368: INTERACTION WITH AN INTERNATIONAL NEWS CHANNEL

 

(It was clarified that the views expressed are my own and have nothing to do with IAF or GOI)

 

The questions addressed and the essence of communicated opinions are as follows:-

 

Q1. What’s your take on the IAF’s modernization plan? Is it going as per schedule?

 

  • Instead of modernisation, I would call it a capability development plan.

 

  • IAF is quite modern.

 

  • Over the years its capabilities have increased manifold (e.g. – capabilities like precision, standoff, airlift, high altitude operations, all-weather 24 X 7 ops, network centricity, etc).

 

  • However, the capacity in terms of quantity (war endurance) needs enhancement.

 

  • The capability and capacity combined determine the deterrence value.

 

  • The deterrence value required depends on threat perception (number of enemies, their capabilities, and their attitude and intentions).

 

  • India faces a collusive threat with aggressive behaviour.

 

  • Capability development and capacity enhancement is a continuous process.

 

  • The process was a bit slow earlier but now has picked up pace.

 

Q2. How do depleting squadron numbers pose a challenge to the IAF?

 

  • Yes, it definitely is a challenge, considering the threats and prevailing environment.

 

  • The drawdown has taken place to about 30 odd squadrons much below the authorised strength.

 

  • The actual numbers needed in order to have the requisite deterrence value would be much higher.

 

  • A drawdown mitigation plan exists and is reviewed periodically.

 

  • Self-reliance is one of the important factors in the plan (also a major lesson learned from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war).

 

  • India is trying the “Leap Frog” method.

 

  • There have been slippages and delays in the past.

 

  • The pace has picked up in the last few years due to the recent initiatives and the multi-pronged approach.

 

  • IAF has always supported self-reliance and would continue to do so.

 

  • However, the minimum deterrence value and a balance between quality and quantity need to be maintained at all times.

 

Q3. The IAF plans to acquire more jets under its ambitious plan to purchase 114 foreign fighter planes – will India go for Sukhois or stick to Rafales?

 

  • First of all, I would replace the word ambitious with needed, urgent, or crucial in the question.

 

  • Keeping in mind what I said earlier about self-reliance, minimum deterrence value, and maintaining of balance between quantity and quality.

 

  • The Indigenous fighter aircraft development plan consists of Tejas MK IA, 4.5 generation Tejas MK II, and 5th generation AMCA.

 

  • The project was slow earlier but has picked up pace now. However, newer versions are some time away and the existing gap needs to be filled up on priority.

 

  • The acquisition of 114 fighter jets is crucial.

 

  • In view of India’s priorities and focus, the deal needs to be “make in India” with a high content of technology transfer.

 

  • As far as which one to buy, would depend on the selection process, which is quite exhaustive and transparent.

 

  • Some of the factors for consideration would be:-
    • Capabilities Vis-à-vis Qualitative requirements.
    • Price – maximum “bang for the buck”.
    • Support to “Make in India”.
    • Transfer of technology.
    • Ability to deliver and sustain.
    • Geo-Political and Geo-Strategic aspects (Including past and present relations).

 

Q4. How the IAF is helping the Indian Army in its current stand-off with China?

 

  • The question needs rephrasing.

 

  • It is a national situation, requiring a whole of nation (all tools of statecraft) approach.

 

  • The defence services are doing the needful jointly and synergistically.

 

  • IAF undertakes missions to accomplish its roles and tasks (like any other defence force), including:-
    • Political and strategic signaling.
    • Rapid mobility, troop induction, and transfer.
    • Sustenance and supply (equipment, ammunition, weapons, rations, etc).
    • Casualty evacuation and medical support.
    • Enhancement of situational awareness by reconnaissance and information sharing.
    • Joint planning and monitoring.
    • Training and equipping to meet challenges.

 

  • All the assets of IAF are always available to deal with prevailing or emerging situations.

 

Q5. How do you view the induction of LCA Tejas in the IAF and Navy, and can the homegrown aircraft become the lynchpin of India’s security apparatus?

 

  • The LCA Navy had been converted into a technology demonstration program.

 

  • The experienced gained would be utilised to develop a TEDBF (Twin Engine Deck Based Fighter).

 

  • IAF has already inducted two squadrons of Tejas aircraft.

 

  • 83 Tejas Mk I aircraft are on order.

 

  • Tejas Mk II and AMCA are under development.

 

  • The teething problems have been addressed and the indigenous fighter aircraft program is evolving and maturing.

