Q & A SERIES: INDIA’S FOREIGN POLICY, DEFENCE DIPLOMACY AND MILITARY POWER

 

Q-1   Has Indian foreign policy become more assertive about India’s interests? 

A-1

  • The trend for foreign policy is changing worldwide.
  • Multilateralism is changing to mini-lateralism.
  • The engagements between countries have become interest and issue-based.
  • India’s policy has changed from a policy of non-alignment to a policy of equidistance.
  • The engagements are governed by own interests, needs, and gains.
  • The world is accepting Indian stand on various issues.
  • Indian assertion level is appropriate, generally in take it or leave it mode without thrusting it upon others.

 

Q-2   Comments about India’s focus on Asian region and neighborhood.

A-2

  • Focus on Asia and the neighborhood has come a bit late with China having made inroads into our neighborhood adopting the string of pearls policy.
  • We need to be magnanimous in our approach towards our neighbours to retain them with us.
  • Like any other country, our global engagements are based on our interests first and then on ideology and principles.

 

Q-3.  Comments on India’s moral-based foreign policy, with a principled approach, and not using its military power for foreign policy objectives.

A-3

  • In agreement with the statement that “India foundationally remains a pacifist state, following moral based foreign policy, the strength of soft power and principled approach”.
  • It is not necessary to use force and military might to attain one’s foreign policy objectives.
  • Hard power can be used as a soft power as well using Military Diplomacy to achieve one’s objectives.
  • Foreign policy and military diplomacy need to work cohesively.
  • Notwithstanding the above, India has in the past used its hard power to attain its foreign policy objectives. Examples include Bangladesh liberation, Sri Lanka and Maldives operations.

 

Q-4.  India needs to spend more on its conventional military forces, building military capabilities and deterrence, due to its regional and global aspirations.

A-4

  • At the moment India’s necessity to invest in building conventional military power is governed more by its threat perception and need to guard its interests.
  • Regional and or global aspirations come next.
  • Military capability and deterrence are essential to be considered as a major regional power.
  • Military power alone is not sufficient, it has to be backed by economic clout and strength.

 

Q-5   In an age of comprehensive security, is military power by itself adequate?

A-5

  • While it is true that, military power is a significant ingredient of power projection it greatly impacts international dynamics and relations between nations.
  • It alone cannot achieve national objectives. It has to be backed by economic clout and a balanced all-round deterrence capability.
  • Earlier the debate used to be between money being spent on development or military capability.
  • Military power is essential even for unhindered growth.
  • The nature of warfare is changing. Firstly, hostile actions do take place even in no-war scenarios and secondly, the hostilities are not limited to the military alone.
  • New dimensions of warfare have emerged that affect the entire nation and demand a whole of national response.
  • The question of choice is not as simple as “either one or the other”. A balanced approach is required for multi-dimensional holistic capability enhancement.
  • Balance has to be maintained between:-
    • Military power and other tools of statecraft.
    • Conventional military power and other dimensions of warfare.
    • Military capability and capacity to wage war.
    • Quality and quantity of platform, weapons, and war-waging wherewithal.
  • Military capability and adequate deterrence are required first and foremost for safeguarding own interests, thereafter comes regional/global responsibilities and aspirations.

 

Q-6   India with its present stage of development, can ill afford to suffer a military setback, due to loss of deterrence as a result of inadequate defence funding.

 A-6

  • In agreement with the statement.
  • The minimum credible deterrence value of the military needs to be maintained at all times.
  • The minimum deterrence value depends upon, the number of enemies, their military capabilities, and their attitude.
  • In India’s case, the enemy’s capabilities are racing ahead creating a wide gap and the attitude has become more belligerent and aggressive.

 

Q-7. What does a ‘credible military capability’ entail?

A-7

Credible military capability to my mind would entail the following in sequence:-

  • Adequate deterrence.
  • The ability for strategic coercion.
  • Punitive capability.
  • Ability to wage war if required,
  • Adequate war endurance.
  • Ability to provide human assistance and disaster relief (HADR) domestically as well as externally.
  • Capability to exploit Defence Diplomacy.

Collective security is valid not only during the war but also to deal with grey zone operations during the time of peace.

 

Q-8.   What capabilities are required for military hard power to become an effective means of state-craft?

A-8

The military alone cannot achieve the national objectives. Besides aspects mentioned earlier areas which need attention are:-

  • Ability to meet challenges in the nonconventional and new domains of warfare including Nuclear, Biological, Space, Cyber, Electronic, and Information.
  • Any reorganization should be to cater for future challenges in these domains.
  • A robust defence industry and production eco-system are essential.
  • Intangible factors like morale and training are very important along with doctrine, strategy, and tactics.
  • Reach, precision, standoff, and a robust supply chain are equally important.

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

 

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from sources deemed reliable and accurate. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for purposes of wider dissemination.

 

DEFINING MILITARY DIPLOMACY

 

Pic Courtesy: Internet

 

“Diplomacy is the velvet glove that cloaks the fist of power.”

 

― Robin Hobb

 

Diplomacy. Diplomacy is the practice and skill of managing international relations between countries by the use of negotiation, dialogue, and compromise. Diplomatic efforts can address a wide range of issues, such as trade, security, human rights, climate change, etc. Diplomacy is not synonymous with foreign policy, while foreign policy sets the political goals, diplomacy is the instrument for achieving them.

 

“If diplomacy has any chance to work, it must be coupled with a credible military Power.”

