Tag: military capability

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528: ISRAEL AIR FORCE’S INTELLIGENCE-DRIVEN PRECISION STRIKES ON THE HEART OF LEBANON

 

 

My article published in News Analytics Journal (Oct24)

 

 

The Israeli Air Force is one of the world’s most advanced and capable air forces. It plays a crucial role in Israel’s defence and has been involved in numerous conflicts since its establishment. Established in 1948, shortly after Israel declared independence, it participated in the 1948 Arab-Israeli War, using a mix of hastily acquired aircraft from various sources. Its other notable air operations include a pre-emptive airstrike in 1967 during the Six-Day War (Operation Focus), the destruction of an Iraqi nuclear reactor in 1981 (Operation Opera), and The famous 1976 hostage rescue operation in Uganda  (Operation Entebbe). The Israeli Air Force is known for its highly innovative approach to warfare, often adapting its tactics to changing threats. It is also known for precision strikes, especially in urban settings where minimising civilian casualties is important. The IAF integrates intelligence, electronic warfare, and cyber capabilities with traditional air combat, giving it a modern edge.

 

Operation Northern Arrow. The IAF is central to Israel’s defence strategy, especially in countering threats from non-state actors like Hezbollah and Hamas, as well as from regional rivals like Iran. It conducts regular airstrikes in Syria to prevent Iranian entrenchment and arms transfers to Hezbollah. On 01 Oct, the Israeli Defence Forces launched operation “Northern Arrow”, limited, localised, and targeted ground and air raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. The Israeli Air Force is carrying out precision strikes on these targets. The Israeli Air Force (IAF)’s success in hitting the “heart” of Lebanon, mainly targeting Hezbollah, reflects high-stakes military operations that combine sophisticated technology, real-time intelligence, and a meticulously crafted strategy. Operating in Lebanon, where Hezbollah is deeply entrenched in urban and rural areas, involves numerous challenges that place these airstrikes at the forefront of modern warfare. Notably, the IAF has conducted strikes on Hezbollah’s missile launch sites, command centers, and weapons storage facilities, particularly in southern Lebanon. These operations aim to pre-emptively disrupt Hezbollah’s military capabilities. Key Hezbollah figures have been killed in the strikes, including leaders involved in smuggling arms from Iran and coordinating attacks against Israel.

 

Multi-faceted Strategy. The Israeli Air Force (IAF) has developed and implemented a multi-faceted strategy to engage Hezbollah and other militant groups operating in Lebanon. Instead of large-scale bombing campaigns, the IAF uses surgical strikes to take out specific targets. Striking at the “heart of Lebanon” refers to hitting key Hezbollah targets embedded within the country’s infrastructure, leadership, and military capabilities. The IAF’s strategy involves a combination of intelligence gathering, precise targeting, psychological warfare, and careful management of military and political risks. The IAF’s strategy often includes pre-emptive strikes against Hezbollah’s weapons depots, missile storage facilities, and military infrastructure.  Precision strikes allow Israel to implement “decapitation” strategies, targeting Hezbollah’s leadership and command centers to disrupt the organisation’s operational capacity. In some cases, the IAF issues warnings, such as the “knock on the roof” tactic, which involves firing non-lethal munitions as a warning before delivering a full strike. This provides civilians with time to evacuate, reducing unintended harm.  The Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow missile defence systems complement the IAF’s airstrikes by intercepting rockets and missiles launched from Lebanon. This layered defence safeguards against Hezbollah’s retaliation while IAF jets continue operations. Israel’s ability to precisely target high-value individuals and infrastructure at will with minimum collateral damage sends a strong message to Hezbollah and its backers (particularly Iran). The threat of precision strikes on Hezbollah’s leadership, or even broader infrastructure, serves as a powerful deterrent.

