China Demographic Analysis: Population

pic courtesy: Visualcapatalist.com 

 

Population

The current population of China is 1,446,554,428 (as of Thursday, October 21, 2021, based on World meter elaboration of the latest United Nations data).

China ranks number 1 in the list of countries by population.

China population is equivalent to 18.47% of the total world population.

 

Population Trend

50 years back China had touched growth rate of 2+ by percentage.

The growth rate has come down to about 0.4 percent now.

If present trend continues, zero growth rate will be reached somewhere between 2030 and 2035.

Thereafter it will be in negative.

By 2030 China will not be the most populace country. It will drop to number 2 position.

 

Population control

Initially, China’s post-1949 leaders were ideologically disposed to view a large population as an asset. But the liabilities of a large, rapidly growing population soon became apparent.

In 1972 and 1973 the party mobilized its resources for a nationwide birth control campaign administered by a group in the State Council. Population growth targets were set for both administrative units and individual families. In the mid-1970s the maximum recommended family size was two children in cities and three or four in the country.

One Child Policy. Since 1979 the government has advocated a one-child limit for both rural and urban areas and has generally set a maximum of two children in special circumstances. The overall goal of the one-child policy was to keep the total population within 1.2 billion. The one-child policy was unique, however, in that it linked reproduction with economic cost or benefit. Under the one-child program, a sophisticated system rewarded those who observed the policy and penalized those who did not. Through this policy, the rate of increasing population was tempered after the penalties were made. Couples with only one child were given a “one-child certificate” entitling them to such benefits as cash bonuses, longer maternity leave, better child care, and preferential housing assignments. In return, they were required to pledge that they would not have more children. The one-child policy enjoyed much greater success in urban than in rural areas.

Rapid fertility reduction associated with the one-child policy has potentially negative results in terms of increase in median age.

 

Median Age and Trend

The median age in China is 38.4 years.

50 to 60 years back it was close to 20 years.

If present trend continues, the median age of china will touch close to 50 years by 2050.

Even though China has already opened two-child policy since 2016, data shows that the second-child policy cannot stop the problem of an aging population.

 

Population Density.

The population density in China is 153 per Km2 (397 people per mi2).

50 years back this figure was about 90.

By 2050, it will touch a figure of 150.

 

Distribution

Broadly speaking, the population is concentrated in the east.

The most densely populated areas included the Yangtze River Valley (of which the delta region was the most populous), Sichuan Basin, North China Plain, Pearl River Delta, and the industrial area around the city of Shenyang in the northeast.

Population is most sparse in the mountainous, desert, and grassland regions of the northwest and southwest.

In Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, portions are completely uninhabited, and only a few sections have populations denser than ten people per km2. The Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Tibet autonomous regions and Qinghai and Gansu comprise 55% of the country’s land area but in 1985 contained only 5.7% of its population.

 

Urban / Rural Distribution and trend

60.8 % of the population is urban.

50 years back this percentage was about 20%.

By 2050, the urban population would touch about 80 %.

 

Largest Cities in China (by Population) are:-

CITY NAME POPULATION
1 Shanghai 22,315,474
2 Beijing 11,716,620
3 Tianjin 11,090,314
4 Guangzhou 11,071,424
5 Shenzhen 10,358,381
6 Wuhan 9,785,388
7 Dongguan 8,000,000
8 Chongqing 7,457,600
9 Chengdu 7,415,590
10 Nanjing 7,165,292

 

Other Figures and Trends

According to the 2020 census, 91.11% of the population is Han Chinese, and 8.89% are other minorities.

Life expectancy is 77.5. This figure was close to 45 years about 70 years back and about 60 50 years back.

Infant Mortality rate is 8.4 per 1000 births.

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

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References

https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/china-population/#:~:text=The%20current%20population%20of%20China,of%20the%20total%20world%20population.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/263765/total-population-of-china/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_China

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL?locations=CN

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/the-population-of-china-compared-with-the-rest-of-the-world/

SHIQURDU: 21

 

121

मेरी ख़ामोशी में

सन्नाटा भी है और शोर भी है

गौर से  देख ऐ दुनिया

मेरे अंदर बहुत कुछ और भी है

 

 

122

दास्तान कैसे सुनाएँ 

खामोशी कोई समझता  नहीं

और

बयां हमसे होता  नहीं

 

 

123

रोज़ रोज़ गिर कर भी मुकम्मल खडे रहो

इन मुश्किलों के सामने डट कर खड़े रहो

 

 

124

आईने भी हैरत में

 

आदमी का

हर वक़्त नया चेहरा

हर वक़्त नया वजूद

 

 

125

दोनों जरूरी हैं

दिल में तस्वीर

और

हाथों में लकीर

 

 

  • Shiqurdu is a collection of thoughts. Although an odd sounding name, but felt appropriate for the collection.