 

  • It is essential because of aspects related to cost, self-reliance, the latest technology, availability, integration, and modifications.

 

Q6. In recent years, the Indian Air Force has been focusing on indigenous helicopters and there have been reports that New Delhi’s deal for Russian-built Kamov helicopters has been put on the backburner. What’s your take on this?

 

  • Cannot comment on this issue as I am not privy to IAF or government thinking and decisions.

 

  • My personal views are that given a choice, it is always advantageous to go in for indigenous products due to reasons enumerated earlier.

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

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358: IAF STRATEGIES: PAST PRESENT AND FUTURE

 

Article Published in the book on

India’s Military Strategy

 

 

Book released by Gyan Chakra: Western Army Command Think Tank

 

 

IAF STRATEGIES: PAST PRESENT AND FUTURE

 

“The art of winning a war can be learnt by understanding some rules (Strategies) and then applying them in a practical manner.”

―  Chanakya & the Art of War: excerpts

 

Introduction

 

Aerospace power is a decisive factor and a game-changer in the current context of geostrategic uncertainties. The application of aerospace power, although looks simple but is a complex process. Major roles of aerospace power during war include shaping the environment, offensive force application, and synergising the operations with surface forces, but aerospace power plays a pivotal role during peace and transition from peace to war.

 

Military strategy refers to the art and science of planning and directing military operations and campaigns. It involves the development of plans and tactics for the use of military force in achieving specific objectives, whether in a single battle or a larger campaign. Military strategy is based on the analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of both one’s own forces and those of the enemy, as well as the political and social context of the conflict. The military strategy typically involves a number of components, including, objectives, force structure, and deployment, logistics, tactics, intelligence, communications, risk assessment, etc. Effective military strategy requires careful planning and execution, as well as flexibility and adaptation based on changing circumstances. Successful military leaders must be able to think creatively, make quick decisions under pressure, and inspire and motivate their troops to achieve their objectives.

 

Air warfare strategy, a subset of military strategy, is the art of planning and directing overall air operations, and it depends on several factors. Effective air strategy requires careful consideration of these factors and needs to adapt to changing circumstances and situations. 

 

The air strategy of the Indian Air Force (IAF) has evolved over a period of time, reflecting changes in strategic priorities, operational environment, doctrine and technology. While it is worthwhile to trace the evolutionary process of the past, it is also valuable to look at the ones to deal with existing challenges and suggest some future strategies.

 

Air Strategies & Influencing Factors

 

Continue reading “358: IAF STRATEGIES: PAST PRESENT AND FUTURE”

356: DEAL OR NO DEAL: FIGHTER AIRCRAFT AND AERO-ENGINES (PM VISIT TO USA)

 

Article published at Chanakya Forum

 

PM Modi’s Visit To USA: Deal Or No Deal For Fighter Aircraft And Aero-Engines?

Click on the link above or continue reading

 

“Both sides will identify opportunities for co-development of new technologies and co-production of existing and new systems and facilitate increased collaboration between defence start-up ecosystems of the two countries.”

– Statement by the Indian defence ministry, post meeting between visiting US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh.

 

Introduction

 

Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to travel to the US for an official state visit from June 21 to 24. This will be his first state visit to the US during his nine-year-long reign as prime minister. The forthcoming visit has triggered a debate about the security and defence cooperation at large and the likelihood of a defence deal related to fighter aircraft and aero engines in particular. Similar speculation had started in the month of February this year during Aero India 2023, wherein the USA came in with a large military component including F-21, F-18, and F-35 aircraft besides the B-1 bomber.

 

The USA is making a bid for the fighter aircraft needs of the Indian Air Force and the Navy. On the other hand, India’s main objective is to fill in the existing gaps in the number of fighter aircraft and while doing so, provide a boost to the domestic defence industry by making in India and infusing technology.

 

Grounds for the finalisation of some of the deals are being prepared prior to the visit of the Prime Minister. The 17th India-US Defence Policy Group met in Washington, USA, on 17 May 23. It was co-chaired by Defence Secretary Giridhar Aramane and US Under Secretary of Defence for Policy Colin Kahl. This was followed by the visit of U.S. Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin to India on 04 Jun 23. He met the Indian Defence Minister and the NSA to explore ways to further strengthen bilateral defence cooperation, especially in areas of transfer of critical technologies for the co-development of military hardware. During these visits, India and the US agreed on a roadmap for defence industry cooperation.

Continue reading “356: DEAL OR NO DEAL: FIGHTER AIRCRAFT AND AERO-ENGINES (PM VISIT TO USA)”

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