{"id":3233,"date":"2021-05-25T12:37:40","date_gmt":"2021-05-25T07:07:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/?p=3233"},"modified":"2024-12-27T15:43:00","modified_gmt":"2024-12-27T10:13:00","slug":"q-a-series-catch-22-situation-of-us-pak-relations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/2021\/05\/25\/q-a-series-catch-22-situation-of-us-pak-relations\/","title":{"rendered":"112: Q &#038; A Series: Catch 22 Situation of US \u2013 Pak relations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-3234 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1607381-PakistanUSPakUS-1515820774-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1607381-PakistanUSPakUS-1515820774-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1607381-PakistanUSPakUS-1515820774.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8pt; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Pic Courtesy: Express Tribune<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #800080;\"><u>Question<\/u>. In the comments section of one of the earlier posts, Air Cmde R Marwaha (Retd) had raised a very pertinent question as to <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>why does US continue to engage and support Pakistan?<\/em><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #800000;\"><u>Catch 22<\/u>. The question is curiously intriguing because United States rewards Pakistan for the very behaviour it seeks to curb i.e. terrorism under nuclear umbrella.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #003300;\"><u>Three Main Reasons<\/u>. Pakistan &#8211; US relations like any other engagement are governed by geopolitics realities and compulsions. In the recent years, contours of these relations have derived largely from US\u2019s China and India policies, the Afghanistan war and her national security concerns related to international terrorism.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\"><u>Factors<\/u>. Various factors affecting the relations between the two countries are enumerated below in brief (each one is a topic of debate in itself). The changes in Pakistan &#8211; US relationship policy have been and in future would be governed by these factors in isolation or collectively.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #800080;\"><u>Pak Demography<\/u>. Pakistan is the sixth most populous country in the world.\u00a0 By 2050 it is estimated that it will become the biggest Muslim nation (ahead of Indonesia) and the fourth most populous country in the world after India, China and the United States.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #008000;\"><u>Pak\u2019s Important Location<\/u>. Pakistan lies in this unique geographic location, with a stake in the Western, Persian, Central Asian and South Asian dynamics. Pakistan is a strategically important country as it provides access to Central Asia, West Asia and South Asia &#8211; three of the most critical regions for world peace. It borders Afghanistan (where US fights its longest ever battle), Iran (which could be the theatre of a future US war), China (America&#8217;s biggest challenge) and India (one of the country US needs to contain China). \u00a0Its strategic location at the crossroads of South Asia and Central Asia, makes it a pivotal player in a region with significant economic potential, particularly in the exploitation and transportation of oil and gas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #ff0000;\"><u>Terrorism<\/u>. Pakistan has a pivotal role to play in the \u2018War on Terror\u2019 and is critical for the international effort to counter global and regional terrorist groups.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #993300;\"><u>Afghanistan<\/u>. Pakistan is a critical player in US effort to stabilise the situation in Afghanistan. Pakistan\u2019s location next to Afghanistan and historical involvement in that country make it a critical player in efforts to stabilise the country and to ensure that it does not return to being an operating base for extremists.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #993366;\"><u>Nuclear Aspect<\/u>. Besides the \u2018War on Terror\u2019 and the war in Afghanistan, Pakistan is important given its possession of nuclear weapons. Pakistan is one of the most troubled nations, widely viewed as \u201ctoo dangerous to fail\u201d because of the toxic mix of the terrorist proxies it nurtures under its ever-expanding nuclear umbrella. The risk of Pakistan falling apart along with its nuclear weapons is a far scarier prospect for the world. US engagement with Pakistan allows US to have some say in this direction.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #0000ff;\"><u>Energy Security<\/u>. Pakistan is essential for America&#8217;s energy security. Given its proximity to two of the world&#8217;s major oil reserves &#8211; Central and West Asia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #993300;\"><u>China<\/u>. US cannot leave Pakistan entirely dependent on and strategically useful only to China.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000080;\"><u>Realpolitik Game<\/u>. Supporting Pakistan, keeps US alignments open in South Asia. <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">It also gives them some leverage over India.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #ff0000;\">Comments and Value additions are most welcome.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt; color: #0000ff;\">For regular updates please register here &#8211;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt; color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/subscribe\/\">https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/subscribe\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\"><u>References<\/u>:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\"><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lawfareblog.com\/new-way-engaging-pakistan\">https:\/\/www.lawfareblog.com\/new-way-engaging-pakistan<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\"><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.files.ethz.ch\/isn\/94663\/Rakisits,.pdf\">https:\/\/www.files.ethz.ch\/isn\/94663\/Rakisits,.pdf<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\"><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.quora.com\/Why-does-the-United-States-give-so-much-foreign-aid-to-Pakistan\">https:\/\/www.quora.com\/Why-does-the-United-States-give-so-much-foreign-aid-to-Pakistan<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pic Courtesy: Express Tribune Question. In the comments section of one of the earlier posts, Air Cmde R Marwaha (Retd) had raised a very pertinent question as to why does US continue to engage and support Pakistan? &nbsp; Catch 22. The question is curiously intriguing because United States rewards Pakistan for the very behaviour it &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/2021\/05\/25\/q-a-series-catch-22-situation-of-us-pak-relations\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;112: Q &#038; A Series: Catch 22 Situation of US \u2013 Pak relations&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[72,19,25,68,56,1],"tags":[24,116,39,35,52,45,40],"class_list":["post-3233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-afghanistan","category-article","category-china","category-geo-politics","category-pakistan","category-uncategorized","tag-china","tag-geopolitics","tag-india","tag-pakistan","tag-strategic-thinking","tag-usa","tag-world-order"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3233"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8586,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3233\/revisions\/8586"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/55nda.com\/blogs\/anil-khosla\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}