 

Precision Challenges in Dense Urban Environment. Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed militant group operating in Lebanon, has developed sophisticated military tactics, including the use of underground tunnels, fortified bunkers, and weapons depots hidden within civilian areas. Hezbollah operates in densely populated areas, using civilian infrastructure to shield its military assets. This makes airstrikes inherently risky as they can cause collateral damage, potentially triggering international condemnation or fuelling strong anti-Israeli sentiment within Lebanon.  The IAF’s ability to conduct precision strikes, often within dense urban environments, underscores the need for exact target identification and delivery of munitions with a near-zero margin for error. Missed strikes can lead to civilian casualties or loss of key assets, which could inflame tensions domestically and internationally. The IAF uses advanced precision-guided munitions, such as laser-guided bombs, GPS-guided missiles, and small-diameter bombs (SDBs). The IAF’s strategy includes using micro-munitions or low-yield bombs to strike specific rooms or floors within buildings, reducing the impact on surrounding areas. Many Hezbollah weapons and command facilities are hidden in tunnels, bunkers, or heavily fortified underground complexes. The IAF uses bunker-busting munitions to penetrate these defences, but accurately targeting these assets requires impeccable intelligence and timing.

 

 

Reliance on Real-Time, Multi-Domain Intelligence and Systems.

 

High-stakes operations in Lebanon require real-time intelligence from multiple sources. The IAF relies on continuous surveillance, including UAVs, satellites, and ground-based informants, to monitor Hezbollah’s activities and rapidly adjust targeting. Hezbollah often mobilises and shifts its assets quickly, necessitating dynamic targeting where real-time decisions are crucial to success.  The IAF’s integrated command-and-control systems allow pilots and commanders to react to evolving battlefield conditions, ensuring that targets are engaged optimally. Hezbollah is aware of Israeli surveillance capabilities and employs deception tactics, such as decoy structures, to mislead or confuse the IAF. To counter this, Israel employs artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to analyse patterns, identifying real targets amid decoys.

 

Type of Intels. A comprehensive array of intelligence (Intel) is required to execute precision airstrikes like those carried out by the Israeli Air Force (IAF) in Lebanon or similar environments. Precision strikes, especially in complex urban or mountainous environments, rely on this multi-layered, real-time intelligence to minimise collateral damage and achieve tactical goals.

 

    • Human Intelligence (HUMINT). On-the-ground informants within Lebanon, especially those embedded in the targeted regions (either friendly locals, agents, defectors or collaborators), provide real-time, granular information on the movement of individuals, weapons, and critical infrastructure.

 

    • Signals Intelligence (SIGINT). SIGINT is a crucial component of precision airstrikes. Israeli intelligence agencies such as Unit 8200 are known for their expertise in intercepting and decoding enemy communications, both encrypted and unencrypted. This involves monitoring radio frequencies, phone calls, and internet communications to pinpoint militants’ locations and plans.

 

    • Imagery Intelligence (IMINT). IMINT is significantly enhanced by advanced technology. High-resolution satellite imagery, essential for mapping terrain, identifying targets, and observing infrastructure changes or enemy forces’ movement, is made possible through Israel’s access to advanced satellite systems such as the Ofek series. UAVs (drones) and manned aircraft equipped with state-of-the-art sensors are used for aerial reconnaissance to gather real-time visual and thermal imagery. Israel’s drone fleet, including platforms like the Heron and Eitan, provides critical real-time video feeds to operational commanders. Optical & infrared sensors, capable of detecting heat signatures, can identify hidden vehicles, weapons caches, and bunkers even under cover of night or in poor weather conditions, showcasing the military’s technological prowess.

 

    • Geospatial Intelligence (GEOINT). Detailed maps of Lebanon’s terrain, including urban layouts, subterranean networks (e.g., Hezbollah’s tunnels), and natural cover, are crucial for planning precise airstrikes. This is where geospatial intelligence (GEOINT) comes into play, providing planners with a comprehensive understanding of the battlefield. Generating 3D models of cities, towns, and villages allows them to determine the best angles and approaches for strikes, ensuring maximum impact.