 

  • These are simplified quotes in Hurdu (Hurdu being a mix of Hindi and Urdu akin to Hinglish i.e., hindi and english). Although in some cases the language has been simplified but attempt has been made to retain the thought and the poetic flavor.

 

  • These thoughts have been picked up from various publications. Credit goes to all the original writers who penned down these deep meaning messages.

 

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Management Series: Car Wheel Theory

 

 

This is further to my earlier post on management titled “Shark in the tank”. Wherein, it was brought out that good leaders and managers, know when to put the shark in the tank, to maintain an optimum level of activity in the unit or organisation under them.

 

This write up draws inspiration, about smooth running of unit activities from the Wheel management of a car.

 

For a car to run smoothly it needs following aspects of wheel management:-

 

  • Maintaining correct and same tyre pressure in all the wheels.

 

  • Wheel alignment.

 

  • Wheel Rotation.

 

  • Wheel balancing.

 

  • Spare Wheel.

 

Similar management is required for managing the human resource by the leaders and managers.

 

 

Maintaining Correct and Same Tyre Pressure in all the Wheels.

 

Making sure that the car tyres are inflated to the correct and same level is extremely important. This is essential to ensure safety, longevity and good vehicle handling characteristics.

 

Similarly, human resource in any group also need to behave in a conducive manner. At times factors like over/under confidence, excessive eagerness / callousness and ego etc. make individuals behave irrationally, ignoring the important principles of team work.

 

In a car, there is a necessity to periodically check the tyres and either inflate or deflate them to maintain same and optimum pressure in all tyres. Similarly, need arises in a group at times to give a boost (inflate) to some members by encouraging them. At the same time, there may be a requirement to control and regulate (deflate) others.

 

A good manager and leader should know when to do that. Special care needs to be taken while regulating and controlling, to avoid permanent damage to the enthusiasm. It is best to do it privately and by exercising sell type of leadership style (i.e. with a little bit of explanation). 

 

 

Wheel alignment.

 

Car wheel alignment is essential for the vehicle to move steadily towards intended direction without pulling to one side.

 

Similarly it is important for all group players to work together towards the intended group or organisational goal.

 

This is one of the important task of the leader or manager, and needs constant effort to keep the team members together and focused.

 

  

Wheel Rotation.

 

Tyre wear and tear is never uniform on all four wheels of a vehicle.  Hence in order to have uniform wear of all four tyres, it is advisable to interchange tyre positions periodically. Tyre rotation is very crucial for ensuring long life and better performance of the tyres.

 

In a similar way, human beings also need change and perform better with changing challenges. Stuck in any one type of job, they tend to stagnate with adverse effect on their performance.

 

At The same time, changes introduced too early or too often also are not good for the organisation. An effective leader knows when to introduce the change to avoid stagnation of its members.

 

 

Wheel balancing.

 

Wheel balancing refers to correcting the imbalance between the weights of the wheel and the tyre. Maintaining a balanced weight in the wheel / tyre combination is significant for a smooth and stable drive, less tyre wear and eliminating vibrations.

 

Similarly in a group functioning maintaining a balance between the task and the provision of wherewithal to execute it is very important. It is the job of the leader and the manager to provide the correct amount and quality of resources for the allotted task.

 

 

 

Spare Wheel.

 

A vehicle always has a spare wheel, to cater for unforeseen circumstances. The spare wheel also needs to be maintained in good state as any other wheel.

 

In a similar way in a group, it is good to have a standby person available for different tasks. The standby person needs to be aware of the task and its progress so that slot in is easy if the need arises.

 

Coming Up

Beer and the jar theory of management.

 

Suggestions and value additions are most welcome

 

Link to earlier post on Management Theory:

Shark in the Tank.

 

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