– Author: Benjamin Netanyahu

 

Military Diplomacy. Military Diplomacy also known as defence diplomacy, is a term used in international relations to describe the pursuit of foreign policy objectives through the peaceful utilisation of defence resources and capabilities. It involves the employment of defence resources to achieve specific national goals. It is an important aspect of modern diplomacy and is an invaluable instrument of statecraft. It can be summarised as an oxymoron “using hard power as soft power”.

 

Soft Power vis-à-vis Hard Power

The terms Hard Power and Soft Power represent two important concepts in the field of International Relations.

Continue reading “DEFINING MILITARY DIPLOMACY”

BANGLADESHI TANGO WITH CHINA

 

Pic Courtesy: Internet

 

Over the past five years, a significant improvement in areas of economic and defence cooperation has been observed between Bangladesh and China.

 

China has been following the policy of generous economic assistance, gaining considerable support within Bangladesh, both politically and among the general public.

 

Bangladesh is tending to become more authoritarian in recent times. China’s unwavering support for the government has also played a pivotal role in fostering this alignment. On the other hand emphasis on democratic values by the USA has strained their relations to some extent.

 

Deepening Economic Cooperation

 

Trade. Since 2017, Bangladesh has deepened its engagement with China. China has become Bangladesh’s largest trading partner.

 

Infrastructure. China has already invested around USD $9.75 billion in transportation projects in Bangladesh (including ongoing initiatives such as the Padma Bridge Rail Link, Bangabandhu Tunnel, and Dasher Kandi Sewerage Treatment Plant, etc).

 

FDI. China has also emerged as the largest source of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Bangladesh. It has also ranked as the top foreign investor in Bangladesh in 2022, with 104 investors operating in eight export-processing zones.

 

Duty-Free Access. From July 2020, China has granted duty-free access to 97 per cent (later increased further) of Bangladeshi products entering its market. This proved to be a significant development in bilateral trade relations.

 

Stronger Defence Ties

 

Arms Import. Bangladesh’s military partnership with China has also grown significantly and it has become China’s second-largest arms customer, after Pakistan.

 

Defence Cooperation. Defence cooperation between the two countries also includes military personnel training in China and collaboration in defence production.

 

Naval Capability Enhancement. In 2016, Bangladesh acquired submarines from China. In March 2023, Bangladesh’s Prime Minister unveiled the country’s submarine base (Constructed by China), named BNS Sheikh Hasina, in Cox’s Bazar. The facility has the capacity to accommodate six submarines and several warships. Currently, two Chinese-made submarines are stationed at the base, representing a significant development in Bangladesh’s naval capabilities.

 

Air Force Contract. China has recently signed a contract to supply 23 Hongdu K-8W intermediate training jets to the Bangladesh Air Force, further bolstering their military cooperation.

 

Geopolitical Aspects

 

Tug of war. In the post-COVID period and during the Russia-Ukraine war, geopolitical tension in the Indo-Pacific has also increased. Both China and the United States want Bangladesh in their camp.

 

Push and Pull. The United States had invited Bangladesh to join its Indo-Pacific Strategy, as a partner in the Indo-Pacific region. In response, China had warned that Bangladesh’s relations with China would be damaged if it joins the Quad, while also seeking Bangladesh’s participation in its Global Development Initiative and Global Security Initiative.

 

Strains. Bangladesh’s shift towards China, coupled with concerns over its dismissal of democratic values and human rights, has strained its relationship with the United States.

 

Drifting Apart. The international community has criticized the conduct of the 2014 and 2018 elections under the Awami League government. In response to human rights violations, the United States has imposed sanctions and implemented visa restrictions on individuals undermining democratic processes. Exclusion from the Biden Democracy Summit indicates a change in U.S. policy towards Bangladesh.

 

Pains and Gains. While the United States distances itself from the Awami League government, China is extending financial support and strengthening ties with Bangladesh.

 

Russian Angle. Russia is with China to counter the US influence in Bangladesh. Bangladesh and Russia have reached an agreement to use the Chinese yuan for payment in a nuclear power plant project (objected to by the USA).

 

Rohingya Crisis. The Rohingya crisis in Bangladesh poses a significant challenge to China’s geopolitical interests in the region. A peaceful resolution to this crisis, led by China, could further solidify its influence and foothold in Bangladesh. On the other hand, the United States has also taken steps to address the crisis, with the likelihood of an increase in its presence and influence in Bangladesh. The resolution of the Rohingya crisis holds implications for the geopolitical dynamics in the region, impacting the interests of both China and the United States.

 

Analytical Implications.

 

All key stakeholders in the Indo-Pacific such as the United States, China, Russia, Japan, and India are major development partners for Bangladesh.

 

Bangladesh’s shift towards China strained relations with the United States, and interests from India and Russia highlight the complex geo-political dynamics.

 

The choices made by Bangladesh in its alliances will have significant implications for its development and security. It will also have a far-reaching effect on the geopolitical dynamics of the region.

 

Through cooperation with Bangladesh, Beijing is also expanding its footprint in the Indo-Pacific.

 

Bangladesh’s increasing military partnership with China is encouraging anti-India sentiment in Bangladesh and will also put pressure on India.

 

Learning from Chinese engagement and its adverse effects, on other countries, Bangladesh will have to play with fire with caution.

 

Bottom Line

India should not lose Bangladesh to China (like Nepal).

 

Question

Are we enough in this regard?

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

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References and credits

To all the online sites and channels.

China in south Asia:  Bangladesh tilting towards China by Shafi Mostafa on Southy Asian Voices.

Disclaimer:

Information and data included in the blog are for educational & non-commercial purposes only and have been carefully adapted, excerpted, or edited from sources deemed reliable and accurate. All copyrighted material belongs to respective owners and is provided only for purposes of wider dissemination.