones in this conflict highlighted their role in modern warfare, showcasing their effectiveness in both reconnaissance and offensive operations and marking a shift in how airpower is utilised in regional conflicts.

 

Ukraine-Russia Conflict. In the ongoing Ukraine-Russia conflict, drones have become pivotal for both sides. Ukraine has relied heavily on drones for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance (ISR), and precision strikes. The use of Turkish-made Bayraktar drones has garnered international attention due to their success in targeting Russian artillery and supply lines. Russia, in turn, has deployed both reconnaissance drones and loitering munitions such as the Lancet drone. Drones are crucial in this conflict, offering both tactical advantages in real-time battlefield awareness and as weapons of deterrence. The conflict exemplifies how UAVs transform modern armies conducting warfare on the ground and in the air.

 

Israel-Hamas War. During the Israel-Hamas conflict, drones played a significant role in both offensive and defensive strategies. Israel utilised advanced unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) like the Hermes 450 and the Heron TP for surveillance, reconnaissance, and precision strikes, targeting Hamas military infrastructure, leaders, and weapon caches. Drones enable real-time intelligence, improving the effectiveness of airstrikes while minimising collateral damage. Hamas also deployed drones, often for reconnaissance and surveillance, but with increasing sophistication in attacking Israeli targets. The conflict highlighted the growing reliance on drones for modern warfare, as they offer cost-effective, high-precision capabilities in asymmetric conflicts.

 

U.S. Counterterrorism Operations. Combat drones have been central to U.S. counterterrorism operations, particularly in regions like the Middle East and North Africa. The U.S. military has employed drones for targeted strikes against high-value targets, including terrorist leaders and militants affiliated with groups like Al-Qaeda and ISIS. Drones such as the MQ-9 Reaper and MQ-1 Predator have provided surveillance and precision strike capabilities without the risk of piloting manned aircraft in hostile environments. These operations, while effective in neutralising threats, have raised ethical and legal concerns about civilian casualties, sovereignty violations, and the long-term strategic consequences of drone warfare.

 

Future Trends in Drone Warfare

 

AI-Driven Autonomy. AI-driven autonomy in drone warfare will revolutionise decision-making, enabling UAVs to analyse data and execute missions independently. This reduces human intervention, enhances speed, and improves operational efficiency, allowing drones to make real-time tactical decisions and adapt to changing battlefield dynamics without relying on constant human oversight.

 

Swarm Tactics. Swarm tactics involve deploying many drones that can communicate and collaborate autonomously to overwhelm targets. This approach maximises impact, confuses enemies, and complicates defence strategies. Swarms can be used for offensive operations, like saturation attacks, and defensive roles, such as countering incoming threats in coordinated formations.

 

Hybrid Manned-Unmanned Operations. Hybrid manned-unmanned operations combine human decision-making with autonomous drone capabilities, enhancing flexibility and situational awareness. Human pilots can control UAVs while receiving support from AI systems that automate data processing and mission planning. This synergy allows for optimal control and strategic execution while reducing the cognitive burden on operators.

 

Miniaturisation and Stealth. Miniaturisation and stealth technologies are enhancing drones’ ability to operate undetected. Smaller, quieter UAVs with reduced radar signatures can infiltrate enemy defences, gather intelligence, or carry out strikes without being easily intercepted. These advances improve tactical flexibility and extend the operational range of drones in contested environments.

 

Implications of Combat Drones on Traditional Airpower

 

The rapid advancement and proliferation of combat drones, also known as unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs), have fundamentally reshaped the landscape of air warfare. The increasing integration of unmanned systems has now disrupted what was once a domain exclusively dominated by manned fighter jets, strategic bombers, and attack aircraft. While traditional airpower remains indispensable in major military operations, combat drones introduce new doctrines, alter strategic calculations, and challenge long-held assumptions about air superiority. From cost-effectiveness to survivability, from force projection to counter-air missions, the implications of drones on traditional airpower are profound and multifaceted.

 

Changes in Force Structuring. This cost-effectiveness has allowed major and minor powers to expand their air combat capabilities without requiring massive budgets. Countries that could not previously project significant airpower can now field substantial drone fleets, effectively democratising access to aerial warfare. Moreover, drone attrition is far more acceptable than the loss of a piloted aircraft, further changing the strategic calculus. Traditional airpower relies on highly trained pilots, whose combat loss affects military effectiveness and carries significant political and moral weight. The expendability of drones means that military commanders can take more significant risks, leading to more aggressive and flexible operational doctrines.

 

Changing the Nature of Air Superiority and Aerial Combat. The rise of combat drones challenges traditional definitions of air superiority. Historically, air superiority was determined by the ability of manned fighter aircraft to establish dominance over enemy airspace through superior manoeuvrability, advanced sensors, and beyond-visual-range (BVR) engagements. However, drones are now increasingly capable of carrying out air-to-air missions, raising questions about the future role of manned aircraft in achieving air superiority. For example, the Loyal Wingman concept, which pairs autonomous drones with manned fighter jets, represents a hybrid traditional and drone-based airpower model. In this setup, manned aircraft act as command-and-control nodes while drones perform high-risk tasks such as dogfighting, electronic warfare, and decoy operations. Similarly, China is developing drones like the FH-97, modelled after the U.S. XQ-58 Valkyrie, which can operate as autonomous wingmen to piloted aircraft.