 

    • Open-source intelligence (OSINT): Gathering data from news outlets, social media, and other open sources can provide insights into enemy morale, troop movements, or public reactions that influence operational decisions. Monitoring the public statements of groups like Hezbollah, press releases, or the speeches of critical figures can provide valuable strategic and operational clues.

 

    • Electronic Intelligence (ELINT). Identifying and understanding enemy air defence systems’ location, capabilities, and operational status is crucial for safe air operations. The IAF uses ELINT to suppress or evade enemy air defences, such as SAM (Surface-to-Air Missile) batteries. Israel also uses ELINT to disrupt or jam enemy communications and radar systems during strikes, creating confusion and allowing for more precise targeting.

 

    • Cyber Intelligence. Israel is known for its advanced cyber capabilities. Hacking enemy networks to disrupt command-and-control systems or gather intelligence on upcoming operations can provide critical information. Using malware to access sensitive enemy communications, weapons systems, or logistics can help planners effectively target vital nodes.

 

All of these intelligence sources are integrated through a centralised command-and-control system. Israel’s Unit 8200 and Aman (Military Intelligence Directorate) play vital roles in gathering, processing, and disseminating this intelligence. Their ability to fuse these sources in real-time allows the IAF to carry out precision strikes accurately. The IAF uses electronic warfare to jam enemy radars and air defence systems, allowing its aircraft to fly deep into Lebanon without detection. By neutralising Hezbollah’s anti-aircraft capabilities, the IAF can focus on executing precision strikes with minimal risk to its pilots.

 

The IAF’s ability to mobilise quickly and launch strikes in response to evolving intelligence is crucial to its engagement strategy. The flexibility to strike at any time gives Israel the ability to act before Hezbollah can adjust its defences. The IAF frequently conducts training exercises and simulations to prepare for diverse scenarios in Lebanon. This ensures pilots and commanders are ready to adapt to changing conditions, whether that involves urban combat environments, underground targets, or mobile missile launchers.

 

Precision targeting has revolutionised modern air warfare, opening new vistas for air forces worldwide. The Israeli Air Force’s high-stakes execution in Lebanon is a master class in contemporary precision warfare, balancing technological superiority, intelligence integration, and strategic foresight.  It is a coordinated mix of intelligence dominance, advanced technology, psychological deterrence, and military agility. The integration of real-time intelligence, cyber warfare, electronic warfare, and precision-guided munitions allows the IAF to strike Hezbollah’s core infrastructure while minimising civilian harm. By focusing on leadership decapitation, missile neutralisation, and disruption of supply chains, Israel manages to keep Hezbollah in check. This approach not only maintains Israel’s military superiority but also offers a blueprint for future conflicts where urban and hybrid warfare will dominate. The Israeli Air Force’s successful precision targeting in Lebanon has demonstrated how modern air forces can utilise technology, intelligence, and innovation to achieve strategic goals in challenging environments.

 

Your valuable comments are most welcome.

 

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Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

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523: CHINA: CHALLENGES IN DEVELOPING NEXT-GENERATION FIGHTER ENGINES

 

 

My Article published on The EurasionTimes Website on 22 Oct 24.

 

China’s defence policies underscore its commitment to self-reliance and the relentless pursuit of advanced technology development, aiming to reduce dependence on foreign sources. The country’s defence industry, a critical component of its national strategy, stands as one of the largest and most advanced in the world. It is a testament to China’s significant investments in military modernisation and technological innovation, bolstering military readiness and asserting its global influence. The roots of China’s defence industry can be traced back to the 1950s, following the establishment of the People’s Republic of China. Over the decades, it has evolved from focusing on basic weaponry to a more sophisticated and diversified military production capability, with a strong emphasis on advanced technology. The industry is primarily state-owned and heavily regulated by the Chinese government.

