{"id":3430,"date":"2021-06-15T07:00:21","date_gmt":"2021-06-15T01:30:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/?p=3430"},"modified":"2024-12-27T15:46:11","modified_gmt":"2024-12-27T10:16:11","slug":"q-a-series-no-war-no-peace-situation-grey-zone-conflict","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/2021\/06\/15\/q-a-series-no-war-no-peace-situation-grey-zone-conflict\/","title":{"rendered":"132: Q &#038; A Series: No War No Peace Situation &#038; Grey Zone Conflict"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #003300;\">Recently I wrote an article on \u201cAirpower and Grey Zone Operations\u201d. During the research, one question kept nagging my brain, so I asked all my colleagues and veterans, carrying out research and analysis on defence and security related subjects, individually or in association with different think tanks. Got some clarity on the issue with quite a few perspectives.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #ff0000;\"><u>Question:<\/u> What is the difference between Grey Zone (GZ) Conflicts \/ operations and No War No Peace (NWNP) situation?<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\"><u>Answer: <\/u><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #993300;\">NWNP is an existing state (generally at the borders) \u2013 GZ is a zone in the continuum of war between peace and declared war.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000080;\">NWNP is generally referred to military domain (actions or matters) \u2013 GZ is multi domain in DIME paradigm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #333300;\">NWNP uses military tools as threats and weapons \u2013 GZ anything or everything can be used as a threat or weapon from multiple domains (political, economic, information, psychological, diplomatic, cyber and space etc).<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #993366;\">NWNP includes firing by regular forces, small team actions across border and actions by non-state actors in concert with regulars etc \u2013 GZ activities are much broader and ambiguous.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #003300;\">NWNP is referred in the context of Indo-Pak border situations \u2013 GZ term appeared in the lexicon of defence and security analysts in global context.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #3366ff;\">NWNP was a low level term largely utilised on LOC &#8211; GZ is a wider concept that looks at the wide space between peace and war &#8211; a zone that is blurred.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #ff6600;\">NWNP situations may or may not have deniability \u2013 GZ operations generally have a high degree of deniability.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #008080;\">NWNP generally involves kinetic weapons and could lead to escalation &#8211; GZ generally employs hybrid warfare techniques (with kinetic weapons being one of the options but rarely used).<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #993300;\">NWNP is a situation existing between two nations with their militaries face to face \u2013 GZ is a conflict between two nations not necessarily in eyeball situation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000080;\">NWNP is related to posturing, deterrence, coercion and use of force \u2013 GZ is achieving the objectives without military confrontation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #800000;\">NWNP: the escalatory ladder can be traversed (up or down) at a rapid pace \u2013 GZ the transition is gradual and slower.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #003366;\">NWNP: the actions may be localised, limited in area and influence \u2013 GZ actions generally affect a large area or number of people.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'comic sans ms', sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000000; text-decoration: underline;\">Titbit<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><em><span style=\"font-family: 'comic sans ms', sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">We are in NWNP situation with Pakistan<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em><span style=\"font-family: 'comic sans ms', sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">Chinese have mastered the art of Grey Zone operations<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #800080;\">Comments and value additions are most welcome.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt; color: #0000ff;\">For regular updates please register here &#8211;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt; color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/subscribe\/\">https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/subscribe\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recently I wrote an article on \u201cAirpower and Grey Zone Operations\u201d. During the research, one question kept nagging my brain, so I asked all my colleagues and veterans, carrying out research and analysis on defence and security related subjects, individually or in association with different think tanks. Got some clarity on the issue with quite &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/2021\/06\/15\/q-a-series-no-war-no-peace-situation-grey-zone-conflict\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;132: Q &#038; A Series: No War No Peace Situation &#038; Grey Zone Conflict&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,19,26,25,71,78,56,1,115,122,94],"tags":[67,162,117,60],"class_list":["post-3430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-airpower","category-article","category-best-military-quotes","category-china","category-grey-zone","category-military-capability","category-pakistan","category-uncategorized","category-war-and-warfare","category-warfare","category-weapons","tag-grey-zone","tag-nwnp","tag-war","tag-warfare"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3430"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3430\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8606,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3430\/revisions\/8606"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}