 

Changes in Traditional Fighter Combat Tactics. Small, agile drones can operate in swarms, overwhelming enemy defences in ways that traditional aircraft cannot counter easily. Countries such as China and Russia are actively developing swarm drone technology that could neutralise enemy air defences and fighter squadrons by sheer numbers. In such a scenario, traditional air combat tactics based on individual or squadron engagements may become obsolete, replaced by algorithm-driven swarm warfare where AI-driven drones execute complex attack patterns beyond human reaction times.

 

Evolution of Air Defence Systems. The rise of combat drones has forced rapid changes in air defence systems. Traditional air defences, such as surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems, were designed to counter high-speed, high-altitude threats from fighter jets and bombers. However, drones present an entirely different challenge, as they are often smaller, slower, and fly at lower altitudes, making them difficult for conventional radar systems to detect and track. Countries have responded by integrating counter-drone capabilities into their air defence networks. Integrated air defence systems, such as Israel’s Iron Dome and Russia’s Pantsir-S1, have been adapted to target drones with high-precision missiles and rapid-fire auto-cannons. Additionally, electronic warfare (EW) has emerged as a crucial element in countering drone threats. Many modern air defence systems now incorporate jamming and spoofing capabilities to disrupt combat drones’ communications and GPS navigation, rendering them ineffective. Despite these adaptations, drones are still proving to be highly disruptive. The 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict demonstrated how drones could systematically dismantle traditional air defences. Azerbaijani forces used Turkish and Israeli drones to destroy Armenian SAM sites, rendering their conventional air defence network ineffective. This shift suggests that air defence will increasingly rely on layered, AI-driven networks capable of simultaneously countering manned and unmanned threats in future conflicts.

 

Alteration in Roles and Tasks. Traditional airpower doctrine has been built around fighter jets for air superiority, strategic bombers for deep penetration strikes, and Battlefield air support (BAS) aircraft for ground engagements. However, combat drones are altering these roles in significant ways. In battlefield air support missions, drones have already proven their effectiveness. The MQ-9 Reaper, for example, has been widely used by the U.S. military for BAS missions in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria. Unlike traditional BAS aircraft requiring significant logistics and support, drones can loiter over a battlefield for extended periods, providing persistent surveillance and rapid strike capability. This persistence gives ground commanders real-time intelligence and strike options that traditional aircraft cannot match. In strategic bombing missions, drones are also beginning to make their mark. While heavy bombers like the B-52 or B-2 Spirit lack the payload capacity, swarming drone tactics could compensate by overwhelming enemy defences with multiple smaller precision strikes. China’s WZ-8 high-speed reconnaissance drone and the U.S. RQ-180 stealth drone suggest that drones may soon take over many roles traditionally assigned to strategic bombers.

 

Shift in Human Role. Additionally, the increasing use of AI in drone operations is shifting the human role in air warfare. While traditional airpower relies on human decision-making, AI-driven drones can process vast amounts of battlefield data in real time, react faster than human pilots, and execute missions with minimal human intervention. This shift raises ethical and operational questions about the future of autonomous air warfare, particularly in conflicts where rapid decision-making can mean the difference between victory and defeat.

 

The Future of Manned Aircraft in a Drone-Dominated Battlefield. While drones are rapidly transforming air warfare, it is unlikely that traditional manned aircraft will become obsolete in the near future. Instead, airpower will likely evolve into a hybrid model where manned and unmanned platforms work together. For example, the U.S. Air Force’s Next-Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) program envisions a future where advanced fighter jets operate alongside AI-driven drones in a coordinated battle network.

 

Evolutionary Process. Stealth fighter jets will still be critical for high-end air combat against technologically advanced adversaries. While drones offer many advantages, they still face limitations regarding autonomy, electronic warfare vulnerabilities, and adaptability in complex combat scenarios. Human pilots bring strategic thinking, adaptability, and situational awareness that AI-driven drones cannot fully replicate. That said, as AI and drone technology continue to improve, we may eventually see a shift where manned fighters become command platforms rather than frontline combatants. Future air battles may be fought with autonomous drone swarms controlled by human operators from standoff distances, reducing the need for pilots to engage in direct combat.

 

Conclusion

The rise of combat drones represents a paradigm shift in modern warfare, challenging the supremacy of traditional air power. While manned aircraft will likely remain relevant for the foreseeable future, their role is shifting toward command and control rather than direct engagement. As drone technology continues to advance, the future of air warfare will likely be defined not by individual dogfights but by networks of autonomous systems operating in concert with traditional manned platforms. In this evolving landscape, the key to maintaining air dominance will be successfully integrating drones into traditional airpower frameworks, leveraging human and artificial intelligence to maximise combat effectiveness. 

 

The increasing integration of drones necessitates a revaluation of military doctrines, investment priorities, and force structures. The future of air warfare lies in a balanced approach that leverages the complementary strengths of both manned and unmanned systems.

 

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References and credits

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Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

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