 

Defence Aviation Industry. The military aviation sector is part of China’s broader defence industry and is critical for the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF). China’s military aviation industry has rapidly evolved over the past few decades, reflecting its growing emphasis on modernising its armed forces and enhancing its defence capabilities. The industry focuses on producing a range of military aircraft, including fighter jets, transport planes, helicopters, and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). The Chinese military has undertaken extensive modernisation efforts, including developing advanced fighter jets (Chengdu J-20 and J-31, fifth-generation stealth fighters). However, China faces several challenges in developing advanced fighter aircraft engines, which are critical for enhancing the capabilities of its military aviation.

 

Aero Engine Corporation of China. The Aero Engine Corporation of China (AECC) is a Chinese state-owned enterprise focused on developing, manufacturing, and servicing aircraft engines. It was officially established in August 2016 in response to China’s growing need to develop its indigenous aero-engine technology for military and civilian aircraft. The company merged parts of AVIC (Aviation Industry Corporation of China) and other related entities to consolidate China’s aerospace engine research, development, and production capabilities. Developing advanced Indigenous engines is a strategic priority for China, both for the defence sector and the expanding commercial aviation industry (e.g., China’s domestically developed C919 airliner). AECC aims to reduce China’s reliance on foreign engine manufacturers and to enhance China’s aerospace capabilities, especially in the context of its military modernisation and commercial aviation expansion.

 

Current State of Development. Historically, China has relied on foreign-sourced engines, and AECC is central to the effort to change that. AECC is focused on developing turbofan and turboprop engines for military jets, such as the WS-10 series (for fighter aircraft) and the WS-15 (for China’s next-generation stealth fighter). It is also developing high-bypass turbofan engines for commercial aircraft, aiming to rival global engine makers General Electric and Rolls-Royce.

 

    • WS-10 “Taihang” Engine. The 13-14 ton thrust WS-10, a product of several years of dedicated development, represents China’s first successful attempt at producing a modern turbofan engine for its advanced fighters. This achievement, intended for use in the J-10 and J-11 fighter jets, is a testament to China’s progress in engine development. While early versions faced reliability issues, newer variants, such as the WS-10B and WS-10C, have reportedly improved significantly in thrust and performance, instilling optimism about China’s future in aviation technology.

 

    • WS-13 “Tianshan” Engine. A turbofan engine (8.5-9 ton thrust), primarily designed for the FC-1/JF-17 fighter, a joint Chinese-Pakistani light fighter aircraft. The WS-13 is a lighter engine designed for smaller fighters and is an alternative to the Russian-made RD-93 engine used in earlier JF-17 models.

 

    • The WS-15 “Emei” Engine. A next-generation turbofan engine with an estimated 18 tons of thrust is a significant milestone in China’s fighter engine development. Designed to power the J-20 stealth fighter jet, the WS-15 is strategically important as it aims to provide the thrust and performance required for fifth-generation fighter jets, particularly for China’s J-20 stealth fighter. Its potential to achieve super cruise capability (sustained supersonic flight without afterburners) underscores the strategic implications of China’s advancements in fighter engine development. Despite facing delays and challenges in achieving the desired performance standards, the WS-15 represents a promising future for China’s military aviation capabilities (Timelines for the development of this engine are attached).

 

    • WS-18. It is a high-thrust turbofan engine for heavy transport aircraft like the Y-20 and may be used in future bomber or tanker aircraft. The WS-18 is intended to replace foreign engines in China’s large transport aircraft, such as the Y-20, which initially relied on Russian D-30KP engines.

 

    • WS-20 Engine. A high bypass turbofan engine designed for the Y-20 transport aircraft, the WS-20 represents another step in China’s efforts to enhance its engine technology and reduce reliance on imports.

 

China’s Challenges in Fighter Aircraft Engine Development. The complex process of developing reliable, high-performance aero engines presents a significant challenge for AECC. Multifaceted challenges encompassing technological, material, and geopolitical factors hinder China’s quest to catch up with global leaders in engine technology. While the country has made notable strides in recent years, overcoming these challenges is crucial for enhancing its military aviation capabilities and achieving greater self-sufficiency in defence technology.

 

    • Technological Challenges. Developing advanced jet engines involves advanced knowledge and complex engineering challenges, including materials science, aerodynamics, and thermodynamics. Achieving high thrust-to-weight ratios, fuel efficiency, and durability while maintaining stealth capabilities requires innovative design solutions, advanced materials, and cutting-edge technology that has taken years to develop.

 

    • Material Limitations. Engine components must withstand extreme temperatures and stresses. Developing high-performance materials that can endure these conditions is crucial. China needs to catch up in producing advanced alloys and composite materials required for next-generation engines. Advanced manufacturing methods, such as precision casting and 3D printing, are essential for creating complex engine parts. While China has progressed in this area, ensuring quality control remains challenging.

 

    • Reliability and Quality. Rigorous testing and quality assurance are vital to ensuring engine reliability. Despite advancements, Chinese engines have struggled with quality and reliability issues compared to their Western counterparts. Early versions of domestically produced engines, like the WS-10, experienced reliability issues that needed to be addressed through ongoing refinements and improvements. There have been concerns about durability and performance under extreme conditions.

 

    • Research and Development Challenges. Building a skilled workforce with expertise in aerospace engineering and related fields is critical. While China has many engineering graduates, there is a need for more specialised training and experience in aerospace propulsion systems. Although the Chinese government has significantly increased investments in aerospace R&D, various sectors still compete for resources. Prioritising engine development over other military technologies can be a challenge.

 

    • Dependency on Foreign Technology. Historically, China has relied on foreign technology and imports for advanced aircraft engines and critical engine components, especially from Russia. This dependency has limited China’s ability to develop fully indigenous capabilities in this crucial area. For instance, China’s early fighter jets, such as the J-11, used Russian engines (AL-31F), which affected operational independence. While efforts are underway to develop indigenous capabilities, breaking this dependency takes time. Attempts to acquire foreign technology through partnerships and joint ventures have often faced political hurdles, leading to limited access to advanced engine technologies.

 

    • Geopolitical Pressures. Geopolitical tensions, particularly with Western nations, lead to sanctions that limit China’s access to advanced aerospace technologies. This slows down development and innovation in the aviation sector. Competing with established aerospace powerhouses like the United States and Russia, which have decades of experience and technological advancements in engine development, poses another significant challenge.

 

    • Intellectual Property Concerns. Efforts to reverse-engineer foreign engines have raised intellectual property issues, leading to tensions with countries that view these actions as unfair competition.

 

Present Status. China has been making significant strides in developing indigenous fighter aircraft engines. The country aims to reduce its reliance on foreign-made engines, mainly from Russia, and to enhance its domestic military aviation capabilities. China’s fighter aircraft engine development has advanced significantly in recent years, reflecting the country’s growing ambitions in military aviation. Chinese engineers have made strides in materials science, advanced manufacturing techniques, and thrust vectoring technology, enhancing engine performance and reliability. China has sought to acquire foreign technology to bolster its capabilities. Collaborations with countries like Russia have facilitated knowledge transfer, especially in engine design and testing.

 

Future Prospects. China is likely to increase its investment in R&D to improve its engine technology further. The goal is to achieve greater self-sufficiency and enhance the performance of its fighter aircraft. The exploration of next-generation technologies, including AI-driven engine management systems, adaptive cycle engines, and environmentally sustainable fuels, could shape the future of Chinese military aviation. Developing advanced fighter aircraft engines is crucial for China’s military modernisation efforts. As tensions rise in the Asia-Pacific region, the ability to produce competitive engines will play a vital role in enhancing China’s defence capabilities.

 

Strategic Implications. China’s struggles with fighter aircraft engine development have strategic implications, particularly in its military modernisation efforts and aspirations to become a global aerospace leader. Achieving self-sufficiency in engine technology is crucial for ensuring operational independence and enhancing the capabilities of its air force. Continued efforts in this area will be essential for China to strengthen its military aviation capabilities and achieve its broader defence objectives.

 

Conclusion. China’s fighter aircraft engine development is critical to its broader military modernisation strategy. While significant progress has been made, ongoing challenges remain. The emphasis on indigenous production, technological innovation, and strategic partnerships will be essential for China to enhance its position in the global military aviation landscape. As the situation evolves, monitoring these developments will be crucial for understanding the implications for regional and global security dynamics.

 

Timeline of WS-15 Engine development.

Estimates vary on when WS-15 development began.

 1990: Preliminary steps initiated.

2005: The blueprint for the WS-15 began to materialise

2006: A preliminary image of the WS-15 engine emerged five years before the J-20 prototype was unveiled.

2010: The first WS-15 prototypes entered the ground testing phase

2012: The full-scale demonstration project was completed , and extensive trials followed.

2013: The WS-15 development program started achieving significant milestones.

July 2018: The Chinese academic overseeing aviation engine R&D in Beijing, Liu Daxiang, announced that WS-15 development was progressing rapidly and would be fully completed within three years.

2019: The Russian AL-31 powering the J-20 was replaced by the domestic WS-10C engine.

2021:  the WS-15 was nearing operational readiness.

2022: One WS-15 engine was flown on the jet along with another older version of the engine for testing purposes.

March 2023: The WS-15 engine achieved full operational capability. WS-15 project Chief Chang Young at the AECC Beijing Institute of Aeronautical Materials announced at the 7th Chinese Aviation Innovation and Entrepreneurship Competition (CAIEC) that the WS-15 engine is now ready for mass production.

29th June 2023:  Chengdu Aircraft Corporation (CAC) conducted the maiden flight of the new variant J-20 fighter, fitted with two WS-15 turbofan engines.

As of late August 2024, the Chinese WS-15 engine reportedly encounters several significant hurdles impacting its deployment and operational efficiency. One major issue involves supply chain disruptions related to the advanced alloys needed for the engine’s production.

 

Link to the Article

https://www.eurasiantimes.com/chinas-struggle-with-aero-engines-keep/

 

Your valuable comments are most welcome.

 

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References and credits

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References:-

  1. Adnan Moussa, “China’s WS-15. Does it challenge US dominance over fighter jet engine tech?” aljundi.ae, 01 Dec 23.
  1. Reuben Johnson, “China’s J-20 fighter seems to have a new homegrown engine, after years of struggle”, Air Warfare Global, 18 July 2023.
  1. Boyko Nikolov, “F-22 rival Chinese J-20 may have overcome engine setbacks”, Bulgarianmilitary.com, 10 Sep 2024.
  1. Alexander Holderness, Nicholas Velazquez, Jasmine Phillips, Gregory Sanders, and Cynthia Cook, “Powering Proliferation: The Global Engine Market and China’s Indigenisation” Brief CSIS, 21 Mar 2023.

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.

 

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522: Podcast with Gaurav Arya

 

Had a very enriching chat with Gaurav Arya on a crucial topic.

 

We talked about:- 

Inter-service Coordination.

PLAAF Vis-a-vis USAF

PLAAF Vis-a-vis IAF

China’s fifth generation aircraft.

Fifth gen ac comparison.

Stealth Technology.

IAF authorised fighter aircraft strength.

IAF capability Building.

Minimum Deterrence level.

Loyal wing man concept

Generations of fighter aircraft.

China and Pakistan: export of fifth gen ac.

Atmanirbharta.

Draw down mitigation plan.

Defence production echo system.

Balanced capability enhancement.

Procurement from USA vs Russia.

Possibility of F 35 Procurement.

& many more aspects related to capability building

 

Click on the link to check it out:-

 

 

Your valuable comments are most welcome.

 

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References and credits

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Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from reliable and accurate sources. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for wider dissemination.